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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
DavisStraight replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Your Maine pit should see up to 3 inches in the next 2 days. -
sorry auto correct made me look like a dumb weenie. What I meant is if the Low pressure is overhead than we should worry about rain or mixing otherwise a strong wound up system that hugs the coast will bring us heavy snow since it's a very fast moving storm.
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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
mikeeng92 replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
About 4” . Amazing storm -
2 cartoppers and a 3 or so incher before Dec10 isnt a bad start to winter
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The Monday wintry event potential (12/8/25)
NorthHillsWx replied to GaWx's topic in Southeastern States
Officially a dusting here! Best rates of day. Roofs/cars/mulch white -
Just measured 6 inches.
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2025-2026 ENSO
vegan_edible replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
wait you're telling me that claiming winter will be solidly above average in august bc of previous winters is persistence forecasting?? color me surprised! -
Nice mood flakes in downtown Raleigh right now.
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Shhhh! People are going to start thinking your name is Richard!! (saying this all in jest, as you know!) That reminds me...Many years ago I remember this one episode of the old Letterman show, where for his "Top 10 list" he found ten people with the name "Richard Head"...and had them parade out on stage showing their driver's licenses to prove that was their name!!!
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I chased again today to areas just south of Keysville. I can only imagine what accumulations would have been had it been a night hit but that was a solid band for awhile..
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The Monday wintry event potential (12/8/25)
landof2rivers replied to GaWx's topic in Southeastern States
Lightly snowing still and temp is 33.1* based on my wireless thermometer. Alexa says it’s 30* but she also gives me info based on Stokesdale obs so who knows. -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
Midlo Snow Maker replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Quite a drop from 49 this AM
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Have we ever had a year where the tie-breaker cities beat the regular cities in snowfall?
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And I am surprisingly down to 33.6°. Flake size for the most part is terrible. A few fatties every now and then.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
bristolri_wx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
It would be interesting for someone to do a case study on the accuracy of model forecasts for these shortwaves that originate in areas with lower amounts of sample data. My totally half-assed ignorant theory is that as the model resolution has increased over the last few years, paired with the faster flow we've had, it causes more run-to-run inconsistencies on the operational models for these types of storms. If the flow was a little slower, there would be time of the physics to catch up to the shortwaves as they develop and provide a more consistent forecast. We often do not get consensus on the info we need to determine snowfall amounts until a day or two before because many of the storms that have been happening over the last few years have been fast movers. Not a lot of systems stalling and/or phasing, and when they do, they are usually modeled better. The older lower resolution models may have been less sensitive to this problem, though may have not generated a more accurate forecasts, just one that was more consistently wrong until go time. And as usual, we are often talking about differences in tracks of 50 or 100 miles to determine snow amounts, which is more difficult to pin down compared to just plain rain during other parts of the year. -
lol the gaslighting continues. No mystery why this offense is struggling, and Lamar gets sacked and injured.. why they struggle mightily in the red zone. People need to be fired over this.
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It's a no stress bonus event. Especially for us coasties.
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Coming from a bad area of observations though. I would like to see some consistency and improvement over the next few days, but it doesn’t have to happen overnight.
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Radar still looking good. Could end up with 7. Crazy how this came out of nowhere. Was maybe an inch 24 hours ago.
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Thanks. I will wait unti tomorrow to update.
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Radar here looks like lt snow for awhile
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30 here now. Will be very icy tomorrow am on the roads.
