580 replies to this topic

[Stebo48858]

Alek, on 12 January 2012 - 03:35 PM, said:

.

Nice

[KokomoWX]

Mottster, on 12 January 2012 - 03:08 PM, said:

Snow has shut off here as well.

I think we're going to great screwed with this system. The dryslot wins again.

[buckeye]

yea radar looks like crap. Holding out to see how much cold air can catch up to the first heavy slug of moisture before it heads east. After that it's all about caa squalls/snowshowers and what can develop across s. IN, n.KY.

[Hoosier]

KokomoWX, on 12 January 2012 - 03:42 PM, said:

I think we're going to great screwed with this system.  The dryslot wins again.  

Looks like a lull for the next several hours. Then we have to hope the backside does ok but clearly this break is gonna cost us.

[Ajdos]

So sick of rain :/.....I'll take the sunshine instead of **** crap...wow...what a depressing season lol..the next system looks to be another soaker...my gosh... :/

[Alek]

wrong thread

[SpartyOn]

Alek, on 12 January 2012 - 02:29 PM, said:

good call

Are u a commodities trader?

[Nic]

ARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRG

That is all. lol

[Mottster]

Hoosier, on 12 January 2012 - 04:01 PM, said:

Looks like a lull for the next several hours. Then we have to hope the backside does ok but clearly this break is gonna cost us.

Well if anything at least we got some snow across the region for the most part..

[Ajdos]

By the time this thing pivots it will basically diminish, and we will get the left overs. LOL..

[Ajdos]

By the time this thing pivots it will basically diminish, and we will get the left overs. LOL..

[mnweather]

Ajdos, on 12 January 2012 - 07:20 PM, said:

By the time this thing pivots it will basically diminish, and we will get the left overs. LOL..

LOL, I like your outlook.

[Thunder Road]

1.5" in 8.5 hours. This blows. The ratios must be terrible.

NWS point-and-click still has 3-7" tonight, but the 2-4" we were supposed to get today....

[Stevo6899]

Lol @ the donut hole of no advisories. Said the other day would be funny if metro detroit was only place in the region without an advisory. Still awaiting the first advisory/watch/warning of the year.

[michsnowfreak]

Stevo6899, on 12 January 2012 - 08:06 PM, said:

Lol @ the donut hole of no advisories. Said the other day would be funny if metro detroit was only place in the region without an advisory. Still awaiting the first advisory/watch/warning of the year.

it does look funny, but to be fair, some of those advisories to our south are a joke, as advisory criteria gets weaker and weaker as you go south.

Im not feeling good about this event, but I will wait til its over to say anything, in case theres a surprise.

[Ottawa Blizzard]

This winter just sucks. Period. It's the worst one I've experienced thus far in my 31 and a half years of life, save for perhaps 2001-2002. What a year to move back to Toronto from Ottawa! lol

[weatherpsycho]

michsnowfreak, on 12 January 2012 - 08:13 PM, said:

it does look funny, but to be fair, some of those advisories to our south are a joke, as advisory criteria gets weaker and weaker as you go south.

Im not feeling good about this event, but I will wait til its over to say anything, in case theres a surprise.

Yeah it is really starting to really look like a model hype storm.

[buckeye]

finally!!! coming down good. I may have to leave this thread...briefly

[snowstormcanuck]

Ottawa Blizzard, on 12 January 2012 - 08:19 PM, said:

This winter just sucks. Period. It's the worst one I've experienced thus far in my 31 and a half years of life, save for perhaps 2001-2002. What a year to move back to Toronto from Ottawa! lol

To date, Jan 2000 and Jan 2007 were worse. But if we haven't seen anything by this time next week, this winter is going to get the futility crown, at least for "starts" to a winter.

[Snowstorms]

snowstormcanuck, on 12 January 2012 - 09:19 PM, said:

To date, Jan 2000 and Jan 2007 were worse. But if we haven't seen anything by this time next week, this winter is going to get the futility crown, at least for "starts" to a winter.

If I see another p!ss tank I swear to god I will........

I hope this storm over performs. Its all about now-casting now.

I hope it pulls a Feb, 2011 where it suddenly shifts NW. I swear before I went to sleep that night the radar looked so sick, I wake up but I still managed to get 20cm.

[toronto blizzard]

snowstormcanuck, on 12 January 2012 - 09:19 PM, said:

To date, Jan 2000 and Jan 2007 were worse. But if we haven't seen anything by this time next week, this winter is going to get the futility crown, at least for "starts" to a winter.

If we don't get anything by the end of this month I will throw in the towel on winter 2011-12. At this rate 09-10 will leave this winter in the dust. Never thought I would say that

[snowstormcanuck]

Snowstorms, on 12 January 2012 - 09:26 PM, said:

If I see another p!ss tank I swear to god I will........

I hope this storm over performs. Its all about now-casting now.

I hope it pulls a Feb, 2011 where it suddenly shifts NW. I swear before I went to sleep that night the radar looked so sick, I wake up but I still managed to get 20cm.

Downsloping WSW winds were always a factor that sort of worked against us seeing anything decent tomorrow. If the forcing was strong enough, we could overcome it, but with us being on the fringes of the best vvs, I think the lower end calls are better.

