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Middle of MDR moving WNW to W as a strengthening TD early next week underneath a stout high:

Shorts and hoodie weather!

Where’s this at lazza

Cold pool Cu dotting the landscape up here. But what a beauty.

perfect hoodie day where you can go outside even in bright sunshine and feel cool.

As a general rule with La Niña winters, if there’s below average snow in November and December, they end up being dud winters. Yes, there are exceptions, but for the most part, November and December set the tone for the rest of winter with a La Niña

What kind of winter did that year have?

I can’t think of any Nina season in my life growing up on LI that was any good without at least one decent Dec event. 2017-18 had the 1/4 blizzard that counted as our early event.

Low at SBN was 41 but I had 39 on my thermometer at home.

The coastal plain will celebrate with December holiday Luau’s. As always ….

1988 was one that turned cold really quickly. The summer, particularly from June to the first half/two-thirds of August, was then a warmest on record. Then at the end of August, it just turned cold, and never really looked back. October 1988 was one of the coldest on record, and in some spots, beat out the cold standard of October 1976: Come to think of it, the warm west makes this look like the October version of February (or JFM) 2015.

Back below average ACE

Found this research study (The Elevation-Dependence of Snowfall in the Appalachian Ridge and Valley Region of Northeastern Pennsylvania) examining the impacts on elevation dependence snowfall and the types of conditions that influence events to either be low in snowfall range with elevation or high. Definitely found it to be an interesting read and I'm sure the mets (and @psuhoffman) would enjoy it too. Here is the link (http://nwafiles.nwas.org/jom/articles/2017/2017-JOM8/2017-JOM8.pdf), also if any met would like to chime in I remember a particularly elevation dependent snowfall in late November last year and wonder how those conditions line up with the studies findings.

https://www.weather.gov/asos/CurrentEvents.html Though I'm told from Tony Gigi when I asked about the qc process, that they only qc the instruments, not the environment around them. Hence I guess why NYC is determined to be fine, since all the instruments are in correct working order.

West is best.

38.7 here this morning.

42 here this morning!

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 150 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+150 : 13.9N 32.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 15.09.2025 156 15.0N 33.7W 1012 27 1200UTC 15.09.2025 168 15.1N 37.9W 1010 33

ASOS new temp sensors? I'm out of touch... LINK for info? Thanks, Walt

Water was coming in through our doorknobs. I had never seen that before.

Two decades later and the US is gleefully dismantling the Federal disaster and weather enterprise. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Bottom line, even though there wasn’t a ridiculous amount of arctic sea ice loss this spring/summer/early met fall, our starting point at the beginning of melt season was so low, we are still finishing at record low levels this year. God knows how many years it will take, when/if we get back to normal. Whether the arctic sea ice loss is related to SSTs or solar or both is anyone’s guess

Heaviest rain I ever experienced. It actually hurt to be out in it even in proper gear Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

gwdlt

2.30" for September continuing the odd trend of predominately very dry yet high rain totals