October 2026

[guinness77]

Why the hell can it never be like this on a damn Sunday?? 

[SACRUS]

Up to 75 in / out of the clouds but a nice day. 

[FPizz]

72 today, managed to sneak out and hit a few balls at the range.  Taking a half day tomorrow to get in a golf round.  Forecast is 77 and sunny.  

[WestBabylonWeather]

Couldn’t ask for a nicer day weather wise 

 

from top of the rock 

[straphanger]

4 hours ago, guinness77 said:

Why the hell can it never be like this on a damn Sunday?? 

Pretty terrible that we've strung together three weekends in a row with a crappy Sunday.  Especially during peak fall outdoor activity season.  At least the streak will be over this weekend with Friday being the unsettled day instead.  

[donsutherland1]

Tomorrow through Wednesday will be warmer than normal days. Highs should reach the upper 60s and lower 70s. Temperatures could peak in the middle to perhaps upper 70s on Wednesday ahead of a cold front. Newark could make a run at 80°.

Cooler weather will then arrive for Thursday and Friday. There is increasing potential that a piece of an air mass that set a record low temperatures in parts of Canada during the weekend could move into the region for next weekend. The arrival of this air mass could trigger a few showers on Friday or Friday night. As a result, the weekend could see the coldest temperatures so far this season.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.3°C for the week centered around October 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.73°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +3.03°C. ENSO Region 3.4 has set a new all-time record. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. 

The SOI was -17.60 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.903 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 56% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.3° (0.4° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.4° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[SACRUS]

Today's Highs:



ACY: 78
New Brnswck: 75
EWR: 74
JFK:74
PHL: 74
BLM: 73
TEB: 73
ISP: 72
LGA: 72
TTN: 72

NYC: 70

[LibertyBell]

12 hours ago, bluewave said:

Impressive how most of the weekends this year have had at least some measurable precipitation. Next significant storm appears to be set for Friday. But the way things have been going, we could have some lingering rain into early Saturday. 

 

 

I wouldn't call it impressive I'd call it horrible.  The heavy rains and high winds  have brought an early end to the fall foliage season here as more than half the leaves are already down here. Officially the highest wind gust was 31 mph here but it went on for many hours and did some damage.

11 hours ago, MANDA said:

Solid soaking areawide.    1.88" here.

Close to 3 inches here and many branches are down and more than half the leaves on the trees have also come down so I guess that means we are officially past peak. Expecting our first freeze next weekend anyway.

 

By the way I see Mt Pocono in the yellow with 2.80 inches (and 31 mph wind gusts) but what is that yellow marker just to the west of Jim Thorpe and Lehighton? Is that 2.81 inches in Hazleton? It's just off the western edge of the map.

 

 

[bluewave]

7 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

I wouldn't call it impressive I'd call it horrible.  The heavy rains and high winds  have brought an early end to the fall foliage season here as more than half the leaves are already down here. Officially the highest wind gust was 31 mph here but it went on for many hours and did some damage.

Close to 3 inches here and many branches are down and more than half the leaves on the trees have also come down so I guess that means we are officially past peak. Expecting our first freeze next weekend anyway.

 

By the way I see Mt Pocono in the yellow with 2.80 inches (and 31 mph wind gusts) but what is that yellow marker just to the west of Jim Thorpe and Lehighton? Is that 2.81 inches in Hazleton? It's just off the western edge of the map.

 

 

Just be grateful that we didn’t get the tree damage they just got around Great Falls. Record warmth start to October followed by an early record snowstorm. Rachael’s moisture streamed up into that area and met air cold enough for heavy wet snow with the trees still leafed out. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NBYb7eyjY-k

 

Climatological Data for Great Falls Area, MT (ThreadEx) - October 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2026-10-01	62	33	47.5	-3.9	17	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-02	77	41	59.0	8.0	6	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-03	71	38	54.5	3.9	10	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-04	82	36	59.0	8.9	6	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-05	85	52	68.5	18.8	0	4	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-06	81	46	63.5	14.3	1	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-07	76	44	60.0	11.2	5	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-08	80	43	61.5	13.2	3	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-09	81	54	67.5	19.7	0	3	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-10	56	31	43.5	-3.9	21	0	1.29	6.4	0
2026-10-11	32	30	31.0	-15.9	34	0	0.83	9.3	8
2026-10-12	34	29	31.5	-15.0	33	0	0.03	M	M

Maximum 2-Day Total Snowfall 
for Great Falls Area, MT (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	15.7	2026-10-10 through 2026-10-11	0
2	12.4	2020-10-17 through 2020-10-18	0

 

 

[MJO812]

This weather sucks

I shouldn't be sweating on October 13.