[dmc76]

Just got home... Its absolutely pathetic outside. It feels like Early April. No Snow. Looks bleak for anything over 1"

[Snowstorms]

snowstormcanuck, on 12 January 2012 - 09:31 PM, said:

Downsloping WSW winds were always a factor that sort of worked against us seeing anything decent tomorrow. If the forcing was strong enough, we could overcome it, but with us being on the fringes of the best vvs, I think the lower end calls are better.

I'm going with 3-6cm max.

Again lets see.

The fact that cold anomalies have been barely consistent this Winter is the big problem. We had many opportunities in December but it was just TOO GODDAM warm!!!

Have you seen the euro weeklies. Week 2-torch but week 4 it has a -NAO anomaly.

[snowstormcanuck]

toronto blizzard, on 12 January 2012 - 09:29 PM, said:

If we don't get anything by the end of this month I will throw in the towel on winter 2011-12. At this rate 09-10 will leave this winter in the dust. Never thought I would say that

it's just too improbable to go snowless or near snowless the rest of the way out. Worst case scenario, we approach 2009-10/1952-53 type totals. And think of the upside: we're so far back of that right now that means another 40cm is on the way!

[Snowstorms]

snowstormcanuck, on 12 January 2012 - 09:36 PM, said:

it's just too improbable to go snowless or near snowless the rest of the way out. Worst case scenario, we approach 2009-10/1952-53 type totals. And think of the upside: we're so far back of that right now that means another 40cm is on the way!

At this rate....even 10cm wil be hard to achieve, in final totals.

I'm still thinking Feb-April are going to be winning in our region but I've always been a hopeless dreamer

2009-10/2006-07/2001-02/1999-00 and 1952-53 were horrible Winters esp 2009-10 and 1952-53.

I promised the guys back on accuwx that If we get a storm of over 10cm this Winter I will ask the girl I like out, and hopefuly she still likes me back, lol.

[toronto blizzard]

snowstormcanuck, on 12 January 2012 - 09:36 PM, said:

it's just too improbable to go snowless or near snowless the rest of the way out. Worst case scenario, we approach 2009-10/1952-53 type totals. And think of the upside: we're so far back of that right now that means another 40cm is on the way!

idk it seems as if it's hard to believe we are going to get alot of nsow this winter with the AK vortex seemingly being stubborn to die

[Snowstorms]

toronto blizzard, on 12 January 2012 - 09:41 PM, said:

idk it seems as if it's hard to believe we are going to get alot of nsow this winter with the AK vortex seemingly being stubborn to die

We need the La Nina climo to kick in. Typically we see an Aleutian Ridge, -PNA/-EPO pattern in a Nina which is why WCanada is always cooler.

La Nina's often offer gradient patterns.

Again February-April are going to be last months we have for any improvement. BTW, March 1870 got 160cm down in Toronto, you never know ahey LOL

[weatherpsycho]

dmc76, on 12 January 2012 - 09:33 PM, said:

Just got home... Its absolutely pathetic outside. It feels like Early April. No Snow. Looks bleak for anything over 1"

It's snowing hard in southern OH then SE MI.

[weatherpsycho]

Snowstorms, on 12 January 2012 - 09:44 PM, said:

We need the La Nina climo to kick in. Typically we see an Aleutian Ridge, -PNA/-EPO pattern in a Nina which is why WCanada is always cooler.

La Nina's often offer gradient patterns.

Again February-April are going to be last months we have for any improvement. BTW, March 1870 got 160cm down in Toronto, you never know ahey LOL

I am really feeling March/April are going to be below normal & possibly fairly snowy (Feb too). We have had some mild springs lately and I think payday is coming.

[Thunder Road]

2.2"

0.5" in the last 2 hours. Dendrites my azz. Haven't gotten past snow grains all day.

[dmc76]

Priceless...

 2xus_severe.gif   41.8K   2 downloads

[snowstormcanuck]

Snowstorms, on 12 January 2012 - 09:39 PM, said:

At this rate....even 10cm wil be hard to achieve, in final totals.

I'm still thinking Feb-April are going to be winning in our region but I've always been a hopeless dreamer

2009-10/2006-07/2001-02/1999-00 and 1952-53 were horrible Winters esp 2009-10 and 1952-53.

I promised the guys back on accuwx that If we get a storm of over 10cm this Winter I will ask the girl I like out, and hopefuly she still likes me back, lol.

Eh, this winter has been an exemplar as to why LRF should be taken with more than a grain of salt. So I'm not going to get my hopes up. But I do take solace in the fact that it can't get any worse at least.

And there were a lot of other crappy winters before 1999-00. 1994-95, 1982-83, etc. It just seem like the recent "bad" winters have been particularly bad.

[snowstormcanuck]

toronto blizzard, on 12 January 2012 - 09:41 PM, said:

idk it seems as if it's hard to believe we are going to get alot of nsow this winter with the AK vortex seemingly being stubborn to die

Oh, it's more than likely that we're not going to get "a lot of snow" the rest of the way out. But we're not going to end the season on 3 or 4" or whatever we're at now.

[Ottawa Blizzard]

snowstormcanuck, on 12 January 2012 - 10:42 PM, said:

Eh, this winter has been an exemplar as to why LRF should be taken with more than a grain of salt. So I'm not going to get my hopes up. But I do take solace in the fact that it can't get any worse at least.

And there were a lot of other crappy winters before 1999-00. 1994-95, 1982-83, etc. It just seem like the recent "bad" winters have been particularly bad.

The late 40s/early 50s were also bad, but not as bad as the more recent winters. 2001-2002 was Toronto's warmest since records began in 1839.