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  2. We're still in a slight risk
  3. The ridges have become more expansive than the troughs leading to the record drought across the CONUS.
  4. You're totally correct. I ran my mouth and cursed the lowlands. This winter will be a parade of storms that crush north of 70 while I get a wintery mix and 33 lol.
  5. Looks like elevated convection at best. Yup. We at least need the rain. Would be surprised if we actually get into the mid 90s like previously forecast.
  6. downhill decline has been rapid this year, the portions of my lawn that aren't reached by the irrigation system have stopped growing completely
  7. That hasn't been in the cards for a few days. Where have you been?
  8. I blame you... you were all gung ho when you were getting storms and the north was missing out. Believe me though... I rather have snow than rain.
  9. Latest drought monitor update has severe drought for I-95 and SE. Would be really nice if this Mon possible rain event happens. And this strong/super Nino needs to produce with the storms over the next 6-8 months.
  10. There is a pocket of steeper mid-level lapse rates in NY advecting northeast. This may weaken but something to watch to lead to some instability enhancement for eastern NY into VT/NH
  11. This likely will reduce/preclude any significant threat later except for areas that see more sun and do not get stabilized early.
  12. Wow! I haven't seen any weather since sleetfest. It sounds fun out there. Just super exciting drought here. I'm waiting in anticipation for the dark red on the drought map to move north a little bit. It's as fun as sitting in traffic on the beltway on a Saturday. I can't wait until the first LES chase this fall.
  13. Nothing severe here with that line, but some booming thunder with lightning and pouring rain. Winds gusting to 30.
  14. Yeah last 15 years of convective ennui has made me numb. That said, rt 2 north has a decent chance late day.
  15. Had to snap back other way
  16. Will take a long time to catch up to normal - lawns look like they do in March ............
  17. Any chance we get any clearing down here before the afternoon is done?
  18. Definitely a flip towards a longer term drier pattern
  19. Surprised myself. We will see if it holds together. At least shear is higher
  20. Bust. Morning showers then clearing
  21. I saw the cloudy sky and looked at radar -- congrats northern MD! Maybe I'll luck into a t-storm later today. I'm hoping next Monday turns into a real soaker.
  22. Those on the Gulf coast should keep an open mind this winter, some dude in Pensacola measured a foot of snow outside of his office 17 months ago.
  23. This drought really came out of nowhere... The preceding 12 months to Sept 2024 was about 12" above normal with 60" of precip.
  24. Nothing close-minded about my sentiment. I'll peer out the window every now and again if it happens to look ominous, but that is about the extent of my commitment.
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