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NAM is pretty far south with the precipitation so we'll see, but I'm assuming some of this will rotate through in the next 6-12 hours.

1.65” prior to the meet of this arriving

Just raised a flashflood warning for me. t 349 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 1.5 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

What are the models showing for later tonight across NYC/NNJ? I haven’t had time to look at the data . There’s been no rain all afternoon.

Lolz

Just had some more thunder with it.

I've been under it for about 30 minutes or so. Crazy.

Yeah the euro has been pretty consistent with that 60-70kt window around 6z at 925…I can’t see 950 without point-clicking soundings and trying to interpret overlapping barbs, but it looks like 50-55kt around that time.

That map is to hour 18? Wow, still over a full day of goodies to come. Seeing family in Worcester and up here it’s been pithy, hoping that changes over the next 12 hours

heard a radio crew at midland this morning, expecting the worst....

Kevin needs new underwear.

Wind clearly picking up

Now you done it

definitely can smell the ocean even here in DC.

Sun is out

Yeah after several hours of blah this band is the real deal.

Would certainly argue for 60 barring some kind of sharp inversion.

Big uptick in winds

what kind of ripping are talking? gust to 50? 60?

RAP is pretty impressive. Even starts cranking the LLJ a bit earlier than some of the other guidance.

Not to sound like Kevin but the Euro is a ripper for CT/LI around 6z.

He would meh 1938 hurricane