Brian5671 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 1 minute ago, FPizz said: Should have taken the day off to golf before the leaves all fall and you lose a ball even with a solid hit, 68 here my son is out there today-they have a day off from school 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago RIP the NAM and SREF. I will miss NAMs predictions of 40 inches of snow during the winter and 10 feet of rain during the summer. Thanks for the memories. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 69 / 38 another gorgeous day for fall. Looking liek dry streak ends with the >1.00 inch of rain Thu-Fri. Untill then 70s in the warm spots Mon - Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Records: Highs: EWR: 84 (1950) NYC: 83 (1950) LGA: 83 (1950) JFK: 74 (1974) Lows: EWR: 29 (1976) NYC: 30 (1887) LGA: 29 (1965) JFK: 31 (1965) Historical: 1743: Benjamin Franklin's "eclipse hurricane" unlocked the key to storm movement. A rainstorm prevented Ben Franklin from viewing a lunar eclipse in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, but his brother in Boston saw it, though the rain began an hour later. 1810: An early season winter storm produced 7 inches of snow in New York City. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1861: The Federal Expedition, the largest fleet of American warships assembled up to that time, sailed from MD to attack Confederate installations in SC. Upon rounding the North Carolina Capes it ran into a hurricane that sank two of the ships. The fleet otherwise survived and five days later captured Port Royal Sound, SC. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1929: Boston, Massachusetts had a high minimum temperature of 63 °F the warmest low temperature for November. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1946: A tornado hit Washington in Hempstead County in Arkansas, killing one. 1946 - A heavy wet snow began to cover the Southern Rockies. Up to three feet of snow blanketed the mountains of New Mexico, and a 31 inch snow at Denver CO caused roofs to collapse. (David Ludlum) 1950: High pressure off the East Coast brought another day of record warmth from the Mid-Atlantic States into New England. November all-time state heat records established today: NC (90 degrees in Greenville and Oxford; NY (87 in Elmira); NH (84 in Windham); RI (82 in Greenville; and VT (81 in Bellows Falls). Many locations recorded record highs for the month of November including: Boston, MA: 83°, Hartford, CT: 83°, New York (LaGuardia Airport), NY: 83°-Tied, Providence, RI: 81°, Wilmington, DE: 81°, Atlantic City, NJ: 81°, Philadelphia, PA: 81°, Allentown, PA: 80°, Harrisburg, PA: 79° and others. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA) (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) Boston, Massachusetts had a high temperature of 83 °F the warmest temperature for November. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1951: A large ridge of Canadian high pressure pushed a cold front into the southeast states southwest into northern Mexico bringing an early taste of winter. More than 50 record lows were set in the North, Central and southern Mid-West States. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1961: A large ridge of high pressure brought record autumn heat from the Great Lakes into the Southeast. Locations recording their all-time record high for November included: Augusta, GA: 90°, Columbia, SC: 90° and Atlanta, GA: 84°. Other record highs for the date included: Tampa, FL: 88°, Macon, GA: 88°, Savannah, GA: 88°, Charleston, SC: 87°, Charlotte, NC: 85°, Little Rock, AR: 83°, Louisville, KY: 81°, Cincinnati, OH: 80°, St. Louis, MO: 80°, Springfield, IL: 80°, Chicago, IL: 77°, Columbus, OH: 77° and others. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1961 - The temperature at Atlanta, GA, reached 84 degrees to establish a record for November. (The Weather Channel) 1966 - A storm brought 18 inches of snow to Celia KY in 24 hours. It tied the state 24 hour snowfall record first established at Bowling Green. (The Weather Channel) 1971: The maximum today was 85° in Washington, DC warmest ever so late in season. (Ref. Washington Weather Records) Also on this date Richmond, Virginia had its latest minimum of 70 °F or higher (latest warm night in the year) with a minimum temperature of only 70 °F. (Ref. Richmond Weather Records) A ridge along the east coast with upper level high pressure off the Florida coast brought record heat from parts of southern New England to the south. Locations recording their highest November temperature included: Mobile, AL: 87°-Tied and Sterling (Dulles Airport), VA: 84°-Tied. Other locations reporting record highs for the date included: Washington, DC: 85°, Tupelo, MS: 85°, Richmond, VA: 84°-Tied, Lynchburg, VA: 82°, Roanoke, VA: 82°, -Tied, Asheville, NC: 80°, Bristol, TN: 80°-Tied, Greensboro, NC: 80°-Tied, Cape Hatteras, NC: 78°-Tied, Syracuse, NY: 76°, and New York (Kennedy Airport), NY: 73° and others. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1974: Southeast Kansas--Lightning struck and killed a man in a duck blind near Lowell about 10 a.m. (Ref. Lightning-The Underrated Killer.pdf) 1976: A lady is shocked while talking on the phone when a lightning strike hits a telephone pole nearby. The strange thing is that it occurred during a snowstorm. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1987 - A dozen cities, mostly in the Ohio Valley, reported record high temperatures for the date. Record highs included 83 degrees at Paducah KY and 84 degrees at Memphis TN. Temperatures reached 70 degrees as far north as southern Lower Michigan. Showers and thundershowers over southern Florida, associated with a tropical depression, produced 4.77 inches of rain at Tavernier, located in the Upper Florida Keys. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - A very intense low pressure system brought heavy rain, snow, and high winds, to parts of the northeastern U.S. Portland ME established a record for November with 4.52 inches of rain in 24 hours, and winds along the coast of Maine gusted to 74 mph at Southwest Harbor. Heavy snow blanketed parts of northern Vermont and upstate New York, with 15 inches reported at Spruce Hill NY. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Squalls in the Upper Great Lakes Region the first three days of the month buried Ironwood MI under 46 inches of snow, and produced 40 inches at Hurley WI. Arctic cold invaded the Southern Plains Region. Midland TX reported a record low of 22 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1991: Strong low pressure of 988 millibars or 29.18 inches mercury north of Lake Superior combined with high pressure over southern Canada brought record winter-like cold from parts of the Rockies into the Plains. Kimball, NE matched their record earliest below zero with -2°. Other daily record lows included: Alamosa, CO: -21°, Great Falls, MT: -16°, Casper, WY: -14°, Helena, MT: -13°, Lander, WY: -12°, Pueblo, CO: -10°, Cheyenne, WY: -7°, Scottsbluff, NE: -4°, Billings, MT: -2°, Sheridan, WY: -2°-Tied, Valentine, NE: -2°, North Platte, NE: 1°, Missoula, MT: 0°, Grand Island, NE: 4°, Dodge City, KS: 4°, Norfolk, NE: 5°, Concordia, KS: 8°, Lincoln, NE: 9°, Omaha, NE: 9°, Amarillo, TX: 10°, Kansas City, MO: 12°, Topeka, KS: 14°-Tied, Wichita, KS: 14°-Tied, Oklahoma City, OK: 19°, Lubbock, TX: 19°-Tied, Abilene, TX: 25°, Dallas (DFW), TX: 28° and Houston, TX: 34°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1992: Another infamous November Great Lakes Storm brought windy conditions to Minnesota's Lake Superior shoreline. 70 mph winds caused waves to crash over 130-foot walls along the shore. 2000: Hilo, Hawaii on November 1st and 2nd : Heavy and persistent rains across the eastern half (windward side) of the "Big Island" of Hawaii drop 27.24 inches of rain at the Hilo Airport in a 24-hour period, breaking the previous 24-hour rainfall record. The previous record was 22.30 inches set on February 19-20, 1979. (Ref. WxDoctor) 37 inches of rain fell at Kapapala Ranch on the big island of Hawaii. 22.25 inches of it occurred in just 6 hours. This just missed breaking the all-time 24-hour rainfall record for the state of 38 inches at Kilauea Sugar Plantation on Kauai in January 1956. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
straphanger Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago So are we raining late week or are we not? The 12z GFS and Euro now both show most of the rain threat fading for Thursday while they try to get some coastal enhancement going on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 21 hours ago Author Share Posted 21 hours ago 6 minutes ago, TriPol said: RIP the NAM and SREF. I will miss NAMs predictions of 40 inches of snow during the winter and 10 feet of rain during the summer. Thanks for the memories. Meanwhile the gfs and euro are worlds apart on rainfall this week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago 33 minutes ago, straphanger said: So are we raining late week or are we not? The 12z GFS and Euro now both show most of the rain threat fading for Thursday while they try to get some coastal enhancement going on Friday. Given how dry we are I'm not jumping on any rain train 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago New For 2026 -27 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 15 hours ago Author Share Posted 15 hours ago 7 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: New For 2026 -27 Not sure how I feel about this. Like I get it with tornadoes that are on the ground about to destroy a town but blizzards are inherently dangerous so whats a dangerous blizzard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Not sure how I feel about this. Like I get it with tornadoes that are on the ground about to destroy a town but blizzards are inherently dangerous so whats a dangerous blizzard? I have no idea how they messed up the wording of winter type storms over the years. Seems like no one was confused 30 years ago. