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  2. The eps ensembles took a severe snow map Hit last night
  3. Improvement with the sharpness and orientation of the UL energy and surface low development location over the last few runs on the GFS. EURO trending the same way but surface low development is a bit further offshore
  4. Go find other things to do for christ sakes.
  5. Hang in there....I don't think it will stay boring. Sunday night will probably be mainly east of you, admittedly, but it's going to get active.
  6. I have never seen this degree of uncertainty with the models. Big changes can happen, even within 72 hours. No way to know what late January will be like at this point.
  7. I just hate when there’s nothing to track or get me weather excited and look forward to
  8. After reviewing the overnight models, there is still a lot of uncertainty for the period from late tonight through Monday am. There are a few northern stream systems dropping down into our region, but impacts appear to just be minor to possibly nothing at this time. We will need to keep tracking to see if any of these minor systems over the next few days can get their act together to produce a widespread light snow event. If not, the period from later next week & beyond looks more active with Winter storm chances through the end of January.
  9. Extended looks good to me. To varying degrees, op runs have shown an overrunning type set up somewhere in the region. Obviously the biblical 18z GFS isn't happening, but the EPS and GEFS have been flagging that period (around Jan 23-?) for something to move through. One piece, two pieces...who knows at this point. I mean its our best shot at something other than northern stream dusters. First shot all winter really. And it certainly looks cold in the medium/extended range as well. Seems like it may be a bookend winter. Fast start, then zzzzz, and top it off with a good finish.
  10. Absolutely not . That will be very wrong front comes thru early/ mid morning
  11. Tomorrow ? It drops all day with snow showers . Your area front drags
  12. I hate the cold without snow, but I do long for one of those days when I was kid...temp would be dropping through the single digits during the afternoon and be zero by nightfall. We used to get those more in the 80s...
  13. Sorry if that was a lot, but what I was trying to say was that there is a very outside chance of an extra wave on Sunday. Also, to John's point about : If I saw this satellite without any other context, I would think someone in TN of the MA was about to get a decent snow: The dry slot from central MS and AL to the Cumberland Plateau is a little concerning, but still those are some colder cloud tops in the baroclinic leaf.
  14. Bet the streak till it’s over. .
  15. Euro with another coastal hit. NW trend apparent, though. Energy continues to back more SW. If this turns into a rain event, ugh.
  16. ABC27 said basically they are taking snow out of their forecast for the overnight hours tonight. Didn't even mention possible icy roads tomorrow morning. Nws on the other hand issued a HWO for possible slippery travel overnight and early tomorrow morning. I have a Dr. appoint in Camphill @7:30am tomorrow and i'm on the fence of canceling it, because of possible icy roads. And being about 40 miles from the place where my appointment is scheduled for, forecast matters. And I doubt Penndot will do anything until there is icy conditions or accidents, in my neck of the woods. Maybe I'm overthinking this. Maybe the possible icy conditions will not exist tomorrow morning.
  17. I mean I would say it could trend NW, but when you are on a losing streak you don't expect to make the next shot or for the line drive to fine grass. That's where we are.
  18. Buckle up boys! This weekend is going to f****** suck!!
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