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This storm unfortunately didn't quite bust the drought west of 287. The surface is moist from days of drizzle, but the (subsurface) soil moisture is still low.
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Not sure if its gonna happen but 12z HRRR has another 1" to 1.5" SE of 495 through the morning.
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up in North Adams today, windy and cool, misery mist, drove over Greylock, it's stick season up top
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I usually enjoy Tip posts but this one just sounded like adults in a Charlie Brown special to me in my head. Can you explain the second part a little more?
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.27" since Saturday. This cutoff better not continue into winter.
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1.13"
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I think it is safe to say this storm went as advertised for coastal NJ and Long Island in terms of wind gusts, power outages, coastal flooding and beach erosion. Rainfall varied from west to east and no totals really out of hand. I don’t quite get the number of inland power outages as this was pretty much run of the mill in my area. Rain with wind gusts of 30-35 mph should not be knocking out power. Guess trees still in full leaf part of the problem? Not like the ground was saturated so don’t quite get it. Coastal NJ as expected took the brunt of this. Some impressive videos from along the NJ shore.
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Over here, we're only down .64 for the year and actually slightly above normal at this point in the month with 1.59 inches this month. You guys have definitely been much drier over there.
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
@John1122, heavy snow warnings for the summits of Mono Co. John, who is it that you follow in Mammoth Lakes? -
If I'm remembering correctly, isn't this what you want to see in October according to the research Bluewave has done?
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lol sometimes you take things too far. Is it not lucky that central NJ got an intense lake effect like band in February of 24 that dumped over a foot overnight with no models suggesting anything close to these amounts? This one event combined with the other lighter storms brought them up to their 91-20 seasonal average for that winter. It could have easily impacted central park instead and brought them up to average.
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There's over 2,000 people without power in Brookhaven along, worth what looks to be all of port Jefferson out. Jeez
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
WmsptWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Well Pat Kraft had a presser and here is what was taken: 1) Blubbered over decision. 2) Buyout will come from athletics, not the University. 3) Somebody who is capable of winning right this second will be the guy. 4) A Brinks Truck is being loaded up for whomever that lucky winner is. -
The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
WEATHER53 replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Lengthy spate of showers and drizzle and 20 mph breezes with gusts to 35. it did not deliver the heavy rain nor stronger winds but it’s certainly not a non event -
I am in Tuckerton just rode with the Ocean County Sheriff's Department on a sherp. The entire Tuckerton Beach neighborhood is under water approaching major flooding stage. High tide is still 2 hours away as the winds have ramped back up. There are homes with water inside of them (ones that were not raised) and several vehicles like this one lost.
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2.33” in Syosset. On generator due to single car accident up street snapping power pole. Unknown eta from PSE&G per Syosset FD scanner. 1.68” in Muttontown so far.
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Up to 2.55”. East end about to get rocked
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Up to 0.83" event total so far. Some old branches/trees down since it has been a long time since we had a wind event
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
Typhoon Tip replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Not sure I agree here... We ARE in a catastrophe, a slow moving one. To slow to be seen in what we call "real time", or human perception, but that slowness only beguiles us into a false sense of lessening urgency. Don and I ( and any others et al) have been discussing about the limitations in the biology of all Terran life ( for that matter -): for all species, urgency is aroused by what their senses are telling them. Human beings, as far as can be empirically tested, are the only life forms on this planet capable of prognosticating doom or boon based upon projection. But we still procrastinate, if not outright disregard those forecasts when the evidences are not directly appealing as such. You know ... what can be seen, heard, smell, tasted., or touched. The tree does fall in the woods whether anyone is around to see it happen or not, and in this case... it's particularly bad because the proverbial tree is falling right in front of us, yet is unseen. But it's still falling -
8.92,at 1242pm ish is a 6 min spike of a foot and unrealistic. until NWS blesses it, I’d rely on the smooth tidal curve
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The mesos were persistent with the 5-6" totals for South shore. 3.54" with steady rain
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You mentioned the Berkshires yesterday and I think they did get a little bit more rain than my area. Just speculation based on how the radar looked I haven’t checked totals for anyone.