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Yep, no rain within 100 miles today. After 80% chance with 1/2-3/4” forecast yesterday. But glad y’all got some much needed relief

Yes I know. I was talking about the annual seasonal fluctuations. E.g. if you set up a series of sensors in Iowa and monitored them for 86 years you could show the same type of data, with the same chart showing the seasonal variability as well as a general yearly upward trend. My point is that you wouldn't call that "global air surface temperature", because you're not measuring the whole globe with evenly-spread sensors - you're just measuring Iowa; and that explains why it goes up and down with the seasons - because all of your sensors are in the northern hemisphere. If instead the data was actually the whole global temperature - you shouldn't see the seasonal up-and-down like that, because the temperature rise in the southern hemisphere in the winter should match the temperature rise in the northern hemisphere in the summer - because that's the way the seasons work on earth.

WB latest EPS weeklies for May. Cool, no big heat waves...average rainfall.

GFS is as dry as run for parts of NC as we’ve had this spring. And yes, Saturdays system is now east of I 95

And I doubt its more than a dozen days in April/early May where its 70 in CT and 44 here. I'd say it sucks here for a month..but inland areas share a good amount of the meh weather..just not all of it.

WB 12Z EPS. Next "significant" rain chance next Th.

Got some raindrops falling in the vineyard this evening, 53 F.

May (May be) DCA NYC BOS ORD ATL IAH DEN PHX SEA +0.8 +0.4 +0.3 +0.5 +2.5 +0.9 +1.3 +1.6 +1.6

-NAO has been correlating with an East Coast trough more 23-24, 24-25, 25-26 vs 18-19 to 22-23. NAO is a little more important this coming Winter, I think.

Decent rain in silver spring, getting some puddles in my ancient and misshapen driveway. Maybe a third of an inch? I should get a rain gauge.

Fair. I guess the concern is that there’s basically no floor with super strong el ninos. Can be a total shutout almost even for people at very high latitudes and elevations.

Yeah, but gangsters don’t die we multiply.

Some nice sheet drizzle now. Should get some rain tonight.

Yesterday was actually decent here. Today is the one dog shit day. But also even for the coast it’s been below normal. So the North Atlantic argument doesn’t work.

54 and light rain. At least everything is green

You should be ok now.

One good shower about an hour ago. Well under the .50 to an inch forecasted by some models but I will take .15. Maybe one more line will add a little more....

Either July or August. It was biblical looking downpours

Apophis ?

meh. 1 month of pain is worth it

It’s not all back doors and misery mist - the coast has its benefits

sooooo, climate change?

Living near the N Atl is just brutal . Some folks don’t have a choice. But if they do., get away from that thing

Wow! I thought it was dry here. That's brutal

Looking pretty shitty for the next three weeks. Mid-May through the end of the month looks better but it’s a pattern change overnight with little support lol so…