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I think a little over 1k? Maybe it’s just big drops reflecting the light. 37-38 in that area now.

Ope.

Not sure how anyone could come to that conclusion since this is a top down ocean warming process. https://www2.whoi.edu/site/argo/impacts/warming-ocean/

Definitely possible on top of the pocono plateau. Elevations over 2,000’. It’s been snowing and accumulating all day on top of the southern greens in Vermont.

Yeah the wind has really picked up here this afternoon in Hendersonville.

wind train in my hood

Pouring and blowing about 30ish now. Nearing 1".

What their ele?

Just absolutely pouring rain right now.

Miserable day at DCL. Gusty winds to 30mph and constant drizzle, rain at 48F. Went to cranesville swamp and swallow falls and had both places entirely to ourselves. Thank goodness for gore-tex.

I was expecting thunderstorms today, but I did not think we’d get a warning in the local area.

Just hearing a POSSIBILITY of 2013-14 is orgasmic. A weak knock off would still be a fantastic winter.

Def looks like something now.

The warm spots topped out in the upper 80s. This delayed first 90° could mean that the warm spots like Newark could avoid a top tier summer for 90° days. The only season following a May with no 90° days to reach 40 days of 90° highs was 1983. But that was a super El Niño and this is a La Niña. If Newark can go on to avoid a very high 90° day count over 40 days, then it would probably mean a very wet and humid summer for us. Since Newark needs a dry summer for a very high number of 90° days. Data for January 1, 2025 through May 22, 2025 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. OCEAN COUNTY AIRPORT WBAN 89 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 88 HARRISON COOP 88 Newark Area ThreadEx 88 TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 87 ESTELL MANOR COOP 87 TETERBORO AIRPORT COOP 87 ATLANTIC CITY INTL AP WBAN 86 LONG BRANCH-OAKHURST COOP 86 HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 86 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 86 CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 86 BELMAR FARMINGDALE ALLAIRE AP WBAN 86 SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 86 All years at Newark with no 90° days in May Monthly Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2025 0 0 M M M M M 0 2020 0 0 5 17 9 0 0 31 2014 0 0 2 8 2 3 0 15 2009 3 0 0 1 10 0 0 14 2008 0 0 6 11 2 3 0 22 2005 0 0 10 11 12 4 0 37 2003 0 0 5 8 7 0 0 20 1997 0 0 7 10 3 0 0 20 1990 2 0 5 9 9 1 0 26 1989 0 0 4 12 8 3 0 27 1984 0 0 8 6 8 0 0 22 1983 0 0 7 15 11 7 0 40 1982 0 0 1 10 1 0 0 12 1976 2 0 7 2 4 0 0 15 1973 0 0 5 9 12 5 0 31 1972 0 0 0 16 4 1 0 21 1971 0 0 6 7 7 2 0 22 1968 0 0 4 9 9 1 0 23 1967 0 0 5 1 1 0 0 7 1966 0 0 10 14 8 1 0 33 1963 0 0 6 11 3 0 0 20 1961 0 0 4 13 8 9 0 34 1960 1 0 3 2 8 1 0 15 1958 0 0 2 11 6 2 0 21 1954 0 0 5 10 3 0 0 18 1952 0 0 8 17 2 4 0 31 1950 0 0 8 6 3 1 0 18 1946 0 0 5 5 2 0 0 12 1940 0 0 2 11 1 1 0 15 1938 0 0 4 4 9 0 1 18 1935 0 0 1 11 2 0 0 14

88 has been the high in the warmest spots

But I feel Barry’s got a good point about this making it pretty easy to claim getting it “right”. NOAA predicted a range of 13-19 NS 6-10 HU 3-5 MH Since 1995 (active era), there have been 21 non-Nino seasons. Of those 21 seasons: 1. NS: 17 (81%) were within 13-19 2. H: 15 (71%) were within 6-10 3. MH: 13 (62%) were within 3-5 If there’s going to be a range, I’d prefer it be smaller..maybe half the size.

They just predicted the whole 2016-24 arc compressed into one average

temp dropping quick under this down to 40.2

temp down to 44 off a high of 47. not quite the way DIT and TKitty drew up their ideal summer day

hard to tell but maybe some flakes mixing in on this webcam https://franklinpierce.edu/webcam_monadnock/index.html

Didn't the usual warm spots already hit 90? I thought we did a few weeks ago when it was hot for a few days.

I don't have a wife and never will (thanks autism) so maybe I'll have to make a trip

I think we have to wait until later if we even get anything

If there is a chance for catpaws, it's under that. Fat drops mean that.