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Add another 90 at ORD. 13?
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I’m frying outside today. Never ending summer. 98F at solar noon.
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Visible satellite shows clearing over the next 1-2 hours which will set the stage for severe later. Strong shear setup could lead to some supercells.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
SouthCoastMA replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
0.00" expecting the next batch to surgically miss -
Find someone that loves you as much as tropical systems love the TX/LA border region
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September 2026 Medium/Long Range
midatlanticweather replied to JenkinsJinkies's topic in Mid Atlantic
12z GFS back to bringing in some cooler air in the long range! Better than the blowtorch yesterday, but it is really flip-flopping! Euro 12z will shed light, but it keeps it pretty warm/hottish on previous runs. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Well I’m a hot drought maker, yard to burn and I’ll make your hydrangeas droop and I’ll leave your lawn brown and dead… -
2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
This is on the heels of Nebraska-Lincoln losing their department too. There are new ones to balance out, but it is always sad to see departments close.- 2,273 replies
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It’s sweltering out -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Below is the Chester County area Climate Summary for August 2026. August finished just slightly above normal +0.6 degrees as the 52nd warmest and the 16th wettest since 1871. Through the 1st 8 months of 2026 we are running 0.7 degrees below normal temperature wise which is the 57th warmest over 151 years but only the 103rd warmest on a composite anomaly basis. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Below is the Chester County area Climate Summary for August 2026. August finished just slightly above normal +0.6 degrees as the 52nd warmest and the 16th wettest since 1871. Through the 1st 8 months of 2026 we are running 0.7 degrees below normal temperature wise which is the 57th warmest over 151 years but only the 103rd warmest on a composite anomaly basis. -
2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
midatlanticweather replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
It is OK - Weather Weenies have us covered! (OF COURSE tons of sarcasm) It is bad news- 2,273 replies
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
It’s so bad that I was just listening to Guns N’ Roses “You could be mine”, and now I’m putting Stein to it. You could be Stein. -
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Maybe tomorrow night? -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Temp 86 here dp 79 heat index 99 -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
My downpour is harder than your downpour! -
1.9" for August monthly total. Dryness is back. September averages wet, but I suppose much of that was driven by tropical moisture. We'll see ...
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The leak eastward of CANSIPS continued this month...that trend above was last month. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Brewbeer replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
heavy rain is NOT boring, you are boring -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
I’m fed up with the strategic Stein Roman Helmets. Enough is enough. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Here is what I was getting at earlier RE CANSIPS...excerpt from my blog: Guidance is unanimous on notion that El Niño should begin to become more evenly distributed once again as the WWBs finally begin to weaken this fall, but they disagree on just how quickly and to what extent that will occur. The CANSIPS seems too aggressive in weakening the WWBs significantly by October, and the CFS evolution of shifting the event severely towards Modoki before an abrupt reversal to east-based is considered bizarre and thus disregarded. The JMA also seems far too aggressive in increasing the EMI to approximately .7 to .8, likely due to an early and exaggerated WWB retreat. Note that the June forecast already had the EMI crossing into the Modoki side of neutral for July and August, which has not happened. The CANSIPS has been making similar shifts eastward of the El Niño, as the trend from June to August for the peak OND period is clear. The European solution seems most reasonable, with a slow subsiding of the WWBs and accompanying neutralization of the EMI in late October, before a slight resurgence of WWBs and retreat eastward of the El Niño this winter. Here are the three distinct EMI scenarios. The ECMWF evolution of the El Niño EMI essentially neutralizing for winter is favored, which would ultimately render the El Niño as basin-wide. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It was both.......the first half was bad luck, the second half sucked. Early season was decent owed to the low-scending solar, east QBO combo....but it turned ugly later. -
Hearing quite a bit of rumbling here in the Summit area. Only storm around is way up in N Morris county.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I fully believe 97-98 was mostly bad luck for the I-95 cities despite a decent pattern at times. People get too caught up in the idea that it was bad just because just because it was the most east based.
