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Ai GFS

Wow 6z gfs was amazing.

Just read the Richmond AFD--Obvious concern but they think the Euro is overdoing the ice, which I said in my post earlier(it has almost three quarters of an inch here). The forecasters there are thinking a good chunk of that will be sleet, but expecting significant ice as well- potentially catastrophic in some places.

Yeah, it went north some, but the 6z Rgem went south and dropped a foot before changeover. Nam still far out. 3k Nam, though only at its limits ofc60hrs, looked south of 12k fwiw.

Very amped, we would not love that.

6z GFS upped the ante:

Wow. Coating here but done now. You’ve done well in these nickel and dimes

Wow--what an event for down there. I wish I were still in retirement mode so I could spend the storm there rather than Pit2. Actually, that's just one of many reasons I wish I were still in retirement mode. ::)

Sunday afternoon into Tuesday morning

Wow Congrats I knew it when I saw what I had, shocked I have 1.5” here.

You can say that again. I believe I actually saw a watch/warning for exploding trees to to extreme cold temps further northwest. At this point who knows what we might see. It's why we all love weather! Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk

Am I blind or did I see no mention of the 6z NAM? .

At least 4” here .

By the time all is said amd done, this storm will mostly be remembered for the areas that recieve ice, and the following arctic air. Sure doesnt look like the blockbuster metropolis snowstorm we were hoping would thread the needle. Im enjoying watching the evolution of model outputs, particularly the AI versions. We have a longgggg way to go with AI models, and without sampling, its evident that solutions will likely not verify at a higher level than traditional models.

I'll take the sleet, but not a half inch+ of freezing rain. eff that. Euro had like 0.7" here. That s way overdone I think. It will either be sleet or ultimately go to plain rain if that track holds.

6z GFS just keeps snowing through all of Monday. Doesn't want to stop.

Eastern MA crushed

I just updated the maps, truly incredible run.

WRONG! Much better in spots with back end upper low on Monday.

All Hail the GFS!

Ninja'd

Congrats to NYS and SNE--looking great. Blows northeast of that.

Crippling Ice storm still for a lot of the area

Gfs gets upper low action on Monday. Sweeeeeet!