September 2026

[bluewave]

19 hours ago, MANDA said:

I would place a bet that some in this sub forum see more unwanted heavy to possibly excessive rainfall over the next 2 weeks.

Next 2 weeks look to feature above normal rainfall region wide.

Yeah, looks like a very wet pattern coming up with lows and stalled fronts undercutting the big high to our north and plenty of easterly flow.

 

[Stormlover74]

6 hours ago, the_other_guy said:

Starting to get hints if color in Westchester and north. Break out the pumpkin spice

I bought the Sam Adam's pumpkin ale

[steve392]

Been seeing color all over parts of southeast Bergen County for the last week.  My maple tree showing signs of red at the top. 

[SnoSki14]

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, looks like a very wet pattern coming up with lows and stalled fronts undercutting the big high to our north and plenty of easterly flow.

 

Looks like this could continue for a while too.

[bluewave]

Just now, SnoSki14 said:

Looks like this could continue for a while too.

Especially with the most recent runs moving to cutoff the upper low under the big ridge.

 

 

 

[MJO812]

20 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Looks like this could continue for a while too.

My forecast has 60s all week with rain 

[MANDA]

32 minutes ago, steve392 said:

Been seeing color all over parts of southeast Bergen County for the last week.  My maple tree showing signs of red at the top. 

Have had slight hints of color here for the last 3 weeks.  Much more noticeable over the last week or so.

[MANDA]

Looks like WPC coming on board for a a potentially very wet stretch coming up.  Too soon for details on placement of heaviest of the totals but looks like more Flash Flood Watches for some part of this sub forum are in the cards over the next week.  PWATS once again modeled to rise to AOA 2".  Chances of locally excessive totals for some over the next 7 days increasing.  

[MarcmmKU]

14 hours ago, [email protected] said:

Could today have been the last 80 or higher degree day for Central Park this year?

No way. October these days almost always has at least one 80 F day. A couple years ago it even hit 80 on Halloween. A sufficiently torchy November also sometimes has 80 F days.

[MANDA]

6 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Flash flooding depends on  if there are any hours of heavy rain - rain spread out light to moderate over several days does not produce flash flooding in most cases

With a moisture rich atmosphere Sunday onward with high PWATS fully expecting locally heavy downpours such as we have seen over the last few months.  Rainfall rates of 1-2" per hour are certainly able to produce Flash Flooding conditions especially with very wet soils ongoing at most locations.

[NEG NAO]

22 minutes ago, MANDA said:

With a moisture rich atmosphere Sunday onward with high PWATS fully expecting locally heavy downpours such as we have seen over the last few months.  Rainfall rates of 1-2" per hour are certainly able to produce Flash Flooding conditions especially with very wet soils ongoing at most locations.

no flash flooding here

[SACRUS]

9/17 yesterdays highs:


TEB: 87
LGA: 85
EWR: 84
ACY: 84
New Brnswck: 84
PHL: 84
TTN: 84
BLM: 83
NYC: 82
ISP: 80
JFK: *80

[SACRUS]

77 / 67 partly - mostly cloudy warmest of the next 10 days, low - mid 80s in the warmest spots.  Split weekend nice Saturday before a 4-5 day period of clouds mainly in the 60s, onshore easterly flow, rain and potential for a 5 day total of >2 - 4 inches - some drought.  Beyond there overall near normal to close the month.