[SACRUS]

68 / 60  upper 60s to mid 70s in the warmest spots, peak warmup tomorrow with some low 80s in the warmest areas and perhaps the warmest till next year.  Cooler Thu - Fri then a chill frost / freeze inland burbs Sat - Sun before moderation to and warmer overall 10/19 - beyond as ridging come east.

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 89 (1954)
NYC: 87 (1954)
LGA: 86 (1995)
JFK: 79 (1995)


Lows;

EWR: 34 (2012)
NYC: 34 (1875)
LGA:  39 (1988)
JFK: 37 (2012)

Historical:

 

1820: Snowstorm at Ft. Snelling, MN dumps 11 inches. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

 

1846 - A great hurricane tracked across Cuba, Florida, Georgia, the Carolinas, Virginia and Pennsylvania. The hurricane inflicted major damage along its entire path, which was similar to the path of Hurricane Hazel 108 years later. The hurricane caused great damage at Key West FL, and at Philadelphia PA it was the most destructive storm in thirty years. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1876: New York City recorded its earliest 32° reading with a half inch of snow. Snow fell from Virginia to New England with 3.5 inches reported at Fall River, MA. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1893: At Richmond, winds became a "perfect gale" as rain fell in torrents. Homes were partially unroofed, and trees fell in the capital squares. Between Richmond and Danville, a passenger train struck a fallen tree while a freight train struck another tree. Many lines fell across Petersburg. Dwellings in town rocked to the wind gusts. Roanoke watched as their river rose to levels unseen since 1853. Washouts occurred along the Norfolk & Western railroad, delaying traffic from twelve to fourteen hours. The town of Elliston was submerged by the Roanoke river, sweeping away houses. Alexandria saw its wharves crumble before the high waters ($25,000). The James river eclipsed the level attained during the Johnstown Flood of 1889 by twelve inches. Bladensburg saw winds level fences and partially unroof homes. In Washington, DC, the Calvary Baptist church's side wall blew down ($3000). Associate justice of the Supreme Court Henry B. Brown was seriously injured when a plate glass window shattered at his new home at the northwest corner of 16th street and Riggs at 7:30 p.m.. Trees and their limbs were strewn throughout the city. Rainfall began in the morning and increased throughout the afternoon. Sewers were flooded by this downpour. By 6 p.m., gale force winds swept through the Federal City. Damage to police and fire wires was "greater than ever before been experienced. " Waters on the Potomac rose six feet above the high tide, which was three feet below the high water mark. The Anacostia bridge became submerged. (Ref. for Fall Storm of Oct. 13th - 14th)

1960: Large hail nearly covered the ground across a large part of central Jackson County, in southwest Oklahoma. Hail up to the size of baseballs, with some chunks shaped like saucers, destroyed the roofs of most businesses and homes in Olustee. Large hail also pounded the Stillwater area the same evening. Hail up to 4 inches in diameter caused damage in and around the city, including damage to roofs, windows, and copper trim at Oklahoma State University. (Ref. Wilson Weather History)

1982: Denver experiences a wet, early-season snow. Up to 6 inches fell in the Foothills. Extensive power outages resulted as tree limbs broke under the weight of the snow. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1983: Severe weather in Falls Church, VA, produced 2-3 tornadoes and caused $1 million in damages.

1986 - Four tornadoes struck southeastern Virginia late in the night causing three million dollars damage. Tornadoes at Falls Church VA caused a million dollars damage. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders)

1987 - Fifteen cities in the eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Record lows included 34 degrees at Meridian MS, 28 degrees at Paducah KY, and 26 degrees at Beckley WV. Another surge of arctic air entered the north central U.S. bringing snow to parts of Wyoming and Colorado. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - A total of forty-three cities in the eastern U.S. and the Upper Midwest reported record low temperatures for the date, including Elkins WV and Marquette MI where the mercury dipped to 18 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Sixteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date as readings warmed into the 80s and low 90s from the Southern and Central Plains to the Southern and Middle Atlantic Coast. Evansville IND and North Platte NE reported record highs of 91 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

 

1990: The combined remnants of Tropical Storms Klaus and Marco dumped extremely heavy rainfall over New England. More than 6 inches of rain fell in parts of Connecticut. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1994: A slow moving low pressure area dumped excessive rains over coastal Georgia. Hunter was drenched with 14.26 inches in 24 hours while Savannah checked in with 8.80 inches. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

