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  2. Coastal Jersey an long Island should feel better then everyone else
  3. And 90%of it is BS lol... Anyone who is talking about being "out" at this point after what we watched last weekend should go sit in the cliff diving thread for a bit.
  4. Very impressive snow squall just passed through with vis down to 1/16 mile briefly. Picked up a quick inch of snow. Looks like it'll hit Cleveland in time to really gum up the afternoon rush.
  5. Count me as out. It is concerning that there isn't 1 single model showing a hit for the area.
  6. End of the NAM looks like it was about to do well! Just not far enough out if the vort would go neutral in time or not
  7. That's from 12z NAM Not like it matters, but 18z NAM looks east in its fantasy range
  8. I’m not going to mention the end of the NAM run because it’s hour 81 but I’m also not not going to mention it .
  9. The problem is that this lobe in trending weaker and north and east not stronger and west
  10. Maybe, but the surface map looks like the Gfs and unlike other medium range models. Just sayin'.
  11. This storm is really reminding me more and more of this one. The setup is quite similar.
  12. Reflective of recent guidance
  13. The NAM at 84 was actually great for the recent storm
  14. MoCo schools closed tomorrow and Thursday
  15. This may be at least partial as an effective management tool for some ... WPC Extended Forecast Discussion The ongoing settling of cold surface high pressure and additional surges in the wake of the historic winter storm will maintain dangerously cold temperatures for the central and eastern U.S. well into next week as per the Climate Prediction Center. The airmass may be more prolonged in areas with widespread snow/ice coverage and enhanced radiational cooling. Amplified mean troughing aloft will meanwhile bring rounds of weak to moderate clipper system snows from the north-central U.S. to the Great Lakes. In this anomalously cold pattern, there is potential for wintry precipitation into the Gulf Coast states late week as upper trough translation leads into northern Gulf frontal wave genesis. Wave progression downstream and trough/closed low development aloft is now increasingly likely to set the environment to produce a significant Eastern Seaboard Coastal Winter storm expected to rapidly deepen while lifting over the western Atlantic off the Southeast Saturday and Mid-Atlantic/New England Sunday. Uncertainty has improved but remains with the exact track of the low which impacts the onshore wintry precipitation focus and footprint. However, the growing consensus at this time is for heavy snow potential from the eastern Carolinas/Mid-Atlantic through coastal southern New England. The forecast strength of the deep low suggests high winds/waves and coastal flooding would also be expected.
  16. https://x.com/weathertrackus/status/2016247539130138969?s=46&t=LVg8BRWCh1zZb6F_t95EVg .
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