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  2. 2m temps for the storm are like 27-31 at the start of the event and 30-34 at the end, colder NW, warmer SE. And your original statement was that 0.5-0.8” QPF, which is a substantial amount. Obviously I’m over analyzing now, but look at the whole storm before making a statement like that.
  3. Batch two we discussed about to move in and then that’s it. But, I think the moment of blast thru gives us a burst
  4. MacChump can buy and sell all of us. His salary is north of the north star.
  5. Congrats everyone in Richmond. Northern neck missed again, but it happens. I’m interested in the wind tomorrow.
  6. Scary stuff. There's only so much you can do on a highway like that when others aren't driving safe.
  7. You said .70 was light. We are talking about a model, not what you think will happen. Our boats are floating well. Because we know that .7 of QPF isn't "light". Consider THAT.
  8. Its evil Twin GFS AI AIGFS has much more QPF for that period
  9. Our 12th winter "event" that's a dozin couzin.....
  10. Been years since I’ve had this, but so damn good
  11. Funny man, my bust the qpf north is light, but temps still marginal at 2m. Consider you had opened a thread for a crap system that didn't perform. This is far out and snow maps mean nothing. But whatever floats you and the others boats.
  12. I would give this winter at least a B even an A. Snowfall has been above average so far and it has not gone away. Temperatures below normal and a prolonged very cold stretch. It also started early.
  13. 34.3, light snow and a dusting. Maybe an inch before it's done.
  14. Anybody got a real solid time line frontal passage like Frederick to Silver Spring to Camp Sorings? Thanks
  15. Pretty wild weather swings from Kingsport to Morgan county: This: and this (Eastman bubble): To this, and 55 degrees:
  16. At least it didnt start as rain, An inch might be doable.
  17. Had some light snow here, was coming down enough to make a thin dusting. Lighter now. Kettle fire tonight!!!
  18. Just pointing this out. Been following both Ai models for days now. They’ve been locked in to this general progression for multiple runs now. Theres some minor differences each run of course, but two separate models 190+ hours out, remarkable similarities. Regardless of details, gotta wonder if the OPs will eventually end up with this look.
  19. GFS is south where you want it this early. Had to say it.
  20. 18z GFS now showing Snow next weekend like the Euro AI... similar. Something to watch
  21. Snowing in western Morris County now.
  22. RH map matches where it's snowing near perfectly
  23. There is a pretty extreme temperature gradient across East TN right now from north to south. It’s 64 in Chattanooga, 52 in Knoxville. It’s 42 at MRX, and 38 at my house about 20mi NE of there. Then it’s 35 in Bristol. Almost a 30° temp swing from north to south. We get some pretty good gradients from time to time but this is one of the biggest in awhile for sure!
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