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We will see won't we?

This map makes a lot more sense:

most majors have a 24-27 hr window of snow. If that's what you call quick, your wife must really love you.

https://imgur.com/a/GBKfZWP

Well I have us 8-12" which is a foot before flipping on high side lol.

Thinking Frederick is in a good spot for once. NWS says 3-7 7-11 2-4 Hoping for at last 12”. Have a 5 year old who has never seen a big one.

Yea. Our fed agencies are an absolute train wreck these days…I wonder why that is.

Amounts will mostly be uniform with this storm if you looked at any model. You can tell me it is terrible after the storm if I am wrong.

I cant post the NBM map but it has Agh county around 13ish inches.

That is what AI is for!

The NAM is not infallible when it comes to being the most aggressive with warm noses but agree that it could verify. I do wonder why in this instance it is the most aggressive - is it because it tracks the primary further north vs the other models? Does it show a stronger primary?

Hmmm euro has had near 1 qpf consistently before any flip for us. Easy foot with high fluff ratios

For my areas I'm thinking 12 to 18. What's nice with this system, if it comes to fruition is that it's apparently trying to spread the love in quite a large area. Love to see it

I think this is a good opener for GYX.

Agreed. I could be much more harsh than subtle undertones when it comes to NWS but I won't. How's that for subtle LOL

To toy with our emotions

Improvement on the UK as well

-11F this morning

Close to what I’m thinking

I was tempted to think we might be more like 12 to 16 but I have seen on a number of the precipitation outputs that they are are lower numbers in the Merrimack Valley like often happens due to banding to our south or north. So I’m also thinking about 10 to 14.

I just dont see this verifying. Its still nice to see though. The storms where the south shore jackpots always tend to be huge systems.

No legit model really has us getting over 12". But hey if we do then good.

The NWS actually added an inch to my WSW - 12-17. Not sure what they’re looking at.

Marginal improvements in snow on the EURO for upper mid TN and KY-VA border counties with the initial thump. Backend flakes still a no show.

If only the low didnt transfer so fast and strengthen as it moves up into Ohio. Perfect track for Detroit. Potential big dog wasted, shame.