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One of the most beautiful mesocyclones I’ve seen

It's not only closer, more than likely it is a pattern changing storm and *could* ultimately take us into a below normal temperature pattern. WX/PT

Most models are closer. Check out CMC. WX/PT

Gfs still a good hit but likes eastern PA for the 2 to 3" amounts

0z Model runs are trouble up and down the East Coast Outer Banks to North Jersey.

0z Model runs are absolutely trouble for the Jersey and Delaware Beaches all the way to the Outer Banks, get ready!

Didn’t miss much tonight.

00z icon is not a shift south , it's closer in fact..

WB 0Z ICON ticked west again...so did GFS

GFS Model – MSLP & Precip (Rain/Frozen) for Southeast U.S. | Tropical Tidbits

High of 83 today. Dew points on the mid 70's made it feel very humid out. Picked up .01" from a very brief shower.

I'm just taking all those model posts and applying a mental kuchera to them to pretend they're snow. Getting my practice in before it really counts.

120-140" in your hood

The "right"? The source of that article isn't right-leaning. But if you just said media in general, sure, I agree that they often use language with a bias and intent other than objective reporting.

Don't get in the habit, lolol

This might be the first time since winter that I stay up for model runs!

Enjoy the next couple of days. Looks like a awful week next week

Man, close the shades after Saturday

0.74 on the day. New grass rejoices

0.28" today. mostly overnight and a.m.

52 already, gonna be a cold one

I mean... A weather geek getting married during a Nor' Easter? Is that really such a bad thing? lol. Congrats.

.47” here. It helps for sure. Hopefully it’s the appetizer to a more meaty entree Sunday.

