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March Observations and Discussions

Observations severe weather

367 replies to this topic

#1
ATL_Militarypolice

  • 400 posts
  • Joined November 13, 2010

Well February is done, that means we are only *nine* months away from the Met Winter of 2012-2013 lol.

Anyways what does March have in store for the southeast? Severe weather, heavy rains, or maybe even a late season snow for someone?...

Currently showers and storms across the region tonight with the potential for isolated severe storms. Main focus in the short-term turns to the next system this Friday and Saturday that will bring some more severe weather.

Post your any short-term discussions, and obs as you get them...

#2
Carvers Gap

  • 2,018 posts
  • Joined November 13, 2010

Crazy night here in the Tri-Cities w/ hail and tornado warnings. In like a lion.

#3
jburns

  • 13,967 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

Well February is done, that means we are only ten months away from the Met Winter of 2012-2013 lol.

I'm going to start my met winter in nine months.

#4
snowstorm2011

  • 1,458 posts
  • Joined February 3, 2011

Met winter starts 9 months from today, 12-1-12

#5
snowstorm2011

  • 1,458 posts
  • Joined February 3, 2011

Well February is done, that means we are only ten months away from the Met Winter of 2012-2013 lol.

Anyways what does March have in store for the southeast? Severe weather, heavy rains, or maybe even a late season snow for someone?...

Currently showers and storms across the region tonight with the potential for isolated severe storms. Main focus in the short-term turns to the next system this Friday and Saturday that will bring some more severe weather.

Post your any short-term discussions, and obs as you get them...


If i remember correctly, last March was very, very wet. March tends to be our wettest month I believe.

#6
WilkesboroDude

  • Major Forecaster

  • 3,352 posts
  • Joined March 27, 2011


Sunday Night

Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain in the evening, then partly cloudy with a chance of snow and a chance of rain. Low of 32F. Winds from the West at 5-10 mph. Chance of precipitation 50% .


#7
strongwxnc

  • SNOW....please

  • 2,969 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

Storm total was right on .20" last night. Just a lot of wind when the front came into mby..

#8
localyokelweather

  • 603 posts
  • Joined November 15, 2010

Picked up .40" last night. Nice to hear some thunder around the area. Feels amazing today and looking fwd to skiing this afternoon with temps in the upper 60's (low 70's at my house).

#9
WeatherNC

  • warm noses served piping hot

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Kind of blurrs the line between short and mid term, Sunday, about 3 days out. GFS has been consistent in stregthening the front along the coast for several days, likely in response to this strong vort and sharp upper level trough crashing in on the backside. Another cold chasing the moisture deal, and while the model shows 1/10" falling with 850's below 0C here, warm layer below that usually does not mix out in time. 1/10" includes the clipper type also, 6z gfs text for PGV... One would think that whatever falls with 500-1000 thick in the mid-upper 520's would be frozen.
6zgfs.JPG

MHX mentioned the Euro's surface wave in the overnight package, but is not buying it.

SYSTEM TO MOVE OUT OF AREA SUNDAY. ECMWF SHOWING A SURFACE
REFLECTION MOVING THROUGH MONDAY AS UPPER TROUGH DROPS THROUGH THE
AREA. THIS IS NOT SUPPORTED BY OTHER MODELS SO WILL NOT BUY INTO IT.

If anything, this GFS run is more bullish than the 0z Euro, which is mainly dry for the clipper type, but still does pop a low off the VA Capes, similar to what we saw it doing in this period 4-5 days ago. More food for thought, likely heavily salted, couple of the 6z GFS mems are developing a slp to the south near ILM, first run I have seen any of the mems do this so something to keep an eye on over the weekend.

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#10
WeatherNC

  • warm noses served piping hot

  • 2,919 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

A little late, but you get the idea... :ee:
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#11
eyewall

  • 4,902 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

Today's forecast high in the Triangle is around 80! :axe:

#12
weatherheels

  • 388 posts
  • Joined December 1, 2010

Today's forecast high in the Triangle is around 80! :axe:

lol... a lot cooler over here in the Triad... only forecasted to hit 76. Already at a balmy 69 at 11:15

#13
WeatherNC

  • warm noses served piping hot

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Today's forecast high in the Triangle is around 80! :axe:


Worst cold front... ever!

#14
Blue Ridge

  • ah-puh-latch-un

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.25" of rain last night, despite the line weakening and practically splitting Unicoi County. A check of CoCoRaHS reports from the Tri-Cities reveals widespread 1"+ amounts. No severe weather to report here; mere thunder was scarce.

#15
Ajdos

  • Take it and like it

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  • Joined November 14, 2010

The big warmup in Europe, should arrive here in about 7-10 days!

