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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Take heart John, 6z GFS gives Dirty Myrtle 4.4" !! -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
We're going to get a real nice stretch...no way this season ends early like last year. And if you remember a year ago, I was slamming the early spring drum. I knew that one was over. -
Its all the models
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
At least the skynets are pretty interested this time. They had no interest in the 1/15 threat. -
Looks like a little bit yes
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Went to bed early and missed the excitement. I’m politely requesting a nw trend.
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Did it move NW again though? Seems like euro was following GFS, just not as dramatically.
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I love how people are saying "this season" will be cooked. We've been cooked for 10 years. I literally have not had a 6+ inch snowstorm here since the blizzard of 2016. I realize that doesn't represent all of the MA. But its overall been terrible for a decade now. This year is actually probably our best in 10 years. At least its not constant torch and we hit December snowfall numbers.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Kitz Craver replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Probably just a classic GFS head fake -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I saw the gfs and it was somewhat interesting, but euro sliding SE makes me think it’s all a dream, per usual -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
A-L-E-K replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
extended still p sleepy but rife with mood dusters -
GFS agrees. At least the coast of NC doesn't go without a storm this winter. They seem to do better than the Catoctins and Carroll County in the past 10 years lol. The GFS wasn't terrible. It gives us some scraps and crushes the Tug Hill. Going back Jan 20th for a week.
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Except mid January, as was outlined last fall. -
Wasn't there originally a coastal? That idea is long gone. Now we are just hoping for a quick change over and accumulation. Upside potential is probably limited to under an inch best case. Hardly back from the dead.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
6z update on Sunday/Monday threat .. GFS NW moderate hit for ENE, EURO ticked SE, AIFS NW - light to moderate hit ENE -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
But La Nina is dead!!!! -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, I've been on the big-finish train. You have to think it starts up soon...probably when the MJO hits 7. -
January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
RevWarReenactor replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
GFS in the extended range reinforces my thoughts going forward. A couple dustings here or there, followed by cutters. Warm wet, cold dry. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Mikeymac5306 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Whoda thunk it? Looks like we are back in play for the MLK storm. At least the coast is as of now. -
Some CAD going on this morning. Was 39 at home and frost here at work. Probably around 33 degrees.
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What’s that old saying again? Dont trust 6z or 18z runs because they don’t use fresh data? I know there was something in the weenie handbook regarding that. I forgot the chapter and page though.
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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
mikeeng92 replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Back in the game for Sunday. GFS and UK bring snow back to Richmond. More for HR. euro still needs work -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Well after the fake -NAO tease for early Jan .. We all said Jan 15th period was possible but unlikely, the first real threats would show up Jan-18 on beyond .. It's still the case even though Jan 18 is still very low probs and next week looks boring for now..
