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  2. Anyone else feeling like crap due to the smoke? I'm pretty sure its from that as I started feeling sluggish from the dim light yesterday, it was brighter today so half to a 3rd the brightness but its the extreme AQI values causing headache feeling, low motivation, low thoughts, hard to focus or think clearly, strange bodily temp sensations sometimes, pseudo-malaise, etc. Can't imagine what is happening to the vulnerable right now. With that said I saw more out this aft old and young alike and strangely many vehicles have their side windows down. Guess they want to fill their passages up with ash.
  3. How long has that damn cell been sitting there in South Jersey?? Yikes
  4. I am beyond done with this summer.
  5. I couldn't smell any smoke when I walked home at 4:45 pm. Got a little whiff when I took the trash out 45 minutes ago though.
  6. Reminds me of anvil shading. Thick, large, sharp anvils from intense storms can induced a thermal gradient on their edges well downwind. Another mesoscale wildcard the models will not handle well or at all!
  7. I'm thankful i live somewhere the power rarely goes out, and when it does it's rarely for more than an hour the one exception was October 2011; 98 1/2 hours of no power with 3 kids under 8, fun times
  8. The training on this storm was incredible. And it was smack dab in the middle of the thick smoke plume, so that did not seem to inhibit things, and maybe enhanced things (cloud condensation nuclei different?). Smoke as to impacting convection has some studies, and results vary. One was smoke plumes seem to increase the frequency of +CGs. I attached the CG plot zoomed up color coded every 20 min going back 2 hr ending 724pm EDT. The density is wild! Radar rainfall estimates show up to 6" in some locations. visloop5.mp4
  9. Don't count on it. Yesterday it was so dim that there weren't even any optical effects. Time to break out the PH test kit. There is a pocket to my east of less smokey air as Barrie ON was at 180 last check, unfortunately its not moving my way it is only sagging south to Oshawa. I'm still around 380 but I'm on Day2 of this shit and trust me its far worse than you think it is sustained for this long. I'm a healthy adult who has tried to remain indoors (I briefly went out) and I'm feeling ill effects I know are from this. You almost want to buy a good air purifier and stow away in the basement somewhere.
  10. Takes all the fun out of golf.
  11. The NAM is woefully outdated as a model. I do not think it has been updated to tweaked in 10 years or so. It is mainly for a "quick, early look" and I think that's why I has stuck around for so long! Generally, I do not use the NAM after 36 hr, as it does odd things. And the model was never designed for TCs, so never use it for them. The NAM and all its derivative models are going away in Oct (was going to be Aug but pushed back), The RRFS will replace it. The RRFS has its issues, but from what I have seen, it does much better than the NAM.
  12. the houses down the street now look like they do in the fog. ugh. the visibility at KMRB has dropped 5 miles in the last 4 hours.
  13. A friend of mine at the Phil's game sent me this photo. Completely healthy atmosphere. lol
  14. The East based Nino folks are not going to agree.
  15. Wanted to capture a super red sunset, but the smoke is so thick the sun was completely blocked.
  16. Another hot summer day here. Got to 100.1* today at 15:09 Great view of the GWB looking west towards my home state, Jersey this evening
  17. Smoke smell is very strong now. Can see the smoke in the tree tops now as well
  18. Seeing some 4 and 5+ inch reports from those jersey storms.
  19. Yes, I figured that is what happened, and you confirmed it. I work w/ fire and smoke detection and mapping where I work. Here is our main product. https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/products/land/hms.html#maps Gets reset every day around 6am, and fire points and smoke areas are added in real time both automatically and manually during the day through late evening. Wind by *far* is the biggest factor in wildfire spread and intensity. And w/ the passage of a cold front you are going to get drier air advected in as well, so smoldering or low-level fires suddenly can get a massive boost. This also happened in central Quebec last summer or the summer before. Smoldering fires ignited by lightning and held at bay by rain occurred, and then the cold front passed, and all at once, you saw multiple fires erupt in sync across the region w/ big smoke plumes. This is was due to strong winds behind the cold front. Some think, "but it just raining a lot, how could things burn so much?" Well, that's a disconnect that exists. Things are a lot more complex than led on. There is a reason why fire wx has it own branch in meteorology, and the nuances and idiosyncrasies are rife and not what you'd expect! It is pretty amazing stuff. The sheer amount of training modules on MetEd/COMET is impressive, so that shows how big and complex this field is. And despite what MSM constantly pushes, drought or hot temps have little or nothing to do w/ wildfires. High winds are low RH are *everything*. You can have the wettest month on record, and then get fire wx warnings not days later. Recall March 2010 how wet it was in SNE, esp. RI? Well, a few days after a big flood event events, fire wx warnings were put up for the region This b/c windy conditions and low RH will dry out grass and shrubs in short order (called 1-hour fuels). Also, being spring, it's all still dead vegetation that burns easily. Open grasslands in the Plains are the same. Massive wildfires occur when no drought is present, again b/c it is largely 1-hour fuels. And in places like CA? Well, you have the wet season, and then the dry season by default, so most everything that sprouts/grows during the wet season, dies and decays in the dry season for a prime fuel load, and the wetter the wet season, often the worse that wildfire season later in the dry season. Couple that w/ Santa Ana winds, and drought conditions are irrelevant. You are going to get dried out and desiccated vegetation for lots of wildfire fuel no matter what every year.
  20. you can thank my best friend forkyfork
  21. The high dew point and smoke combo this evening is terrible!
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