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Just checking GFS 12Z back on for next week??

It rained 6"+ of snow on my house, troll.

Fake fake news. Every model snows on us next weekend at least to start.

I don’t know what to think anymore…hence the reason I said scientific research is needed lol. Is it too warm? Well it’s been pretty cold. Is it too dry? Well we had 2” of qpf from our snowcrete event. Are we just too far south? Well Charlotte got 10” recently and Roanoke is the new snow capital of our region lol. I still think the main issue is that it’s just been too dry overall…simply not enough chances to even get a storm. So if that’s due to a Nina, then it’s been very pervasive the last few years.

What a gradient!

We got snow from them but it's an incredibly tenuous situation that has low probabilities. Definitely worth watching.

I believe this was a smart idea. As we can see with the response to the 12z Euro, we need a place to read analysis without the volatile reactions LOL.

That’s pretty damn good. I subtracted out 1904-05 that was missing December. It’s tough to compete with yore and that 60s-80s period.

Hopefully it means a continued cold winter which will extend well into late Spring followed by double digit below normal temps during Summer with clouds and rain most of time... 14f

Someone please get this guy out of here.

If Dr. No gives us a flush hit, the board will crash!

Heather Archambault About me: http://www.met.nps.edu/~hmarcham/images/me.jpg In September 2011, I began a postdoc with Profs. Pat Harr and Rich Moore in the Department of Meteorology at the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, CA. Before coming to NPS, I earned my Ph.D. and M.S. in Atmospheric Science from the University at Albany, where I was advised by Profs. Dan Keyser and Lance Bosart. My Ph.D. dissertation on the downstream extratropical flow response to recurving western North Pacific tropical cyclones can be accessed here. For my M.S. thesis, I examined statistical and synoptic-dynamic relationships between major cool-season Northeast precipitation events and North Atlantic Oscillation and Pacific–North American regime transitions. Two journal articles describing this work are available here and here. I received a B.S. in Meteorology from Penn State University. My research interests span a variety of topics in synoptic–dynamic meteorology. I am especially interested in the dynamics and predictabilty of tropical–extratropical interactions that serve as precursors to remote high-impact weather events such as heat waves, severe weather outbreaks, or winter storms. In my free time, I like to hike, bike, experience California's microclimates, listen to or attempt to make music, spend time in cafes (especially for brunch), watch anything featuring anyone from the "The State", play or watch basketball, pore over the New York Times online, travel, see movies, and spend time with family.

CMC Para 10:1 (paste bomb so Kuchera hates it)

How much for Philly?

We had a March in the early 2000 ots that had the coldest temps of the season. I lived in the Wolfeboro area at the time, and it was a week of cold. Wish I had the exact dates.

Not being a firefighter, I will take your word for it. I’m just a cold weather person. If I had my way, the temp would never get above 64F and the dews never out of the 50’s. So jealous seeing old people walking around in sweaters in August while we’re under excessive heat warnings. Another reason I’m looking forward to becoming a cranky old man.

Rather have it show something than not so it’s something to watch.

Nah. All whingy posts would be hidden, and the snow maps...

Yall know this is 180 hours + out. You know there are going to be some runs between now and then that are going to be flush hits, right?

got it... thanks

this can work. vort is a lot more defined than 00z

Interested to see the spread on the eps

yes` 12Z misses to south

Add the WB GDPS Para to the snowy side at 12Z. Low track positions 0Z and 18Z Mon.

I *think* I saw some flakes flying around the chapel hill exit on 85. Sky looks like snow that’s for sure