 

 

[SACRUS]

 

ecords:

Highs:

EWR: 90 (1992)
NYC: 91 (1891)
LGA: 89 (1965)
JFK: 90 (1965)


Lows:

EWR: 42 (1937)
NYC: 44 (1990)
LGA: 49 (1990)
JFK: 46 (1961)


Historical:

1752: The hurricane of 1752 was one of the most devastating in the history of Charleston, SC. Although the number of fatalities could not be determined, a contemporary Boston press report, based on a ship officer's account, estimated that 95 people drowned. The destruction of trees was severe. One plantation owner's loss was assessed at $50,000.  (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1816: A tropical storm affected Virginia before moving northeast into New York. Heavy rains caused the James river in Richmond to rise only an inch or two lower than the High Fresh of 1814. Flood waters invaded the first floors of area homes. One bridge was submerged, cutting off travel (Chapman). (Ref. for Tropical Storm of 1816)

1886: A tornado moved along the Des Plaines River in northeast Illinois, hitting the city of Joliet. The tornado destroyed 20 homes, 10 barns, two factories, and a grain elevator; a bridge was moved intact for two blocks. 20 people were injured, but the loud roar of the approaching tornado allowed residents time to take shelter, so no one was killed. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1926 - The great ""Miami Hurricane"" produced winds reaching 138 mph which drove ocean waters into the Biscayne Bay drowning 135 persons. The eye of the hurricane passed over Miami, at which time the barometric pressure reached 27.61 inches. Tides up to twelve feet high accompanied the hurricane, which claimed a total of 372 lives. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1933: The September 17th and 18th storm gave 13.27 inches of rain at Provincetown, MA causing severe flooding! (Ref. Notable New England Hurricanes)

1936: A passing hurricane did heavy damage in Salisbury Maryland and gave 4.61 inches of rain in Washington, DC and Baltimore received only a trace of rain. 1936 Hurricane Track - Weather Underground

1941: A remarkable aurora borealis or "northern lights" was observed as far south as north Florida on this night and the 19th. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1971: A brush fire at Lake Alexander, MN in Morrison County started a 10-foot wide, 50-foot high "fire whirl." It moved out over the lake, overturned a 1,800 pound pontoon boat, and then dissipated as it moved back to shore. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1950: Hail covered the ground to a depth of 2 inches at Phoenix, AZ. Damage was extensive at the airport, where 22 planes were destroyed. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1978: Parts of the northern Rockies received some early season snow. 21 inches of snow fell at Red Lodge, MT reported 21 inches. Lesser amounts fell at lower elevations. Joliet, MT received 1.5 inches and Billings, MT received a trace. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1987 - Early morning thunderstorms in northern Texas produced wind gusts to 65 mph at Sulphur Springs, and 2.50 inches of rain in one hour at Commerce, which caused widespread street flooding. Bonham TX received 4.50 inches of rain which also resulted in widespread street flooding as Pig Branch overflowed its banks. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - A strong cold front produced severe thunderstorms in the north central U.S. High winds behind the cold front gusted to 92 mph at Fort Collins CO, and up to a foot of snow blanketed the mountains of Montana, with seven inches reported at Great Falls. High winds in Colorado caused three million dollars damage. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Hurricane Hugo hit Puerto Rico, producing wind gusts to 92 mph at San Juan, and wind gusts to 120 mph at Roosevelt Roads. Hugo produced a storm surge of four to six feet, and northeastern sections of the island were deluged with more than ten inches of rain. Hugo claimed the lives of a dozen persons in Puerto Rico, and caused a bilion dollars damage, including 100 million dollars damage to crops. Thunderstorms representing what remained of Hurricane Octave continued to bring heavy rain to the valleys of northern California. Heavier 24 hour rainfall totals included 3.15 inches at Redding, and 2.66 inches at Red Bluff. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1991: 2.4 inches of snow fell at Duluth, MN to set not only a new record daily snowfall but also a new record total for September. The previous record snowfall for September was 1.5 inches set back in 1908.  (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

2003: Hurricane Isabel made landfall along the Outer Banks of North Carolina with maximum sustained winds near 100 mph and a minimum central pressure of 956 millibars or 28.23 inches of mercury. The greatest impacts were felt in North Carolina and Virginia. Hurricane Isabel gave Annandale - Barcroft Hills Weather Center a 41 mph wind gust today at 1603 which was the highest wind ever recorded for September at this station. 

