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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
AMZ8990 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
December is always a tough month for snow and below average temps, so I tend not to worry about the forecast too much at this point despite how disheartening it may be. Peak climatology is still ahead of us, so we have that in our favor. -
Good lord, 12z GFS pops a 591 dm ridge over us on Christmas Day. Pain.
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Our yards might be muddy, but rivers and streams are at or near record low flowrates for the date. Hence also why many lakes and reservoirs have fallen, with even larger lakes (Lake Seneca and Lake Champlain) experiencing low levels not seen in decades back in September and October.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Look Ahead to latter December & the Holiday Period "Given the active, seasonably cold pattern that is expected to ensue and last for at least half of the month, the probability for a White Christmas is above climatological levels, but it remains somewhat dubious for the coastal plane given a possible milder turn prior to the holidays. In fact, the proverbial "Grinch Storm", which occurred in both the 2007 and 2008 analogs, is a distinct possibility". -
Very myopic view.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Chrisrotary12 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Break out the golf clubs -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
AccuChris replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Disregard the above. I was thinking tomorrows highs during the clipper passage. Today was progged around 30 around here . -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
A-L-E-K replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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15 degrees this morning. Lake down the block finally froze over. Believe this is the earliest I've seen it frozen.
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EPS likes Friday more than Sunday.
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It'll have to be SHARKnadoes...so that @stormtracker can break out JAWS for us!
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Well looks like I might be mowing starting in January this coming year. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Great Snow 1717 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Play your cards right and I may be able to get the Methuen DPW to sign the postcard! -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I don’t see severe happening either. I see it staying near average temp wise & rain to chilly rains at times. Which I will gladly take over severe wx any day. They can have the tornadoes out over the open plains where people don’t lose their homes or lives. -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
WestMichigan replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The end of the Euro and GFS couldn't be much more different. The Euro has Western Ohio is in the upper 20's on 12/24 and the GFS is saying low 60's. Definitely la la land for both, but a large difference nonetheless. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Yea, validation of a seasonal is a great post card, and a very appreciated gift. -
2025-2026 ENSO
donsutherland1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Alabama. After Georgia routed Alabama, he’s feeling the pain. -
Last one for many round here.
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The Pacific hates us. It seems to always find a way to screw up everything for us. -
2025-2026 ENSO
TheClimateChanger replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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So I can expect tornadoes or snownadoes still?
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What happened to @LibertyBell? Has he posted recently?
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Ya think? Lol
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14 for my low and wonder if any records got set. i think ive had some winters where i never got to 14 for the entire winter
