October 2026 general discussion

[WinterWolf]

Over 2” here as well. Just solid rain all day and night. 

[WinterWolf]

On 10/5/2026 at 5:29 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Nothing in sight 

This didn’t work out to well…just 5.5 days later, we get 2” plus from the cane in the gulf.    Long range modeling can be horribly inaccurate. 

[dendrite]

Well is getting slow to fill here again. Soil moisture sensor is 37cb which is getting a little dry for the subsurface…even after 1/3” of rain. Usually that value is dropping (getting more moist) as the soil temp steps down in the fall.

As usual we get the crumbs to SNE’s feast.

[scoob40]

For the valley BAF 2.04, CEF 1.84.

[Prismshine Productions]

Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk

[mreaves]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

0.34”

Need some rain

Beats my .29"  At least the growing season is pretty much ended.

[WinterWolf]

58 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Well is getting slow to fill here again. Soil moisture sensor is 37cb which is getting a little dry for the subsurface…even after 1/3” of rain. Usually that value is dropping (getting more moist) as the soil temp steps down in the fall.

As usual we get the crumbs to SNE’s feast.

Ya, unfortunately for you guys, this one again was SNE centric.  This was a very good drink…moderate rain for hrs all day…and then heavy rain all evening long…no breaks either just constant and continuous rain.  It would have gone along way to help your well situation.   
 

Heh, you guys will get a two footer/30”er, and we’ll get 1-3” come January…

[Brian5671]

About 1.75 here.  The storms keep rolling on.   Going to make a run at 60 inches of precip for the year

[Damage In Tolland]

3 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

Nah…just a little cool shot in a sea of warmth.  

It’s exactly what it is. It warms AN all next week just like this week 

[weatherwiz]

Would not be surprised to see multiple inches of accumulating snow for ski areas on Saturday and maybe even grassy accumulation accumulations lower elevations of NNE. Wonder if the Tug hill could pull off several-plus inches 

[tamarack]

0.06" overnight.  October has had measurable rain on 5 of the 12 days, for a grand total of 0.14".  GYX thinking about an inch by Wednesday noon.  Hope that verifies.

[WxWatcher007]

44 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Would not be surprised to see multiple inches of accumulating snow for ski areas on Saturday and maybe even grassy accumulation accumulations lower elevations of NNE. Wonder if the Tug hill could pull off several-plus inches 

Was saying that in the NNE thread earlier haha. I've been skeptical, but there's a solid cross guidance signal for flakes up here this weekend. GFS was pretty aggressive along with its AI counterpart. Euro not as much. I like seeing the lingering moisture after the front. We can produce nicely on that. 

Not sure about the Tug however, as this looks like more NW flow than westerly off Ontario, if you're talking LES potential. 

[weatherwiz]

8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Was saying that in the NNE thread earlier haha. I've been skeptical, but there's a solid cross guidance signal for flakes up here this weekend. GFS was pretty aggressive along with its AI counterpart. Euro not as much. I like seeing the lingering moisture after the front. We can produce nicely on that. 

Not sure about the Tug however, as this looks like more NW flow than westerly off Ontario, if you're talking LES potential. 

That is a very robust shortwave digging into the region with some healthy moisture in place and rather steep lapse rates. 

Wasn't looking at LES in this case...just more elevated/terrain enhancement. 

[WxWatcher007]

43 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

That is a very robust shortwave digging into the region with some healthy moisture in place and rather steep lapse rates. 

Wasn't looking at LES in this case...just more elevated/terrain enhancement. 

Ah yes, even better haha. Euro has snow through much of NNE Saturday with daytime highs in the 30s up my way.

[Damage In Tolland]

6 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

This didn’t work out to well…just 5.5 days later, we get 2” plus from the cane in the gulf.    Long range modeling can be horribly inaccurate. 