A 10.4 ft high tide is being forecasted for Ft. Pulaski for late Friday morning: That would be tied for the 7th highest tide on record there going back ~90 years, tied with the 8/11/1940 hurricane. It would be only barely lower than the highest tide on record there not associated with a TC, which is the 10.45’ of 11/7/2021! This is the longest coastal flooding discussion I can ever recall being released by KCHS:TIDES/COASTAL FLOODINGTHE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR COASTAL CHARLESTON AND COLLETON COUNTIES, ALONG WITH TIDAL BERKELEY COUNTY AS THEIR IMPACTS ARE TIED TO THE CHARLESTON HARBOR TIDE GAGE, FOR THE REMAINDER OF OUR SOUTHEAST COAST PLEASE SEE THE NEXT DISCUSSION. MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY MORNING AS KING TIDES CONTINUE, WITH ASTRO TIDES OF 7.06 FT MLLW, WHICH BY ITSELF IS ALREADY ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE, TIDAL DEPARTURES OF 1 FOOT ARE EXPECTED WHICH WILL BRING THE TIDE FORECAST OVER 8 FEET MLLW, WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST AT 8.1 FT MLLW. AT THESE LEVELS, WIDESPREAD AND HIGHLY IMPACTFUL COASTAL FLOODING OCCURS IN DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON WITH NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE AND WATER ENTERING SOME STRUCTURES. IMPACTS ALSO INCLUDE EROSION AT AREA BEACHES, WITH LIMITED TO NO ACCESS TO DOCKS, PIERS, AND SOME ISLANDS. MAJOR FLOOD STAGE AT THE CHARLESTON HARBOR RESULTS IN MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IN TIDAL BERKELEY COUNTY. WHILE MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS AGAIN EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY EVENING AS DEPARTURES RISE THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS DEVELOP, WE ARE MOST CONCERNED FOR LATE FRIDAY MORNING'S HIGH TIDE AS STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE AND ASTRO TIDE FALLING TO JUST BELOW 7 FT MLLW, WHICH MAY AGAIN RESULT IN MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING. THIS IS WHEN THE HIGHEST TIDE IS EXPECTED AS DEPARTURES RISE TO NEAR 1.5 FT, WHICH SHOULD BRING THE TIDE GAGE UP TO NEAR 8.5 FT MLLW. WHILE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN MAJOR FLOOD STAGE BEING REACHED, MINOR FLUCTUATIONS IN WIND DIRECTION AND WIND SPEED AROUND HIGH TIDE WILL ULTIMATELY DETERMINE JUST HOW HIGH ABOVE 8 FEET WE GO, WITH NORTHEAST WINDS RESULTING IN HIGHER READINGS ABOVE 8.5 FT MLLW AND MORE NORTHERLY WINDS KEEPING US CLOSER TO 8.0 FT MLLW. IF WE WERE TO REACH 8.5 FT MLLW, MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN TIDAL BERKELEY COUNTY. FOR LATE FRIDAY EVENING THE ASTRO TIDE DROPS TO 5.6 FT MLLW RESULTING MINOR/MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING EXPECTED, WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING LATE SATURDAY MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AS ASTRO TIDE PEAKS NEAR 6.72 FT MLLW, THOUGH WE'LL NEED TO SEE HOW THE TIDAL DEPARTURES END UP TRENDING AS THE COASTAL LOW DEVELOPS TO OUR SOUTH. DUE TO THE RISK OF MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING, A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR COASTAL CHARLESTON AND COLLETON COUNTIES, VALID FROM 8 AM THURSDAY THROUGH 3 PM FRIDAY.AT FORT PULASKI, WHICH IMPACTS AREAS FROM BEAUFORT COUNTY IN SOUTH CAROLINA DOWN TO MCINTOSH COUNTY IN GEORGIA, LATE THURSDAY MORNING'S ASTRONOMICAL TIDE OF 9.1 FT MLLW COMBINED WITH TIDAL DEPARTURES OF JUST UNDER A FOOT WILL BRING THE AREA RIGHT TO MODERATE FLOOD STAGE, WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST CRESTING AT 10 FT MLLW (MODERATE FLOOD STAGE). AT THESE LEVELS, HIGHWAY-80 CONNECTING TO TYBEE ISLAND STARTS TO SEE WATER ON IT AND NUMEROUS ROADS BECOME IMPASSABLE SUCH AS SHIPYARD ROAD, ISOLATING RESIDENTS ON BURNSIDE ISLAND.FLOODING WILL ALSO IMPACT AREAS ON TYBEE ISLAND, WILMINGTON ISLAND, THE COFFEE BLUFF COMMUNITY, OSSABAW ISLAND, SAPELO ISLAND, PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 17 SOUTH OF DARIEN. IN BRYAN COUNTY, WATER COULD BREACH DOCKS NEAR FT MCALLISTER AND FLOODING IMPACTING PORTIONS OF MILL HILL ROAD. IN LIBERTY COUNTY, FLOODING IMPACTS THE HALFMOON LANDING AREA AND CATTLE HAMMOCK ROAD NEAR BERMUDA BLUFF SUBDIVISION. WE WILL LIKELY SEE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING LATE THURSDAY EVENING AS ASTRO TIDE PEAKS AT 7.74 FT MLLW, WITH TIDAL DEPARTURES RISING THROUGHOUT THE DAY CLOSE TO 2 FT. SIMILAR TO CHARLESTON, THE TIDE OF GREATEST CONCERN OCCURS LATE FRIDAY MORNING, AS THE ASTRO TIDE IS AT 8.91 FT MLLW AND WITH THE CONTINUED STRONG GRADIENT WINDS ELEVATED TIDAL DEPARTURES IS EXPECTED. CURRENT FORECAST PEAKS AT 10.4 FT MLLW, BUT AS DISCUSSED ABOVE, THE EXACT WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED IS GOING TO PLAY A BIG ROLE IN HOW HIGH ABOVE 10 FT MLLW THE TIDE GAGE WILL GO. IF THE WIND DIRECTION WERE TO SHIFT CLOSER TO NORTHERLY, TIDAL READINGS CLOSER TO 10 FT MLLW WOULD BE EXPECTED, WHEREAS NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED RESULTING IN THE FORECAST OF 10.4 FT MLLW. AS THE TIDAL READINGS APPROACH 10.5 FT MLLW, COASTAL FLOODING IMPACTS EXPAND ALONG THE ENTIRE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COAST. WILL LIKELY SEE A BREAK FROM COASTAL FLOODING LATE FRIDAY EVENING AS THE ASTRO TIDES FALLS TO 7.41 FT MLLW, THOUGH THERE IS A RISK FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. HOWEVER, AS MENTIONED ABOVE, WILL NEED TO SEE HOW THE TIDAL DEPARTURES TREND AS THE COASTAL LOW DEVELOPS TO OUR SOUTH.