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The Feb 5-6 and 9-10 storms being back to back is simply mythological, it's astounding that any sort of pattern could enable 2 big dog storms not even 4 full days apart at our latitude. That being on top of an almost as-rare December HECS and the already regionwide 28"+ winter totals is the stuff of weenie lore. I don't care if we get a winter that rivals 13-14 in totals but with snowpack on the ground from December to St. Patrick's Day. If it doesn't have at least 3 big dog storms, it's not topping 09-10.
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Looks way south that's not coming up here, just noting another wave, there's a wave almost everyday traversing the east on guidance.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Thursday’s storm keeps trending towards a miss. I’ll have to enjoy the inch or so I get tonight, even if the sun angle causes it to melt immediately tomorrow. -
Don't get me wrong the pattern was perfect. We timed up an extremely perfect AO/NAO with a moderate basin wide Nino which is our perfect STJ configuration for elevated chances at HECS level storms. That right there is the prerequisite we needed to even have a chance at that. But then it also took good luck yes. Put it this way...the pattern was so good that it produced 5 HECS level events somewhere in the east that winter. That was the pattern not luck. BUT...Baltimore got flush hit by 3 of the 5 and a pretty good SECS level snowfall from 1 of the other 2. Out of the 5 huge snowstorms that affect the east coast that winter only 1 missed Baltimore and 3 were flush hit bullseyes! That is good luck. That is us scoring way above our average hit rate. With bad luck maybe we only get 1 of those to hit... average luck maybe 2, getting 3 flush hits was very good luck on top of the perfect pattern. We also got flush hit with some weaker waves, a clipper that put down 2-3" and that little thing in early Feb that gave us 3-6". Perfect pattern plus good luck and...most snow ever.
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2/26 - Follow-up Hopium Battlezone Storm
paulythegun replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Precip max between 10am and 1pm. can't catch a break. -
KMGJ doesn't measure snow. I believe someone came up with an average based on old COOP data by the Crist brothers in Walden best I could tell. I'll have to think on how I came across anything to use for KMGJ, it might have actually been Accuweather. Whatever it was it appeared to update with the new 10 year averages a few years ago as I recall and is broken down by month. While I always took that number with a grain of salt I was impressed with how close it was/is to my running averages. If/when I figured it out again I'll reply here.
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I tell ya, I've been on the boards since the early days of the interwebz - the PB Post/GoPBI.com Storm9X forum boards (which morphed into Storm2K), The Weather Channel boards, and even the forerunner to AMWX here (which IIRC was EasternUSWx.com). Throw in the zoo that's Twitter/X, and decades of dealing with our WFOs social media pages and I've got almost 30 years of dealing with crazies, weenies, trolls, ranters and the like. I'm looking forward to it.
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In late February 2010, we just missed a huge snowstorm that hit New York City, so not everything went perfect that winter. I feel that this winter had the potential to rival 09-10, but bad luck with storm tracks and surface temperatures being 5-10 degrees too warm for a couple of the storms spoiled our chances for a historic winter. But the sleet storm in January was historic along with the glacier that followed for weeks.
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You're giving up early, you usually hold out until May Had a few passing sun flurries. First, I thought it was just junk blowing off the trees. Nope. They were the for real real kind.
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Clipper Fires In Wednesday Feb 25 Disco/ Obs
ORH_wxman replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Post clipper squalls on the 3k.... -
Can see the gradient from Balt north and east
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I’m still hoping Legro can fit freshet into an AFD one of these Marches.
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Gfs is decent. Meh, inch or 2. Looked better on surface map than snowfall map.
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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
codfishsnowman replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
I did watch Corys video a few times and there's no doubt his area got boned for whatever reason. He had to be in a narrow subby zone between the Goliath Central and southern RI band and the one just to his NE. That is just horrible luck. I totally believe it and kinda feel bad for him but that said his area should be well cleaned up and he should go out and look to see in different directions how long it takes to run into massive amounts. An inch or so of snow in nine hours is horrible in his area but sub zones can do that. If he had say peak depths of new snow in the teens then it tappered off for the next 8-9 hours hen that wind is going to do some serious compaction. I would buy him getting 14-18 inches allowing for settling and compaction etc. -
Floods for one floods for all?
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How the guy at the PVD airport Couldn’t go out when the final band left with this once in a 200 year storm is beyond me. They definitely had another 0.2-0.5 post-7pm. Took them to the very end to be their usual disappointment, but they did it. I’ll be down there today to check out totals.
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
ORH_wxman replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Of course he is....there's an unwritten bond between all weather and snow weenies. -
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Just got put under a WWA for freezing rain and sleet. Currently it’s 80/20 sleet/freezing rain.
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Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
understudyhero replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
There was still a snow mound from where they plowed the parking lots on Mother's Day where I worked. We remember 2009/2010 vastly different. We were single lane in and out of our townhouses for at least two weeks. -
Where do you get the Montgomery airport snowfalls totals from? I thought like Poughkeepsie, which stopped measuring a few decades ago for good reason, that Montgomery doesn't measure snow. Let me know if you have the link, thanks.
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2 inches difference for such a short distance.
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Where are you seeing the Saturday wave? Nothing jumped out at me when I looked this morning.
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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
codfishsnowman replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
That looks very legit to me. I think anything from 35 to 45 is acceptable there down through southern and central RI. That looks like a bit more than some of those Cape pictures from 2005 in areas where 30-38 inches fell.