At the time there was no hurricane. Had that not developed it would have been Stein

[Typhoon Tip]

what a day.  73 no wind tolerable RH and at least some feeble warmth value still to the sun. 

top 10er actually -

[powderfreak]

1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Ah yes, even better haha. Euro has snow through much of NNE Saturday with daytime highs in the 30s up my way.

Good AFD from BTV…

A cold front will sweep through the area Friday night sharply
lowering temperatures 10 to 15 degrees from Friday evening to
Saturday morning. Temperatures will likely dip below freezing for
most if not all locations across the area with only those near Lake
Champlain and immediately near the St. Lawrence River staying above
freezing. As temperatures fall, snow levels during the day Saturday
will also lower to 500-1000ft agl, with a transition to snow above
1500ft agl, and a rain, wet snow mix, in elevations between 1000-
1500ft agl. A few mixed in flurries cannot be ruled our even in the
Champlain Valley, though temperatures will be marginal in the mid to
upper 30s. Some snowliage appears likely with ensembles denoting
nearly 100% chances for purely snowfall in the Adirondacks and
Northeast Kingdom.

Rain and snow showers will taper off Saturday evening as the system
pulls away to the northeast. 850 mb temperatures Saturday night will
be remarkably cold for this time of year in the -9 to -11C range
Saturday night supporting temperatures in the 20s for most of the
area, including the entire Champlain Valley. Pockets of teens will
be possible in the coldest hollows of the Adirondacks and Northeast
Kingdom as surface temperatures anomalies will be 10 degrees below
normal. Temperatures will slowly moderate back towards seasonable
normals to start next week.

[WxWatcher007]

11 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Good AFD from BTV…

A cold front will sweep through the area Friday night sharply
lowering temperatures 10 to 15 degrees from Friday evening to
Saturday morning. Temperatures will likely dip below freezing for
most if not all locations across the area with only those near Lake
Champlain and immediately near the St. Lawrence River staying above
freezing. As temperatures fall, snow levels during the day Saturday
will also lower to 500-1000ft agl, with a transition to snow above
1500ft agl, and a rain, wet snow mix, in elevations between 1000-
1500ft agl. A few mixed in flurries cannot be ruled our even in the
Champlain Valley, though temperatures will be marginal in the mid to
upper 30s. Some snowliage appears likely with ensembles denoting
nearly 100% chances for purely snowfall in the Adirondacks and
Northeast Kingdom.

Rain and snow showers will taper off Saturday evening as the system
pulls away to the northeast. 850 mb temperatures Saturday night will
be remarkably cold for this time of year in the -9 to -11C range
Saturday night supporting temperatures in the 20s for most of the
area, including the entire Champlain Valley. Pockets of teens will
be possible in the coldest hollows of the Adirondacks and Northeast
Kingdom as surface temperatures anomalies will be 10 degrees below
normal. Temperatures will slowly moderate back towards seasonable
normals to start next week.

We love. We take. 

[vortex95]

8 hours ago, dendrite said:

Well is getting slow to fill here again. Soil moisture sensor is 37cb which is getting a little dry for the subsurface…even after 1/3” of rain. Usually that value is dropping (getting more moist) as the soil temp steps down in the fall.

As usual we get the crumbs to SNE’s feast.

Next two systems decent rains for NNE.  I don't want hear it!   And you should see your first flakes!

[Great Snow 1717]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

At the time there was no hurricane. Had that not developed it would have been Stein

But it did develop...lol

ALTERNATE REALITY...just like your political hero...lol

[WinterWolf]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

At the time there was no hurricane. Had that not developed it would have been Stein

Well it was being forecast..and the possibility was there, and it was hinted at that the moisture could get up in here…but you did poo poo it, but it came up in here in a big way. 

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

But it did develop...lol

ALTERNATE REALITY...just like your political hero...lol

We don’t need to get political….take it to another thread. 

[Great Snow 1717]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

We don’t need to get political….take it to another thread. 

ROFL