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Yikes, 18z NAM is a disaster.

Yup trending north a bit again

Just wait until they come out with NAM.ai lol...get your weenie googles out!

By tonight/tomorrow 0z-12z we should see NAM start handling the thermals better.

By 7pm NAM has sleet line up into Northumberland County, extreme southern tier is taint from 1pm on. Holding the line for itself ha.

NAM is a touch warmer this run.

Its about 30 miles further north which is a huge difference since that encompasses most of the metro

The NAM kinda does truncate at hour 36 I believe? Could make sense.

The coastal never gets cranking and we are flooded with warm air. Is it right? Who knows.

7pm Sunday SCPA is mixing with sleet. I still think it is too warm

solid assessment, as always. are you still at cle?

Drier and warmer. 6 runs to go

Now I’m confused was reading NAM was more south now it looks bad?

I definitely see these as a potential for you to be posting Tuesday morning about how you “ can’t believe” you got 24” lol

I mean it has the FGEN but only bothers to bring it north after we all are sleeting. The HRRR has FGEN more spread out which makes sense imo with this setup and then its real band is right on the snow/sleet line

Damn that's a spicy nw jump on the 18z Nam

Skirting the edge in AGC, is this a DeNAMming

Yikes, not what we wanted to see, but it's the NAM. It giveth and taketh away every cycle.

Your still blue at 18z

Much lower amounts by 21z on this NAM run. It doesn't have as strong of a thump before the change to sleet.

Of course right as I say that, this run is warmer. Sleet profile showing almost 3 inches just to northwest....

I have this weird feeling that Chicago is gonna get a huge march snowstorm or snow blitz that causes a very bookended season and makes for a solid snowier than avg winter despite a lot of zzz for you guys during actual winter.

Primary low looking a little stronger on the 18z Nam?