#16
Gastonwxman

  • Ready for Severe Weather!

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Only a low of 60 for today and temperatures are already climbing into the low 70s. Beginning to feel more confident that the upper 70s will be reached; maybe touching 80 if there is a tad more oomph in the warmth.

#17
dsaur

  • Hurry up winter! I'm tired of spring and summer.

  • 3,345 posts
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Picked up 1.2 in the early hours, with some hefty winds to go along with the heavy embedded showers. Another thin, long line set up though here after 2am and some of the showers moving through it were major league. T

#18
Northern Foothills Snowman

  • 343 posts
  • Joined January 23, 2011

The big warmup in Europe, should arrive here in about 7-10 days!


From what J/B posted yeaterday Europe may not be done with winter.

#19
Northern Foothills Snowman

  • 343 posts
  • Joined January 23, 2011

March definitely coming in like a lamb today.With the disappointing winter we've had makes you wonder how this March will turn out.

I want winter snows and cold as much ,if not more , than any on the this site but this nice weather ,72 degrees, sure is hard to beat.My family and I are going on a cruise in June.First time cruiser ,on a ship,but this type of weather makes me look even more foward to the trip .

I

#20
burgertime

  • Everything's coming up Milhouse!

  • 8,398 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

Just a gorgeous day out today in CLT. 78 and a nice breeze coming through.

#21
strongwxnc

  • SNOW....please

  • 2,969 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

Lace them up today !!!

Great weather for a good run..




Just a gorgeous day out today in CLT. 78 and a nice breeze coming through.



#22
burrel2

  • 581 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

A webcam shot from my property outside of Gunnison, CO today.... I wish I was there!!!

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#23
jburns

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Worst cold front... ever!


Pretty wimpy for sure. Only effect will be tonight. Last night my low was 60. Tonight is forecasted to be 42 more due to the dry air than anything else.

#24
burgertime

  • Everything's coming up Milhouse!

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Lace them up today !!!

Great weather for a good run..


I'll be doing 28 minutes with the dog tonight. Just perfect weather for it today.

#25
ATL_Militarypolice

  • 400 posts
  • Joined November 13, 2010

76 out right now. Nice day to go hit in the cage.

#26
GaWx

  • I'm quite content.

  • 4,793 posts
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Savannah's low on 3/1/12 was 65 F, which was three warmer than the previous warmest low on record there of 62 F.

#27
Lookout

  • It is inevitable

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79 here for a high yesterday. I much rather would have snow and cold but I'd be lying if I said it wasn't a beautiful day and it didn't feel good.

#28
Solak

  • 1,494 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

That first slug of rain sure washed out as it made it's way from Charlotte to the Triangle area. 0.6" North of Albemarle (via GR3), and we've gotten the token sprinkle from the same batch. Nice line of showers and storms pushing NE from along the SC/NC border. WeatherTAP shows quite a bit of lightning embedded within that line.

#29
WFFaithful

  • 101 posts
  • Joined August 21, 2011

hailstorm here. 1/4" to 1/2" hail. enough to cover the deck

#30
GeneHSV

  • 24 posts
  • Joined December 24, 2010

We have had some significant tornado damage from the 2 tornadoes this morning in Madison County, AL. 1 was rain-wrapped.

Damage has been north of Huntsville, in the Harvest, Meridianville areas. Some of the same areas hit last year, April 27th.

Not looking forward to round 2 later today.

#31
POWERSTROKE

  • Road Patrol

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heavy downpours for the past hour but chilly out

#32
rduwx

  • rduwx (rduwxwatcher @ eastern)

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We have had some significant tornado damage from the 2 tornadoes this morning in Madison County, AL. 1 was rain-wrapped.

Damage has been north of Huntsville, in the Harvest, Meridianville areas. Some of the same areas hit last year, April 27th.

Not looking forward to round 2 later today.

Sorry to hear about the damage. Y'all stay safe!

#33
MotoWeatherman

  • ...formerly known as dawsonwx...

  • 1,785 posts
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LOL at tonights run of the NAM. Has a wave developing along the front tomorrow throwing moisture back into some colder air.

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#34
MotoWeatherman

  • ...formerly known as dawsonwx...

  • 1,785 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

0zNAM says the high county of NC turns very white over the 84 hours. This map is probably way overdone but 1-3" looks like a good bet if you ask me. Mainly above 3k feet.

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#35
griteater

  • 2,584 posts
  • Joined November 30, 2010

LOL at tonights run of the NAM. Has a wave developing along the front tomorrow throwing moisture back into some colder air.

With support from the Canadian RGEM

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