2006: On the 12th and 13th in a historic lake effect snow left 22.6 inches of snow in Buffalo, New York. With trees in full leaf much damage occurred; estimates of $200 million dollars damage. Thunder occurred for approximately 12 hours with the storm, and 400,000 customers without power some for two weeks. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2007 Accord Publishing, USA) (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2012 Accord Pub. 2011, USA)

2011: Central and eastern Virginia hit by three tornadoes today. The tornado that hit New Kent County on Thursday carried winds estimated at 95 mph, the National Weather Service said today. The twister struck about 4:50 p.m. in the Woodhaven Shores neighborhood in southwestern New Kent, officials said. Its path was about 200 yards wide. The tornado was an EF1 -- the next-to-weakest rating for tornadoes. Weather service officials judged the tornado's characteristics by visiting the site today. Earlier today, the weather service said three confirmed tornadoes struck Virginia Thursday the 13th of October. The tornadoes hit western Louisa County between 3:30 and 3:45 p.m., western New Kent County just before 5 p.m. and southeastern Prince William County about 5:30 p.m. (Ref. Richmond Times Published by Rex Springston on October 14, 2011)  A late season tornado event occurred on October 13th.
An EF1 tornado went across a portion of New Kent County and another did EF1 damage in Louisa County at Sylvania Plantation, a historic home built in 1746. (Ref.NWS Late Season Tornadoes Louisa County and New Kent County)

[SACRUS]

 

[SACRUS]

2026 LAST LOW TEMPERATURE THRESHOLDS

49°F and lower
EWR: Oct 9 - 47°F
NYC: Oct 6 - 48°F
LGA: May 12 - 48°F
JFK: Oct 7 - 44°F

39°F and lower
EWR: Apr 21 - 35°F
NYC: Apr 21 - 34°F
LGA: Apr 21 - 37°F
JFK: Apr 21 - 34°F

29°F and lower
EWR: Apr 8 - 29°F
NYC: Mar 18 - 25°F
LGA: Mar 18 - 26°F
JFK: Mar 29 - 29°F

[SACRUS]

Once past the 2 day weekend chill down, ridging builds east, some onshore component but shoudl see a few warm days on the 1019 - 10/30 period:

[OldSkool]

20 hours ago, straphanger said:

Pretty terrible that we've strung together three weekends in a row with a crappy Sunday.  Especially during peak fall outdoor activity season.  At least the streak will be over this weekend with Friday being the unsettled day instead.  

Make that 5 rainy Sundays in a row >:(

[SnoSki14]

Very warm feel today and humid too. 

[straphanger]

31 minutes ago, OldSkool said:

Make that 5 rainy Sundays in a row >:(

Yup you're right...forgot 9/13 and 9/20 were also pretty blah Sundays too.

[dWave]

Tide is extra high today, at least on the Sound. Enough for splash over onto waterfront parks and sidewalks

[Keith Central PA]

4 hours ago, MJO812 said:

This weather sucks

I shouldn't be sweating on October 13.

Days in the 70's are common for mid October..Now if it's like this in late November,that would suck

[gravitylover]

4 hours ago, MJO812 said:

This weather sucks

I shouldn't be sweating on October 13.

Every day that I don't have to burn $6/gal oil is a win. 

[Brian5671]

30 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

Every day that I don't have to burn $6/gal oil is a win. 

I have NG here but if we have a warm winter that will help many with oil heat and crazy costs

[donsutherland1]

Detroit saw the temperature soar to 87° and Indianapolis reached 88° this afternoon through 4 pm. That both cities' highest temperatures so late in the season. Some of this air will move through the East tomorrow.

As a result, tomorrow will likely be the warmest day for some time to come. Highs will reach the middle to upper 70s ahead of a cold front. Newark will likely reach or exceed 80°.

Cooler weather will then arrive for Thursday. Friday will then turn briefly milder with temperatures topping out in the upper 60s to around 70°. Afterward, a piece of the air mass that set a record low temperatures in parts of Canada last weekend will move into the region for the weekend. The arrival of this air mass could trigger a few showers on Friday or Friday night. As a result, the weekend could see the coldest temperatures so far this season. Highs in New York City will struggle to reach 50° on Saturday and rise only to the lower and middle 50s on Sunday.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.3°C for the week centered around October 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.73°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +3.03°C. ENSO Region 3.4 has set a new all-time record. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. 

The SOI was -18.18 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.539 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 56% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.4° (0.5° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.5° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.