MD Snow Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 We're 2 days out and this is perfect for us....if it trends much further north I would be concerned about Baltimore south getting screwed. Not saying it's going to happen but it's definitely something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Crushing blow for all of us. Smiles all around so far for 0z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I'm scared Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This is mighty. Winter storm watches are needed soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Winter storm watches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Can't complain about qpf on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Where's the bus? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Again, this is a great run, but speaking to the mets how...how realistic is it for ull/ccb to thump an area like that for 6 to 8 hours with THAT much QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Realistic? Probably not. Fun to look at? Yeah I wouldn't take NAM QPF literally at this stage (or any stage?), but it does follow the trend of a colder profile AND a stronger ULL precip max. The big difference is that significant jump northward on the whole storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 BWI MOS SFC 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 © © (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK MON 7P 24-JAN -5.4 -3.1 1029 69 83 552 529 TUE 1A 25-JAN -5.2 -0.2 1027 78 85 0.00 553 532 TUE 7A 25-JAN -4.3 -0.2 1023 90 83 0.00 553 535 TUE 1P 25-JAN 5.0 -0.6 1021 70 58 0.00 554 537 TUE 7P 25-JAN 2.9 -1.1 1020 83 34 0.00 557 541 WED 1A 26-JAN -0.2 -1.3 1019 96 63 0.00 559 544 WED 7A 26-JAN WED 1P 26-JAN 1.1 -0.3 1011 94 98 0.09 554 545 WED 7P 26-JAN 0.1 -1.2 1005 96 100 0.27 546 541 THU 1A 27-JAN 0.4 -4.2 1007 97 87 0.79 539 534 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 good luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 The temperatures look close, just above freezing in DCA/BWI and below baltimore north, could be a wet crippling snow or rain depending on upper level temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This is mighty. Winter storm watches are needed soon. Yeah, based on one run of a model known for high QPF. Blizzard watch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I'm scared Holy **** That lil ball of 1.5" QPF is RIGHT over Baltimore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 northward trend needs to stop now for DCA/BWI and I mean right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 BWI MOS SFC 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 © © (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK MON 7P 24-JAN -5.4 -3.1 1029 69 83 552 529 TUE 1A 25-JAN -5.2 -0.2 1027 78 85 0.00 553 532 TUE 7A 25-JAN -4.3 -0.2 1023 90 83 0.00 553 535 TUE 1P 25-JAN 5.0 -0.6 1021 70 58 0.00 554 537 TUE 7P 25-JAN 2.9 -1.1 1020 83 34 0.00 557 541 WED 1A 26-JAN -0.2 -1.3 1019 96 63 0.00 559 544 WED 7A 26-JAN WED 1P 26-JAN 1.1 -0.3 1011 94 98 0.09 554 545 WED 7P 26-JAN 0.1 -1.2 1005 96 100 0.27 546 541 THU 1A 27-JAN 0.4 -4.2 1007 97 87 0.79 539 534 Definitely rain in the early afternoon, but then 1" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yeah, based on one run of a model known for high QPF. Blizzard watch? I think there is the potential for 5", so yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 The temperatures look close, just above freezing in DCA/BWI and below baltimore north, could be a wet crippling snow or rain depending on upper level temps. I gotta admit, you're pretty good. Somebody will take the bait. Be sure to straddle the line carefully because dey hollerin' for yo' head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 The temperatures look close, just above freezing in DCA/BWI and below baltimore north, could be a wet crippling snow or rain depending on upper level temps. U r awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 northward trend needs to stop now for DCA/BWI and I mean right now! You must have the same nagging feeling they I have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Definitely rain in the early afternoon, but then 1" of snow. Looks like rain at least through 21Z but snow by cearly snow by 00Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I think there is the potential for 5", so yeah. The earliest you would see one would be after the entire 0Z run. This could be a hiccup, but a damn beautiful one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I'm still 7-8" in CHO, but I can't tolerate any shift north. I know, I'm screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 You must have the same nagging feeling they I have. Maybe this is the final fish-in before the rug is pulled out from under us just like the other storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Nice call. Have you hit your 5 limit post yet. Nevermind, I will just black you now. Heyyyyyyyyyyyyyy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 one more north trend and we will be back in the famous hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 You must have the same nagging feeling they I have. yep, its called "winter of 10/11" how I want to bust, you just don't know plus, I've seen some stuff that makes me quite encouraged for FEB, so if I don;t bust this week, maybe FEB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 God I hope we dont go through another north trend on the ULL....still 48-54 hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richmondsnow Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 How about a south trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 How about a south trend? Unfortunately that is much less likely than a north trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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