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  2. Very warm conditions will likely continue through Sunday. Cooler weather will return for at least the first half of next week. Some rain is also likely early next week, but rainfall amounts could be fairly light. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.3°C for the week centered around June 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.95°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -15.11 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.364 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 77% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 74.5 (2.5° above normal). That would tie June 2026 the seventh warmest June on record with 1984. Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  3. NWS rated this EF1. Never really hit anything directly. Grazed some farmsteads and a business. We had debris falling on us about a mile away. Biggest EF1 I’ve seen, lol. Yes I know that’s not how it’s rated.
  4. We have been above 100 for almost 6 hours straight. That has to be a record
  5. Looks like they hit a wall like yesterday . Last year this would have hit here
  6. My highest temp of year at 97 with heat index of 105
  7. That cluster which originated near IAD yesterday just went gangbusters as it swung through Fairfax, far southern Montgomery, DC, and Prince Georges County. There was a consistent 60-70kt wind signature for over an hour. Really impressive stuff. Looking back on it, the canary in the coal mine was probably the earlier convection near Pittsburgh going so strong.
  8. Watching that one near Great Bearington. Will it hold together
  9. This storm had some gusts and then a gully washer, booming thunder.
  10. Nothing yesterday and .03 overnight. Even my deep rooted plants and raspberry patch are stressed. All around me got hammered, heavy rain, wind and tennis ball hail from Pawling through Danbury and up to an inch of rain in a couple of spots to my WNW.
  11. This weather is absolutely atrocious and anyone who likes it has to be mentally ill or a glass full at all times.
  12. We have had 2" of rain over the last couple of days. Really helping things stay green. I'm starting to get interested about Sunday. Im actually more interested in what could happen in DCA. Extreme heat and humidity with the potential of severe thunderstorms in the afternoon or evening. A huge outdoor event with not too much weather planning it seems. I'm glad I don't work for the National Weather Service at BWI. Some heads could roll if they don't get it just right. I know this borders on politics but a very interesting setup for many people that day, weatherwise...
  13. Well I was wrong. Managed to hit 94 even with the earlier clouds.
  14. Couple of little rain showers here in Merrifield. No thunder or lightning.
  15. Well that's good, because this week, so far, has been pretty lackluster as far as storms go for my backyard.
  16. Getting some pea size hail and torrential rainfall. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  17. Quick moving small storm hit here .14 At least it cooled off the garden.
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