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And you might be able to say that is quite possible

Good luck and stay safe/warm. We appreciate your work.

That is true. Freezing drizzle is diabolical

Yep. NE burb of Cincinnati, moved here in September.

Even with 60 hours to go…just based on the factors we have going in, I think it’s safe to lock in at least 8”+ for the both of us. I’m looking for trends to see if we can cash in on the high end amounts.

I clicked on BOX and they werent showing

This is where the mountains help us with CAD.

Like you I expect it. Climo is hard to argue against down here when miller Bs are being discussed. Just hoping we eek out a good dump prior to it.

Be careful what you wish for with “less” qpf. Physics say warm air transport over a deep cold wedge = light precip models won’t see and radar might not see either. You might shave a few tenths off as we progress but you’re honestly just creating an environment for more efficient ice accrual.

You beat me to it was just posting those. Saved me from using my attachment limit... Great consistency on them. I wish that site includes all 30 of the members but it gives a good indication.

I work in Utility. Next week is gonna be a long one for me.

its refreshing to see modeled bombs inside the benchmark and inside 10 days again..

Not just them, the Connecticut River Valley as wll Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Look at GFS H5 at 150hrs (not exactly crazy fantasy land). Huge shortwave entering California. Very un-Nina like and very classic for big dog coastals.

Check out this analog list.... heh...

Northern Kentucky and Ohio are having a banner Winter. They had the long snowless break late December and early January but cashed in with 3 4+ Event's in early December along with 3 1-3" deal's. Now a foot or so from this one. Cincinnatis Seasonal Average is just over 20 inches. So, after this storm they'll already be a foot above Average.

Unfortunately, it does. Really pulling for the warm nose on this one

A widespread 10+ feels likely, and that’s cool to me.

Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1011 AM CST Thu Jan 22 2026 ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-103- 112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238- 240-241-313-340-341-231200- /O.UPG.KLZK.WS.A.0001.260123T1800Z-260125T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KLZK.WS.W.0001.260123T1800Z-260126T0000Z/ Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence- Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry- Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha- Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest- Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations- Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-Northern Scott County- Northwest Yell County-Polk County Lower Elevations-Central and Eastern Montgomery County-Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations- Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations- Van Buren County Higher Elevations-Southern and Eastern Logan County-Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest- Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations- Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations- Including the cities of Nogo, Waldron, Clarksville, Mansfield, Western Grove, Marshall, Oark, Benton, Conway, De Valls Bluff, Ola, Hartley, Acorn, Lonoke, Little Rock, Scotland, Pine Bluff, Hampton, Attica, Cherokee Village, Russellville, Kingsland, McGehee, Oxford, Augusta, Cave City, Mountain View, Mammoth Spring, Sheridan, Warren, Des Arc, Plainview, Hatfield, Botkinburg, Coal Hill, Dardanelle, Heber Springs, Bull Shoals, Norman, Pindall, Arbaugh, Mountain Home, Calico Rock, Harrison, Hardy, Beebe, Rich Mountain, Melbourne, Dennard, Mountain Fork, Paris, Ozone, McCrory, Arkadelphia, Morrilton, Rison, Caulksville, Waveland, Monticello, Hector, Stuttgart, Bryant, Murfreesboro, Searcy, Subiaco, Flippin, Nunley, Mount Ida, Grannis, Ponca, Star City, Y City, Clinton, Gould, Camden, Shirley, Boxley, Walnut Ridge, Mena, Yellville, Atkins, Big Fork, Saint Joe, Clarendon, Gilbert, Havana, Pocahontas, Tilly, Cotton Plant, Blue Mountain, Story, Malvern, Horseshoe Bend, Batesville, Hot Springs, Damascus, Dumas, Cabot, Thornton, Newport, De Witt, Hoxie, Hartman, Leslie, Fordyce, Knoxville, London, Danville, Perryville, Deer, North Little Rock, Ash Flat, Sugar Grove, Brinkley, Pelsor, Mount Magazine, Summit, Boles, Jasper, Fairfield Bay, Albert, Booneville, Hazen, and Glenwood 1011 AM CST Thu Jan 22 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 6 PM CST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and some sleet accumulations between 4 and 10 inches across northern sections...sleet and some snow accumulation of 1 to 4 inches over central sections...and sleet and ice accumulations around one to three quarters of an inch across far southern and southeast sections. * WHERE...Portions of central, eastern, north central, southeast, southwest, and western Arkansas. * WHEN...From noon Friday to 6 PM CST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Expect power outages and tree damage due to the ice. Travel could be impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions across Arkansas can be found at www.idrivearkansas.com. && $$ Extreme Cold Watch URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Little Rock AR 553 AM CST Thu Jan 22 2026 ARZ007-008-016-017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069- 121>123-130-137-138-140-141-230-237-238-240-241-340-341-222200- /O.CAN.KLZK.FG.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-260122T1400Z/ /O.CON.KLZK.EC.A.0001.260124T0600Z-260126T1800Z/ Sharp-Randolph-Independence-Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway- Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke- Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas- Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew- Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-Northern Scott County- Northwest Yell County-Polk County Lower Elevations-Central and Eastern Montgomery County-Southern and Eastern Logan County- Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest- Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations- Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations- Including the cities of Little Rock, Rich Mountain, Gould, Newport, Hatfield, Nunley, Thornton, Albert, Batesville, Hazen, Augusta, Clarksville, Monticello, Coal Hill, Sheridan, Hector, Dumas, Y City, North Little Rock, Fordyce, McCrory, Murfreesboro, Bryant, Knoxville, Cotton Plant, Mena, Hoxie, Warren, Scotland, Lonoke, Clarendon, Walnut Ridge, Hampton, Hartman, Pine Bluff, Conway, Norman, Subiaco, De Witt, Danville, Star City, Waldron, Hot Springs, Clinton, Des Arc, Waveland, Mountain Fork, Mansfield, Hartley, Blue Mountain, Hardy, Heber Springs, Boles, Benton, Mount Ida, Glenwood, Shirley, Russellville, Caulksville, Malvern, Sugar Grove, Perryville, Stuttgart, Morrilton, Searcy, Story, Ola, Camden, Mount Magazine, De Valls Bluff, Pocahontas, Havana, Beebe, Grannis, Plainview, Ash Flat, Fairfield Bay, Kingsland, Arkadelphia, Rison, Dardanelle, Atkins, Cave City, Brinkley, London, McGehee, Attica, Booneville, Paris, Cabot, Big Fork, Acorn, and Damascus 553 AM CST Thu Jan 22 2026 ...EXTREME COLD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as as low as 5 to 0 degrees possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, eastern, north central, southeast, southwest, and western Arkansas. * WHEN...From late Friday night through Monday morning. * IMPACTS...The cold wind chills as low as 10 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Dress in layers including a hat, face mask, and gloves if you must go outside. Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills inside. Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates. && $$ Winter Storm Warnings now up in Arkansas

Gun to head, 8-12" up here right now.

damn

Ukie looks great. LFG!

Even if we pull off all snow in LSV, gut says 12-13:1 for us. 15:1 likely hills north of the burg and towards waterboy up in da Skook.

Maybe us Raleigh folks will have our power back on before we get buried next weekend

On top of the synoptic impacts, verbatim this would yield a significant upslope event for the northern Green mountains. Still in fantasy range, but definitely fun to look at.