[SACRUS]

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Especially with the most recent runs moving to cutoff the upper low under the big ridge.

 

 

 

Classic ridge on top onshore flow and trough  cutoffs underneath into the northeast 9/21 - 9/26

[bluewave]

8 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Classic ridge on top onshore flow and trough  cutoffs underneath into the northeast 9/21 - 9/26

We have a shot at 3 months in a row where part of the region goes 10”+.

Monthly Data for September 2026 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

CT	NORTHFORD 0.8 SW	CoCoRaHS	8.22
CT	FAIRFIELD 1.5 NE	CoCoRaHS	7.97
CT	DARIEN 2.4 NW	CoCoRaHS	7.64
CT	NORWALK 1.4 ENE	CoCoRaHS	7.36
CT	TRUMBULL 2.6 SSE	CoCoRaHS	7.14
CT	STAMFORD 1.0 S	CoCoRaHS	6.69
CT	JEWETT CITY 3.0 ESE	CoCoRaHS	6.68
NJ	FAIR LAWN 1.2 SE	CoCoRaHS	6.63
CT	NORWALK 2.9 NNW	CoCoRaHS	6.55

 

Monthly Data for August 2026 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NJ	CLARK TWP 1.3 ENE	CoCoRaHS	12.48
NJ	LINDEN 2.2 NW	CoCoRaHS	12.19
NJ	HARRISON	COOP	11.78
NJ	CRANFORD TWP 1.1 ESE	CoCoRaHS	10.99
NY	FRANKLIN SQUARE 1.1 N	CoCoRaHS	10.92
NJ	CLARK TWP 0.7 SSW	CoCoRaHS	10.88
NJ	KEARNY 1.7 NNW	CoCoRaHS	10.88
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	10.19

