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Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
And the afternoon BOU AFD is now very pessimistic for much over the next few days in the Metro. Lots of "if"s in there. -
You know the rules, have to change your location to droughtville and make a cash donation to @cyclone77
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2026 Severe Wx - General Thread
SchaumburgStormer replied to largetornado's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Which seems like a lot, but that is like 1 good afternoon this season. -
Looks like north and eastern areas
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I'm not on the beach. I have missed all those blizzards too- but I usually manage to get a moderate(6-10")event at least.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
jlauderdal replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Light rain and smoky skies moved in just in time for the meteor shower. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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its August 12 and we’re making our own digital snow we are actually going crazy
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
JACKASS replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Maybe if ya all weren’t dicks to the poor guy who was just trying to post current data, he wouldn’t have left thinking everyone hated him. But Fuck It, right. Ya all won a stupid battle. Congrats on making yourselves feel better. -
2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
wxmeddler replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I maintain that SVR-Considerable with Tor Possible wording would have sufficed. 65 mph EF-0 is only 5 mph over base SVR. I don't believe there was any threat beyond a QLCS spinup of what we saw, and that took the open water and maybe a boundary to make it happen.- 1,889 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yes. There are numerous mesoscale boundaries at play in Maryland. Monday's setup also had additional difficulties from the AM convection laying down race tracks right over Baltimore. The TBWI and TADW picked up on those which were being overshot by Dover and Sterling radars.- 1,889 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The video from Hopkins Bayview and the TBWI radar was rather convincing. QLCS environment + bay/harbor boundary was a perfect setup for spin ups.- 1,889 replies
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Waiting on LWX to hoist the watches. Not sure what they're waiting on at this point. Model guidance is near perfect!
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I’ve seen some shit in Florida that we’ll never see here, but that is fucking amazing!!!
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There was an SCN that went out about it last year and there was no indication in there that there was going to be a replacement or complementary service. The SCN went put at about the same time as other things which were curtailing the access / dissemination of climate information.
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That's awesome. Definitely something worth posting from UMD Science on the socials.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You were in Bermuda but I posted if it were I would have murdered @Mount Joy Snowman in his sleep. -
Yup. This is a Nino. No beach blizzards allowed.
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Above normal temperatures will persist through Friday. Highs will generally top out in the middle and upper 80s. Cooler air will move into the region to close of the week. As a result, the weekend ad early next week will likely see highs mainly in the lower 80s. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.6°C for the week centered around August 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.72°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.15°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was +1.76 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.776 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 55% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.5° (0.4° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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Let cape mix for once, bring that death band a bit west
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These are different storm cells from yesterday (Aug 11th) as seen from Bismarck ND and also Rapid City SD. You don't see the radar estimated 4" hail a lot
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Today's Highs: PHL: 90 BLM: 89 EWR: 88 New Brnswck: 88 LGA: 87 TEB: 86 ACY: 86 ISP: 85 JFK: 85 TTN: 85 NYC: 84
