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I don’t see gaps ir weakness of n the highs from Chicago to Libg Island Wall to wall 1035+. It will be a new and learning experience if a modest low can dislodge that

the canadian is on board lol...

Stays really cold out this way though. Nice to see the models starting to get an idea of the amount of cold coming.

Actually I think every subforum was combined...or just about.

I see that, we’d have some good growth, dendrite central. Can still see the NW crew pulling off 13-15:1 ratios.

He may will be, I don't watch. In this case he will be so far out of his league. Honestly I find the guy to be 5 bricks short of a load. A little cray cray if you ask me but then again nobody did so....moving on.

Do any Mets have any possible implications for this?

Many/most runs today have really heavy snow leading into the flip. Like that 14-17z period probably 1-2”/hr

The 18z HRRR is actually not that far off from the 12z GFS in terms of northern extent of precip. shield and snow - mix line. It appears to be flattening the height field a little bit more like the GFS although not quite as much. It's definitely south of the 12z RGEM positions.

The low level dry air really eating the precip as it enters into MO later tonight. Also 18z NAM going farther south with the precip so far.

Did Marcus ever find Bigfoot?

DGZ looks fantastic on the HRRR right before the flip, too. If this holds, oh my...

18z NAM also at hr15 is bringing the HP further into the plains, and a bit stronger. Heights pressing a bit more. Keep the trend going...

Me, riding the sleet line at 1pm Sunday

NYC: 9 Boston: 16 Philly: 7 DC: 6 Hartford: 13 Albany: 13 Me (Montclair, NJ): 10

I miss that place, Philadelphia and NYC were combined and there were great posters there too

24-36cm would be a good call

Considering the overall consensus of all the other high res models slamming the areas along 412 and 44, its safe to say HRRR is the outlier.

So with the Euro having the lowest in the sense of how much liquid precipitation will fall, then you have the GFS and the other major models with more liquid precipitation, and the Nam has the most. So blending them all will get a fairly decent amount of precipitation to get us to that 12 to 18-in range in a lot of the area

18Z HRRR.

The long, long, long range HRRR seems to be placing the low over Corolla NC. (Use for entertainment purposes only!)

He knows better with those amounts

IAD is close to flipping at 48 (18z) on HRRR. This is probably the time it flips.