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 15 hours ago Author Share Posted 15 hours ago 3 minutes ago, FPizz said: I have no idea how they messed up the wording of winter type storms over the years. Seems like no one was confused 30 years ago. Yeah I liked snow advisories and heavy snow warnings 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 37 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Yeah I liked snow advisories and heavy snow warnings The winter weather advisory needs to be retired. Means nothing to anyone 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Unseasonable warmth will prevail through much of the first week of November. Parts of the region will likely reach or exceed 70° tomorrow through Thursday. Dry conditions will likely persist until late in the week. The potential exists for a 1.00" or greater rainfall Friday into Saturday. Behind the storm, cooler but not especially cold air will move into the region during the weekend or early next week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.4°C for the week centered around October 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +5.22°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +3.27°C. ENSO Region 1+2 breaks the all-time record while 3.4 ties the all-time record. The ongoing strong El Niño, will peak either this month or December. The SOI was -17.56 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.384 today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Today, Bridgeport, New York City (Central Park), and White Plains recorded highs of 66° and lows of 43°. Today is the first day on record that all three stations had identical high and low temperatures. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Looks like the long range pattern gets more amplified as we head deeper into November. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Record November CONUS warmth this month with this very amplified super El Niño pattern. Warmth is shifting into the Northeast this week with numerous +10 to +15 departures next 5 days. Then a pullback of the warmth to the Upper Midwest before surging back east again mid-November. Areas that haven’t had their first freeze yet are going to have a very late first freeze. Spots that did have their first freeze will experience a very late first hard freeze. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago This is wild weather. Very Denver like. Cool to cold nights and warm days. But last winter the steam pipe to my building at work burst under ground. They never fixed it, but put in this temporary system. Once it is on, it is on. So I’m still dressing like it is July. My office with the window AC on is a warm 74. Absolutely wild to to have the AC and heat blasting, but here we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Another great forecast of Mostly Sunny today by Upton GOES-EAST US PSeUdo-Color LOOP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 56 / 45 some clouds rolling through otherwise the dry and sunny low 70s int he warmest stations. Continues and warmth peaks tomorrow with sw flow and mid 70s perhaps better in the warmest spots. Enjoy this stretch as First rain since Oct 16 or Oct 14th for our area and a chance of >1.00 inch between Thu PM and Sat AM. Beyond there near normal and likely turning wetter it'll be interesting going from 18-20 days of dry to see if we can get 3 days between rain chances moving past nov 5th. Ridging and overall warm look to head back this way towards Nov 14th and beyond but liekly staying wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Records: Highs: EWR: 81 (2003) NYC: 79 (2003) LGA: 80 (2003) JFK: 75 (2003) Lows: EWR: 29 (1951) NYC: 28 (1875) LGA: 32 (1951) JFK: 32 (1980) Historical: 1890 - The temperature at Los Angeles, CA, reached 96 degrees, a November record for 76 years. (David Ludlum) 1927 - Somerset VT was deluged with 8.77 inches of rain to establish a 24 hour record for the state. (3rd-4th) (The Weather Channel) 1927: Historic flooding occurred across Vermont from November 2nd through the 4th. The flood washed out 1285 bridges, miles of roads and railways, and several homes and buildings. Eighty-four people were killed from the flooding, including Lt. Governor S. Hollister Jackson. Click HERE for additional information by Tom Moore. 1956: (1st-3rd) Eastern CO thunderstorms turned into a blizzard by night (1st); drifts to 12 feet high. 16 head of cattle were driven by winds against a fence where they were apparently killed by lightning. Another 33 head drowned when forced into a river by the storm. