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GEFS has good signal for Dec 2-6

First couple of days in December look interesting at this point.

Gefs is trending colder in the mid range. PV is ticking further south.

As long as the pV is further south , we should be alright.

i'm stayin up for the euro already???? jeez bro

metfan wins again.

Coward!

Except for down in the deep southwest where I am, where we have consistently been 10-20 degrees above normal since Sept 1. We are sick and tired of all the warmth! I am already crying out for an ice age for 984 million years. But, Mid Atlantic will see numerous snowstorms this winter. Modeling is already hinting at it, and you guys will be staring at modeling then digging snow til your backs break.

What SER, lol??

Ensemble confirmation: GEFS 0z, 12z, tonight 0z And we're putting stock in 3-4 weeks model output??? Lol

0z gfs for $500 Alex. Wowza. Multiple waves. If only we could lock that in now

Stowe…foggy af early on, but best November 24th I’ve ever skied. Upper mountain was good! .

I’ll take the under

Gotta love Gfs temp anomalies after the snow and sleet fest.

I don’t trust that one, might cut to Buffalo but the pattern at least has a decent look.

Discussions in this forum are awesome. There is no doom & gloom (winter cancel). Everyone is respectful & considerate. I have learned a lot in this forum. As for many other forums having their typical bias, this forum has none of that. The whole picture of what could & could not happen is always spoken in here. Thank you to all for sharing. I do hope everyone has a wonderful Thanksgiving! Bring on that Arctic air!!!

Pretty sick GFS run! Wow. The CMC is going to be a little warmer, but close-ish. The key difference is the high pressure nosing down reflecting the slightly more suppressive mid-upper level flow over New England. Here's to hoping the models home in from here instead of wild swings.

Where the hell is Bliz? 0z Gfs is a dream for most here.

It’s been a miserable Fall for people who prefer warmer weather, that’s for sure. Seems like September got skipped this year and we went right into mid Fall. Latest gfs says December wants to continue that trend.

Look at the Canadian 0z, 12, 0z comparison in temps. Under 120 hrs with that kind of change is criminal

Beautiful ridge out west Pv is also way further south enhanced by the negative EPO. Gfs just gave 10 plus inches to NYC with overrunning.

And it is not just GFS...Canadian does the same...much colder

Figured I'd start the thread. While the Winter Solstice is still 4 weeks away, met winter starts in a week. Its been quiet since many of us saw out first snow and taste of winter November 9-10, but now wintry potential is showing up in multiple extended forecasts. So it's time!