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It’s getting to the point where I start considering it. If other models trend south/colder tonight it’s onto something.

Guess I’m staying up until 1 or 2 since it will flip by 4am here. Nothing falling on the drive home.

Most likely. Probably the same by you.

HRRR is over a foot of snow for NYC Mix line stalls under Brooklyn

HRRR is south and cold. GYX bring 'em down.

Ain’t goin outside how I feel but sounds like pingers and ice here .

Yeah moderate freezing rain currently with the temp falling to 25 degrees. This is very impressive.

Here's the site to explore! https://mesonet.umd.edu/index.html

Yeah, nothing here right now, either.

Sleet line hugging the south shore but very very slow to advance

Snow looks to be close. Guessing in 9pm hour will start

DAB- so far. Better than I thought considering I expected snow to start around midnight.

Great thanks for the input.

Temperature has been in free fall southwest of Boone. Been stalled at 17.1/15.4 for about 20 min. Steady sleet/zr everything is slick as owl snot out there. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

Just through 5pm

Agreed but it’s also not alone. Minus the nam all the other short range mesos do this

HRR is gonna be 10+ for most by 22z

Let me go look

Beer can was rescued from the ice: Current ice accretion on the teal pagoda:

Finally got small flakes in Norfolk!

I think the lower elevations down here are going to be fine. There really isn't as much accretion as I expected at 29 degrees. The mountains may be in worse shape though.

With the extremely cold and dry air would expect the snow to start out fine and grainy early on. Once the lift and saturation gets underway look for nice dendrites that accumulate efficiently.

At 21z tomorrow it has sleet south of NYC still and keeps trying to wash it out as it advances. If that happens most of us will be very very happy. I’m still wary of it being too cold in these setups though.

HRRR is like watching a heavy weight fight between dense cold air and strong WAA lol .