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  2. It will be really interesting to see which model performed the best. .
  3. I’m obviously kidding. But off in qpf in what way? I unofficially measured 5” of high ratio snow in multiple places and it wasn’t really pouring sleet here…more like moderate for hours. I have no idea what the melted qpf is but it didn’t seem that far off. Maybe it was, idk.
  4. I was laughing this off as some delusional one-off model run, but I just checked and the GFS has been remarkably consistent on out of band low temps for Tuesday morning. You can go back to runs initialized from Jan 21st and the warmest low temps in its depicted cold pocket just southwest of DC metro is -8!!!
  5. Oh yeah, I can see 20. That was our first and final call map. I just mean anyone getting close to 30. I think you probably finish around 2'.
  6. Is there a roof overhang nearby? I noticed a lot extra sleet around my house under the gutters and a foot or so out. All the sleet from the roof was sliding down and piling up. I measured 6" of snow when I woke up before the sleet started. Who knows how much sleet, maybe another 5-6"?
  7. Probably good if it ends soon especially for parts of the city and LI to avoid ZR.
  8. One last post from DFW. Thought we were done here and yet, the best looking snow I have seen is falling now than from the whole event. We have had flurries off and on all day. Not sure how much if any of this makes it y’all’s way. i am glad most of you managed to dodge major freezing rain.
  9. One last burst of sleet here and the backend looks very near.
  10. Hard to believe it wouldn't bring it due north with this 500mb anomaly. Probably the closest match to 1/25/00 that I've seen modeled since.
  11. Seems well forecasted overall. I feel like a lot of the forecast accumulation maps had a similar look.
  12. Making a run at the daily precip record of 1.80" in 1978 (for Jan 25), the warm sector phase of the famous Great Lakes blizzard of Jan 25-26 1978. That may have included a bit of snow or sleet but was mostly if not all rain in NYC. Also the snowfall is now (I think) ahead of the old record value of 10.0" from 1905.
  13. Got another quick 1/2” of sleet and back to snow. Driveway is done but i wont see blacktop for a while lol. Gonna finish close to 16” i think.
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