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Fantasy digital snow tracking season has begun thanks to the 12z Euro.

Surprise thunderstorm here

2” in the last half hour. My math isn’t great but I think that’s 4”/hour. Bonkers stuff. The rest of the winter is going to be boring after this.

Can't say I actually disagree here ... whether this chart about actually occurs in related, the time frame in question is vulnerable to early season winter expression. This has been very consistent in the numerical teleconnectors, with a lowering -(AO/NAO). The AO and NAO share domain space; they are not exactly collocated. The NAO appears to be weighting the AO down when looking at the different ensembles spatial depictions of the H500 hgt anomalies, the expression of which are also setting up over the western limb ( E/NE Canada/ Baffin Island/ D. Straight ...etc) of the NAO domain. The cyclone genesis/track correlation for that type is S of of. The problems are the notoriously poor handling of the NAO in terms of spatial layout nuances and amplitude. It makes it less useful as a forecast planning tool as say the PNA, which given to it's massive size, tends to be change slower, making it more reliable ( bigger objects taking longer to change and so forth ) Lot of concepts to juggle here ...I know. The operational runs have been fiddling with the notion of above ... hinting in then abandoning, then back in with it... fits that notoriety of being an unruly index. But, so long as the signal is there in both numerical and synoptical presentation, the probability for a cold system type during that period is > than daily climatology.

Feels like deep winter out there today. Gonna be 60 already by Thu though, and 70 by Saturday.

approaching 2"..wasn't expecting that much

sarcasm

28 with flurries beginning to fall here. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk

Looked like a polar low was trying to generate as it rolled down eastern Lake Michigan a couple of hours ago. fascinating

10”/hrrain rate en route

Snow rates have exploded since sunset. Went from one inch per hour to at least two… maybe three.

Looks very close to the January Eps seasonal that came out a few days away.

That’s a nasty line given the date

What the hell? That’s terrible! So sorry to hear that. Can you start a GoFundMe and post the link here so we can help out?

Not to make light of what you feel your situation is ... or is in fact, but doesn't that ( bold ) qualify as a home?

Pretty cool to see a mesolow make landfall off Lake Michigan. This is the feature that will pivot through the area tomorrow.

Sorry to abandon you today brother...that was a really frustrating game. Saving grace is lots of canceled flights out of msp

Winter coming

Even looks to be a little bit of weak rotation just NW of Owings Mills. Doubt it produces but provides something to watch at least.

Freaking November and I’m still getting fringed with storms

some rotation

Just missed. Too bad

Thunder

That map is perfect! .... Please let it be so.