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Life is a boxful of chocolates

I was reading today that WPC is tossing the UKie for the way it has the trough.

Models still showing significant snow down to the Delmarva so I don't think we are going to see anything change that stunning.

All of SNE / CNE crushed.

From what a couple others have said it makes sense...very subtle changes but they're there. 6z and 12z will certainly be telling!

Sounds miserable.

We can hope to dry slot at the end

You,Wmspt (in Huntingdon) up to Nepa/mahantango/voyager look to be in cat bird seat IMO. Thermally safe, and prob a bit of lift to help bump yas into the hi end accums. Pullin for yas while I take my 13.9 at MDT to da bank.

Snow amounts haven't changed much in the 0z suite but the QPF has gone up so it's a lot more sleet. 6-10" of snow and a crapload of sleet is going to create skating rinks all over the tri-state with a frigid week following it. It's going to be treacherous

this is for SE of 95. if we flip on the early side

From LWX AFD

I Sincerely HATE you people right now. And BristolRI - I’d Be Happy to get you in touch with the Biggest Music Convention in the World, Filled with the Boards of the Biggest Music Companies in Earth to have them move their yearly event which they have the same time every year, and Then I’ll get you in touch with the Grammy Awards so you can tell THEM to move Their event mammies they gave at the same time every year.

Yea it's damn heavy

Shit. Did I say a trace? I meant 30" lol.

I guess I'm a big dummy because I'm just not seeing any noteworthy evidence of a cave here. And let me be clear: I FULLY expect the GFS to cave some or all of the way to a Euro-like solution at some point. I'm just saying that, to my eye anyway, the differences folks are pointing to are so small and synoptically inconsequential as to be well within the normal run-to-run variability. It's actually remarkably consistent with the 18Z run. Again, to my eye. I fully acknowledge I could be missing something big.

I posted this in the MA forum. The GFS is undeniably moving the heaviest snows to the N&W over the last 4 runs as more sleet mixes in, and, as expected, moving into the camp of the other models.

Bound to happen sooner or later. Still sucks lol

?

CMC is a burial. No other way to describe it. It kind of has been pretty consistent from days ago.

And more room to get colder too. Models increasing precip aka a bigger thump and more sleet on top.

Blizz going lower than MAG...surprising.

From a physics point of view, that makes sense actually. The sleet is latching onto a a surface that has more surface area plus easier to bond together. If there's no snow, however, IP do not really present an issue to powerlines and trees.

Please go to bed.

To keep the positives with the GFS -- It DID has the new data in the 00z run. 12 sondes of data worth

That would be awesome!