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8 here

@tnwxwatcher I would not be surprised if precip. starts quite a bit earlier than most models were showing last night based on the obs. above. I still think noon is a good call for travel getting worse, but if possible, I'd try to finish up those deliveries in Sevier county in as safe and an expeditious way as possible.

Never forget, the Euro is usually right when it screws us and wrong when it crushes us.

My god the BGE bills after this cold period…

Almost 36 hours to go before the snow starts in Maine. Still time to change.

Locals Mets on WYFF are saying the latest models bring good news of much less precipitation, more sleet than freezing rain and then just rain before it ends. They now have us with 0.46” of ice, with that being more sleet than freezing rain. I pray that trend continues.

I was watching some coverage of those protest in Minneapolis with below zero temperatures and wind. I think the windchill was in the -40s. They can keep that kind of cold then I didn’t realize it was quite so cold in Watertown area

35.1/15.9

Just a quick reminder, I made an obs thread now that we are getting precip. You may also post there if you wish. I am not a moderator and would not tell anyone what to do, but I do now some folks like to read the straight up obs. in the long hot summer months.

Dropped 11F to 10F Dew point-8

Love seeing the strong euro runs. I haven’t looked yet, but is there really any synoptic difference between the euro and the nams at this point? As of when I was looking yesterday, seems a lot just comes down to how heavy the precip is in the 9-18z period tomorrow. Nams seem uncharacteristically light with that. 24hrs out, euro *should* be kicking ass.

why look at anything 2 days out on models? They all a joke

I’m not really sure I was working for Williamsport Bureau of Fire. And I was kept pretty busy. I don’t think sleet was to awful bad.

More sleet and zr added to mby, but with the increase in qpf, snowfall total is almost identical to 0z. No complaints. At least it will be capped and I won't have to shovel twice.

I have a question. For Monday, I understand that’s driven by the coastal low and the high-end snowfall possibility is obviously east of us. But what are you thinking It will be like on Monday? We should already have double digits by the morning so is it sort of a steady light to moderate snow off of that moist flow coming from the east? Or would there be banding all the way up this way from the coastal low. I appreciate your response and assume others can benefit as well from your sense of how this might evolve.

Wow, I was about to say I bet a lot is virga based on the hole around OHX radar:

Can verify very light sleet and very very very light snow in Ooltewah. Temp was a steady 32° and dropped to 31° after light mix started. Sent from my SM-S916U using Tapatalk Sent from my SM-S916U using Tapatalk

ticks can stop though. As it is probably mixes a bit with sleet or even drizzle/-ra to BOS as the big lift moves out.

Looked like the thump was slightly better but Monday was more meh on that run

Surprisingly radar returns are already glowing above SWVA. All Virga for now but we're way ahead of schedule echoing Tellico. I'll have Temps and DP shortly, batteries need to be replaced this morning.

Euro is gonna go down swinging at least if it’s wrong , I’m riding it to the end.

19.8 woo

So GFS and Euro are pretty much in line now. NAM needs to tighten up. Radar is blossoming out west. Going to be a long day of tracking

1/2 of the ZR output on the Euro would be a bad ice storm for the DC metro. Hoping it’s wrong

GFS and EURO have the Thurs clipper