Ginx snewx Posted Friday at 03:20 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:20 PM 20 minutes ago, MegaMike said: What app/website is this from? I'm impressed that it has estimates from most major modeling systems. My only issue with it: mean(53.7+23.4+42.1+20.2+51.2+23.5+58.4+27.4+43.2+20.4+41.2+21.7+41.8+23.5) == 35.1mph I'm not sure where they're getting 17.8mph from. My website is Ginxweather.com The average is sustained wind. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted Friday at 03:22 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:22 PM 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Congrats SCOOTER and Masswx That rainfall max keeps showing up near me in N CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted Friday at 03:23 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:23 PM Pretty cool seeing the thunderstorms increase off the southeast coast. I’m not a big “rain guy” but I’m morbidly fascinated to see what 6-8 inches of rain would do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Friday at 03:24 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:24 PM 1 minute ago, Cyclone-68 said: Pretty cool seeing the thunderstorms increase off the southeast coast. I’m not a big fan of”rain guy” but I’m morbidly fascinated to see what 6-8 inches of rain would do Not much over 3 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted Friday at 03:33 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:33 PM Birds are going crazy in the woods. Apparently sharp drops in barometric pressure send them into a feeding frenzy. Most quick drops usually occur in the winter so i have never noticed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Friday at 03:34 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:34 PM Winds really picking up here gusting into the 30-35 mph range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted Friday at 03:40 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:40 PM 20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: My website is Ginxweather.com The average is sustained wind. You developed it? Nice! I like your visuals/displays. Did you get all forecast data from an API? For wind speed, I see: The mean wind speed in the screen cap == 17.8 mph, but shouldn't it be mean(23.4+20.2+23.5+27.4+20.4+21.7+23.5) = 22.9 mph? Nothing is below 20.2 mph for wind speed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DirtySnowDen Posted Friday at 03:42 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:42 PM The is going to be bad, the fact the broad and oddly cold high pressure is splitting into a two engine system as the tropical low pressure comes north and hits a wall it spilts evenly, not allowing it to leave in either direction so it’s lost and there is a Full Moon this weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DirtySnowDen Posted Friday at 03:44 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:44 PM Scooters “banana high” is literally getting broken, evenly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Friday at 03:46 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:46 PM GFS north of 6z and close to 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Friday at 03:47 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:47 PM By hr42 actually bumps north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted Friday at 03:48 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 03:48 PM 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not much over 3 days I think the only caveat there is if we get real banding. I can see periods where it pours under those and people see localized issues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Friday at 03:49 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:49 PM Just now, WxWatcher007 said: I think the only caveat there is if we get real banding. I can see periods where it pours under those and people see localized issues. Yep, there’s gonna be periods where it might be dry and not much going on, and then absolute downpours at other times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Friday at 03:49 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:49 PM 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: By hr42 actually bumps north Better LLJ too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Friday at 03:49 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:49 PM GFS doesn't seem as inverted either, especially inland. In fact, even developing a couple hundred J of MUCAPE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DirtySnowDen Posted Friday at 03:51 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:51 PM The fact, if correct, initialization is lower than expected, it’s punching through that high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted Friday at 03:52 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:52 PM 43 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: 99mb is pretty low.... yeah, probably be able to pull super cooled columns of air out of the stratosphere and flip some over to snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted Friday at 03:53 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:53 PM I’m getting the feeling New Jersey through Southern Connecticut takes the brunt of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Friday at 03:57 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:57 PM My website is Ginxweather.com The average is sustained wind.Bookmarked, site is beautiful Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DirtySnowDen Posted Friday at 03:58 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:58 PM Remember it’s meteorology and not modelogy, that low pressure is already lapping up the cold air as it sits over warm-ish water. It’s gonna force the high to weaken and split, funneling the same low pressure at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted Friday at 04:02 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:02 PM 25 minutes ago, MegaMike said: You developed it? Nice! I like your visuals/displays. Did you get all forecast data from an API? For wind speed, I see: The mean wind speed in the screen cap == 17.8 mph, but shouldn't it be mean(23.4+20.2+23.5+27.4+20.4+21.7+23.5) = 22.9 mph? Nothing is below 20.2 mph for wind speed. Fixed yes API. Missing data was dragging it down. Thanks Mike 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted Friday at 04:04 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:04 PM 38 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not much over 3 days Except it comes in Exceptionally wet banding. You could pick up 4 inches in 90 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Friday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:05 PM Just now, Ginx snewx said: Except it comes in Exceptionally wet banding. You could pick up 4 inches in 90 minutes I don’t know if this setup will produce that, but heavy rains sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted Friday at 04:06 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:06 PM 8 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Bookmarked, site is beautiful Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk Thanks will be handy coming winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Friday at 04:13 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:13 PM Does seem like the lower tropospheric foot of the cyclone's currently snipped off the warm front and drifting just by impression of satellite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted Friday at 04:13 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:13 PM 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t know if this setup will produce that, but heavy rains sure. 6 inches in 6 hrs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Friday at 04:14 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:14 PM Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Does seem like the lower tropospheric foot of the cyclone's currently snipped off the warm front and drifting just by impression of satellite. Yeah naked swirl. Wonder if a new center redevelops? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Friday at 04:14 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:14 PM Just now, Ginx snewx said: 6 inches in 6 hrs That’s precip rate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted Friday at 04:15 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 04:15 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Friday at 04:18 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:18 PM 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s precip rate Averaged over 6hr. His problem is it’s mm and not inches. So that’s about 1.5” in that orange pixel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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