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA) 1961 - A rare November thunderstorm produced snow at Casper, WY. (3rd-4th) (The Weather Channel) 1966: An early season snowfall, which started on the 2nd, whitened the ground from Alabama to Michigan. Mobile, Alabama, had their earliest snowflakes on record. Louisville, Kentucky measured 13.1 inches, Nashville; Tennessee reported 7.2 inches, and Huntsville, Alabama, had 4 inches of snow. 1980: The 24 °F temperature range in the local area with a low of 19°F in northwest suburbs to 43° in Washington, DC was very unusual. (Ref. Washington Weather Records DCA) 1982: Surface high pressure along the Mid Atlantic combined with upper level high pressure off the Bahamas brought unseasonably warm weather to the East Coast. Sterling (Dulles Airport), VA: 82°, Georgetown, DE: 80°, Philadelphia, PA: 76°-Tied, Binghamton, NY: 75°, Williamsport, PA: 74°, Albany, NY: 74°, Burlington, VT: 74°, Syracuse, NY: 74°-Tied and Worcester, MA: 73°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1987 - Twenty-one cities, mostly in the Ohio Valley, reported record high temperatures for the date. The afternoon high of 80 degrees at Columbus OH was their warmest reading of record for so late in the season. Showers and thundershowers associated with a tropical depression south of Florida produced 4.28 inches of rain at Clewiston in 24 hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - A sharp cold front brought about an abrupt end to Indian Summer in the north central U.S. Up to a foot of snow blanketed Yellowstone Park WY, and winds in the mountains near the Washoe Valley of southeastern Wyoming gusted to 78 mph. Unseasonably warm weather continued in the south central U.S. Del Rio TX tied Laredo TX and McAllen TX for honors as the hot spot in the nation with a record warm afternoon high of 91 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Cold weather prevailed in the central U.S. Six cities in Texas, Minnesota, and Michigan, reported record low temperatures for the date. The low of 7 above zero at Marquette MI was their coldest reading of record for so early in the season. (The National Weather Summary) 1991: Brownsville, TX recorded its first snow since 11/28/1976. Only a trace fell but this stands out as significant, since snow occurred so far south so early and the fact that Portland, ME had not recorded its first snow of the season up to this date. The last measurable snow in Brownsville was way back in February 1895 when the local paper reported 5 inches on the ground. Brownsville did not receive measurable snow on any date in the 20th century.(Ref. AccWeather Weather History) Record cold prevailed across Colorado behind the "Halloween Mega Storm". Pueblo dropped to -17°, breaking the previous record for the day by an amazing 28 degrees. Alamosa recorded -26°, breaking the old daily record by 18 degrees. Other daily record lows included: Havre, MT: -15°-Tied, Lander, WY: -12°, Glasgow, MT: -11°, Helena, MT: -8°, North Platte, NE: -6°, Bismarck, ND: -4°, Scottsbluff, NE: -4°, Colorado Springs, CO: -2°, Sioux Falls, SD: -2°, Norfolk, NE: -2°, Missoula, MT: 0°, Clayton, NM: 0°, Fargo, ND: 0°, Grand Forks, ND: 0°, Rapid City, SD: 0°, Grand Island, NE: 0°, Valentine, NE: 0°, St. Cloud, MN: 0°, Aberdeen, SD: 1°, Huron, SD: 1°, Lincoln, NE: 1°, Goodland, KS: 1°, Dodge City, KS: 3°, Sioux City, IA: 3°, Concordia, KS: 4°, Rochester, MN: 4°, Omaha, NE: 6°, Amarillo, TX: 7° (broke previous record by 11 degrees), Lubbock, TX: 7° (broke previous record by 16 degrees), Des Moines, IA: 7°, Minneapolis, MN: 8°, Waterloo, IA: 9°, Kansas City, MO: 10° (broke previous record by 10 degrees), Oklahoma City, OK: 11° (broke previous record by 10 degrees) plus additional cities.(Ref. Wilson Wx. History) Alamosa, Colorado:In Alamosa, the temperature plunges to -26 °F (-32 °C) shattering the old record by 18 F degrees (10 C deg) as record cold grips Colorado. (Ref. WxDoctor) 2001: Hurricane Michelle reached peak intensity on this day as a Category 4 storm. Michelle made landfall on November 4-5, between Playa Larga and Playa Giron, Cuba, as a Category 4 hurricane, the strongest to strike the country since 1952's Hurricane Fox. The storm caused an estimated $2 billion US dollars in damage to Cuba. 2002: A Magnitude 7.9 earthquake struck central Alaska. The quake is the 9th largest to be recorded in the US. 2007: Dense fog in the early morning hours resulted in a 100 vehicle pile-up just north of Fowler, CA on I-99. Two people were killed, and 41 others were injured. The thick seasonal fog is known as "Tule fog" and typically occurs in Central California in late fall and winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Wetter look east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Another busted sunny forecast-looks cloudy most of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago a difference of opinion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: a difference of opinion Classic GFS S and E bias Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Cloudless now. Should make it to 70 or so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 39 minutes ago Share Posted 39 minutes ago GFS about 50 miles NW of the prior run now for Fri rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted 21 minutes ago Share Posted 21 minutes ago the trend is your friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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