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yeah, legitimately exciting... that -NAO is uptrending, too. the 5-7th is our first legit shot at a larger region-wide storm. pattern becomes even more favorable after that, too

You must be mistaken? DIT says everyone is down with damaging ice events.

this poses some promise

yeah, starting to get excited. that's legit and the pattern is only becoming more favorable as the PNA rises and EPO drops

As fun as that sounds my initial reaction this morning was I wished I had a early 1970s boat LTD (RWD) w/a V8 429cubic inch, empty/clear parking lot and/a handle of spiked Eggnog.....fun morning indeed. 31F/partly cloudy/sunny

I was just going to comment on that. Forget the weird solution for sensible weather, the set up is loaded...right out of the KU book.

Just helped shovel some of 7-8" we had in Wesport. It felt pretty heavy for that amount. Not surprised given the small flake size, ratios were so-so. Best event Ive had in several years though.

Looks like another windy period Monday night and Tuesday. Gusts to 40+

If December ended today, it would be Juneau's coldest on record.

3.8 jersey city. More than half of that fell after 11 PM

Again! Since my last measurement of 2.1" I had some errands to run and then I went to Oak Ridge Park and shoveled all the disc golf tee pads (29!), as I'm part of the club there and I enjoy being out in the snow shoveling and walking around. It was snowing the whole time and they went from 2.5" to 2.7" when I was done around 1:00 pm. So I got home and measured again and we got about 0.3" more snow as everything was covered again - bonus! Wife said it was snowing the whole time I was gone and the radar showed the snow - guessing that IVT some were talking about materialized. Anyway I think the final number is now 2.4" which brings my season total up to 10.1". It's just beautiful out there and despite the bust for our area and most in NJ, I'm pretty happy with the result as it feels like deep winter out there - 28F at midday with snow falling - sweet!

Lots of daytime high temp records have been broken altogether. And even some overnight lows as well in all four of this topic's states from just yesterday (26th), and on Christmas Day. Most notable so far has been Fayetteville AR. Also setting a new all-time record high this year for the month of December.

Thank you. Yes, there are so many great posters here. If I started naming all of them, I would miss someone. They make this subform the great place that it is. Many thanks to them and to you both as well!

When the fun and games begin, it wouldn't surprise me if my area was outside where the best entrance/exit jet regions set up. I know it's far out but that's just my gut looking at the upper air and beyond. Growing up I recall several storms that organized just in time for middle TN to pick up a few inches before exploding into something more east of the Apps. As it was said earlier today, the pattern has an old-school vibe to it.

Looks like it might be close

I just know from experience that a bad Pacific/good Atlantic usually trends warmer. The NAO has rarely been negative in long duration since 2011, so yeah some of that is the NAO trending in the wrong direction. +EPO's can be underrated though, and models don't really get the strength of the Pacific jet right from this range. Sometimes it will trend away from +epo though.

This couldn't be more true. Southern 1/3 of DTX is in the rip-off zone between cutters and Miller b's.. May be why I get high anxiety is storms even when we have a Winter Storm Warning and 6+ forecasted. Seem it bust too many times.

You know it’s comin

If you're in the mid-Atlantic, you're sittin' right for the first time in a long time. Pattern screams potential especially for those in decadal snow drought territory. If there ever was a time to root for our coastal friends, it's now.

Dick Tolleris. Oh boy

I mentioned on the forum that an online friend of mine has been targeting the Jan 8-12 period for a month or so...

Cant have everything Chuck. We get snow more times than not in flawed patterns. On that run, its cold enough. Just cant know how specific features may 'trend' in future runs. Maybe the -NAO ends up positive lol.

So did we re-punt the first half of January? Im having a tough time reading the room. Every hour a new elephant enters.

With preliminary PNA values of -1.000 or below both yesterday and today, the snowstorm that just brought 4.3" to Central Park could become New York City's largest December snowfall with PNA values of -1.000 or below for all days during which the snow fell.