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Cells popped and raced to the east just north of me 90 mins ago, then some minor sun breaks but mostly grey. I blink and there are some more dark skies to my north. The atmo is wild today, TWN also had another first by putting out a hatched graphic showing just south of me greatest area for tornadoes. I would say it'd be a good day for a 'chase' but the storm motions will be hard to wrangle with.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
AlexD1990 replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
This is especially true July and August. June in recent summers has had tendencies of HP up that way and cooler weather. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yes it is... It's not much different than those of you who love winter, wanting blizzards, and brutal, dangerous cold Different seasons, different weather. Same passion. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
I’m not sure I see it that way. Our humid summers were a result of Bermuda highs and ridging off the east coast. That leads to srly flow. High pressure in SE Canada is not conducive to that here. -
Intriguing line moving SSE toward Md. Storm watches issued for this afternoon.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Could have been a truly awesome storme if it wasn't decoupled from the surface . -
Not going to count my chickens before they hatch here. Even with these systems that push down from the N it is not unusual to get a split in my area of Frederick Co. Even looking at the current movement of this line it is looking like my area in SW Frederick Co may just get missed or grazed to the East.
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Have maybe 20 min before it hits. Just warned Mr Map to save his work hahaha
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The western part of the line near Bedford, PA has some of the highest echo tops and plenty of lightning. Could be a good sign for those a bit more on the fringe. Also, guidance has had runs where it had the stuff going almost south or even southwest a bit.
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Looks like i got my inch extension west how about the line get a little thicker now
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got clipped by that system around 6:30 this morning--the lightning was so close and bright it intruded into my dream. and now the watch is up for round 2.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
This is exactly why. For whatever reason each summer has more Hugh pressures over SE Canada than we used to see . This is the reason for the high dew summers now, and the reason why the drought happens every summer now along the coast of Maine down to the cape. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
So it's going to be too low with heights in the southeast, but nail the northeast and mid atlantic? Good luck- -
Figure this will be an “everybody gets a warning” event?
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We are locked in with fog here and have been for hours in the Poconos. Edit- we just had a brief shower, no thunder thank goodness. I still haven't been able to figure out my exact elevation Google Gemini gave me some ridiculous numbers, 1666 feet at the front of my property (facing the lake) and 1692 feet at the back of my property (facing an open field). And something about that open field behind my property rising to 1740 feet haha. I think I will stick with the average of my apps and the barometer altimeter conversion process that says it's between 1530 and 1580 feet. Those numbers from Gemini might not be any more accurate than those inflated temperatures on weather underground we talked about before. I dont think anyone does it intentionally, I just think the properties there are too close to each other for proper siting and like you said no one wants to climb a roof to plant an Anemometer lol. And many of these weather units are all in one which makes it even more difficult. A wind instrument needs to be at 33 feet while the thermo hydro sensor belongs at 6 feet while the rain gage needs to be on a flat surface twice the distance away from the height of any near by trees, roofs, etc. I think I finally got the thermo hydro part right as my temperature measurements are within 1 to 2 degrees of MPO on all my sensors placing them on the North side of my house under the eave of a deck. The rainfall and wind measurements are off though. I would need to put the Anemometer on my balcony but I can't because the entire unit would have to go there and that area is very sun exposed so the temperature would be inflated. I see these modern units have offsets you can input to account for that but I don't find that to be scientific (the offset would need to be different for different times of the year as the sun angle and sun path in the sky changes) and I'd worry about intense heat damaging the equipment anyway, I remember in May there was one day it hit 118 degrees on my balcony when the actual outside temperature was more like 91 lol.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Oh, look. More storms for the usual affected areas. By the time this year ends, places Frederick and east are going to have 10x the rainfall as here.
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Watch up until 5pm URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 643 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1140 AM EDT Wed Sep 2 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Maryland Northern Virginia The Eastern West Virginia Panhandle Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 1140 AM until 500 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A well-organized thunderstorm cluster should continue to pose some threat for scattered damaging winds as it moves quickly southeastward this afternoon. Occasional hail may also occur with the strongest cores.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Sorry but I cannot justify using a model that can’t even initialize the El Niño at its *current* initial state correctly. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It's pitch black with torrential rain in Harrisburg. Copious lightning strikes had the construction crews scattering. Impressive 'lil MCS. -
Yep the youngest Ms. J just called me. She goes to Dickinson in Carlisle and is stuck in the dinning hall.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Here too, thought we were headed to dusk. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
TheDreamTraveler replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I was expecting a lot more wind than I got given how that line looked. Not really windy at all
