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Here's Asheville

“You chose poorly”

Well I think that's all she wrote with the warm up. 29° feels like 21°. Not a lot of 40s in the extended. Or 30s for that matter.

Yea, just limbs everywhere and very, very rigid movements.

Well -NAO's are happening much more frequently during, or after, Solar Min's than Solar Maxes. We had a Solar Max until Summer 2025, so there is actually a 0 to +4 year lag after Solar Max for cold season +NAO (0.25 correlation, or 62.5% of the time), and a 0 to +4 year lag after Solar Min for cold season -NAO (0.25 correlation, or 62.5% of the time). The lag after Solar Cycle has us in +NAO probability until Summer 2029.

Feel better?

I have heard that you are a master debater.

Of course

It is pretty cold at 925. No doubt it’ll be mostly snow N and W of 495 but I wonder if it’ll just be slushy crap outside the elevations especially during the afternoon. Boundary layer looks kinda warm after 18z. I’m not super enthused here. Best rates definitely west too.

Not without a snow pack IMHO.

57 still.

The last piece of the puzzle to make this my best work yet is the PV split in February....that would be the chef's kiss.

Back in the 90's I thought that area was snow central. 200+ a season lol. Same with Carroll County. Carroll County always jacked while my county would be pouring rain. You know "east of the cities" was a hell scape. That's when we use to get ocean storms. The past 10 years it's been luck over elevation. I'm sure here soon the worm will turn and I'll get driving rain while you brag about how it's the best snowstorm in years.

The NAM, HREF, and HRRR are going away in 2026 and will be the RRFS. Can you run one for KFQD?

He was moving very erratically. Robotic and sputtering

That 18z Reggie literally snows the entire weekend lol. We pray

My stuff has been about as good as anyone on a seasonal level this year, but too bad the storms haven't cooperated yet.

Is the rrfs replacing the nam?

Just to be clear I think these two recon flights are different from the previous ones.

I think it becomes more favorable for at least some overrunning events later next week and beyond.

He actually was! Remember the gtg when he showed up at Funky’s?

Ah really? Why the discrepancy in snowfall totals? EPS on WxBELL has a mean of 4" going out to 360 hrs.

Tropical tidbits has 2 over the Pac right now. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/

No there isn’t. I was looking at 12z

I'll bet you a hundo I get at least 6" of snow between now and the end of January.