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  2. Layman
    Sounds like some sort of Mortal Kombat finishing move I'm unfamiliar with...
  3. winterwx21
    Probably just sprinkles for us from that.
  4. CheeselandSkies
    12Z HRRR and nest both became rather interesting for this evening from the state line into Chicagoland. Maybe what I thought might happen (in daylight) yesterday, will happen today.
  5. BooneWX
    We can stop guessing folks! Snowbird Bob on Facebook says to expect above/much above average snowfall in the South.
  6. nrgjeff
    Yes it only takes one storm to make a season in the South. Perfect overrunning, a bowling ball, or an actual open wave bomb. Yeah, the latter seems less likely every year, but the other two still happen. Then it depends on location. 2025 was a rare, great winter for Chattanooga. January featured back-to-back snows including one that way overachieved by not going to ice sooner. Rest of the forum seemed unimpressed by their event(s). But yeah, my main forecast is warm and rainy with occasional severe weather. Long time readers are used to my severe saber rattling.
  7. George BM
    Correct.
  8. mitchnick
    Cansips not too much different in the Conus really.
  9. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  10. HIPPYVALLEY
    Weeks and weeks of boredom before we enter six months of November.
  11. Snowedin
    Solar max or solar freeze your ass off minimum..this is still a great time to get out and keep that glorious nape going strong or perhaps get it going for the first time if you’re one of those unfortunate chilly loving punks!
  12. Stormlover74
    Yes its fizzling fast
  13. NEG NAO
    main line comes through this evening BUT some areas MIGHT experience a pop up storm prior IMO
  14. CheeselandSkies
    6th anniversary of the Big Wind Bag of 2020:
  15. GaWx
    Mainly for entertainment: The image below is the TT 2m mean of the last 12 CFSv2 ops for Feb ‘27. It is extremely cold from the C Plains to the SE US with anomalies of -8 to -11 F even vs 1984-2009 climo, which is a bit colder than 1991-2020! It’s just about as cold there as the frigid Febs of 1978, 1958, and 1905 and is a bit colder than Febs of 2015, 2010, 1968, 1963, 1947, and 1902. It isn’t quite as cold as the record coldest, 1895:
  16. sbnwx85
    Legit laughed out loud at that output. What do you mean an Illinois MCS won’t do a U-turn and move northwest and slam into another random MCS in Iowa?
  17. A-L-E-K
  18. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  19. tamarack
    We probably step off the summer plateau on Wednesday. After 42 days (July 1 thru tomorrow) with our mean between 65 and 66, August 12 is likely to be 64.xy, as the long slide begins. (The equivalent winter bottom is much shorter - the period within 1° F of the current coldest, 13.55°, is only 12 days, January 18-29.)
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yup...which is why they are my two top polar analogs.
  21. SnowGoose69
    Looks like 23-01z. Some models suggest activity tomorrow well north of the mid-Atlantic activity, likely keying in on a boundary or subtle shortwave but I'm thinking tomorrow is dry
  22. NEG NAO
    its shrinking as it moves east - also there are no severe warnings with it SPC about 2 hours ago thought a watch was possible but no watch has been issued
  23. ineedsnow
    about to leave for the Southwick's zoo.. seems like a great day for it
  24. Stormlover74
    Looks like Middlesex on south for that first one
  25. GaWx
    1982-3 and 2015-6 are two super strong ones with both a +QBO and descending solar fwiw. 1957-8 was a super strong with a +QBO and was barely after peak.
  26. A-L-E-K
    nest with a goofy looking convective evolution hate seeing our friends in droughtville struggling
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