Monthly Data for July 2026 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NY	BEACON 4.2 ESE	CoCoRaHS	17.14
NY	PEEKSKILL 2.8 NNE	CoCoRaHS	16.45
CT	BETHEL 0.5 E	CoCoRaHS	15.83
CT	DANBURY	COOP	15.12
NY	NELSONVILLE 0.3 S	CoCoRaHS	14.54
CT	NEWTOWN 5.3 S	CoCoRaHS	14.51
CT	BETHEL 3.5 NNE	CoCoRaHS	14.07
CT	OAKDALE 2.6 WNW	CoCoRaHS	13.97
NY	SHRUB OAK	COOP	13.93
NY	GARRISON 1.5 NE	CoCoRaHS	13.76
CT	NEWTOWN 4.6 SE	CoCoRaHS	13.64
CT	SALEM 3.6 SE	CoCoRaHS	13.60
CT	STRATFORD 0.2 ESE	CoCoRaHS	13.43
CT	SHELTON 1.3 W	CoCoRaHS	13.23
CT	SHELTON 1.3 W	CoCoRaHS	13.12
CT	NORTHFORD 0.8 SW	CoCoRaHS	13.11
CT	BETHEL 4.5 SSE	CoCoRaHS	13.09
CT	FAIRFIELD 1.5 NE	CoCoRaHS	13.08
CT	CHESTER CENTER 2.7 WNW	CoCoRaHS	12.93
NY	YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 2.7 NNW	CoCoRaHS	12.43
CT	TRUMBULL 2.6 SSE	CoCoRaHS	12.43
CT	BROOKFIELD 3.3 SSE	CoCoRaHS	12.42
CT	IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT	WBAN	12.33
NY	CARMEL 4N	COOP	11.95
CT	RIDGEFIELD 2.4 NNE	CoCoRaHS	11.84
NY	SEAFORD 0.4 SE	CoCoRaHS	11.82
NY	LAKE CARMEL 0.7 NE	CoCoRaHS	11.75
NJ	HAWTHORNE 1.0 SSE	CoCoRaHS	11.71
CT	SOUTHBURY 2.3 W	CoCoRaHS	11.53
NY	PATTERSON 1.3 E	CoCoRaHS	11.28
CT	GUILFORD	COOP	11.19
NY	NEW WINDSOR 3.3 W	CoCoRaHS	11.18
NJ	CEDAR GROVE TWP 0.4 W	CoCoRaHS	11.17
CT	DURHAM 1.2 W	CoCoRaHS	11.14
CT	WALLINGFORD CENTER 1.9 WNW	CoCoRaHS	11.13
CT	NEW CANAAN 1.9 ENE	CoCoRaHS	11.06
CT	LEDYARD 0.5 NE	CoCoRaHS	11.04
CT	WALLINGFORD CENTER 3.3 NNW	CoCoRaHS	11.03
CT	MIDDLEFIELD 1.4 W	CoCoRaHS	10.97
CT	MIDDLEFIELD 0.6 SE	CoCoRaHS	10.96
CT	RIDGEFIELD 3.6 N	CoCoRaHS	10.92
NY	CENTEREACH 1.3 NE	CoCoRaHS	10.88
CT	NORWALK 2.9 NNW	CoCoRaHS	10.83
CT	ANSONIA 1 NW	COOP	10.78
NY	STONY POINT 0.7 NW	CoCoRaHS	10.73
CT	STRATFORD 0.9 W	CoCoRaHS	10.69
CT	CROMWELL 0.4 WNW	CoCoRaHS	10.62
CT	WALLINGFORD CENTER 1.1 N	CoCoRaHS	10.55
NJ	RIVER EDGE 0.4 NNE	CoCoRaHS	10.32
CT	PROSPECT 1.9 ENE	CoCoRaHS	10.31
NY	PORT JERVIS	COOP	10.30
CT	LEDYARD 2.8 NNE	CoCoRaHS	10.25
NJ	MONTCLAIR 0.7 N	CoCoRaHS	10.22
NJ	FAIR LAWN 0.9 E	CoCoRaHS	10.22
NY	MOUNT SINAI	COOP	10.21
CT	NORWICH 5.4 SE	CoCoRaHS	10.17
NJ	WAYNE TWP 2.3 ESE	CoCoRaHS	10.13
CT	SHERMAN 1.2 E	CoCoRaHS	10.13
CT	HIGGANUM 0.7 N	CoCoRaHS	10.13
CT	HIGGANUM 0.8 NE	CoCoRaHS	10.05
CT	NORWICH 5.2 SE	CoCoRaHS	10.04
CT	WALLINGFORD 3.1 N	CoCoRaHS	10.03

 

[FPizz]

3 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

I bought the Sam Adam's pumpkin ale

I love their Octoberfest.  I just tried their pumpkin the other day for the 1st time and liked it.  I usually go with other brands for that, but it came in a variety pack I got.  

[Brian5671]

Humid here, 75 with partly sunny skies now

[Stormlover74]

33 minutes ago, FPizz said:

I love their Octoberfest.  I just tried their pumpkin the other day for the 1st time and liked it.  I usually go with other brands for that, but it came in a variety pack I got.  

Yeah it was good but definitely can't drink much of it

[TriPol]

3 hours ago, MarcmmKU said:

No way. October these days almost always has at least one 80 F day. A couple years ago it even hit 80 on Halloween. A sufficiently torchy November also sometimes has 80 F days.

October 2019 hit 93 degrees.

[winterwx21]

I see many of the models have most of Sunday's rain missing to the north now. 

[OldSkool]

3 hours ago, MarcmmKU said:

No way. October these days almost always has at least one 80 F day. A couple years ago it even hit 80 on Halloween. A sufficiently torchy November also sometimes has 80 F days.

Average date of last 80 for NYC is September 29.

[MarcmmKU]

3 minutes ago, OldSkool said:

Average date of last 80 for NYC is September 29.

In recent years it has been much later. More like mid october. 

[Keith Central PA]

3 minutes ago, MarcmmKU said:

In recent years it has been much later. More like mid october. 

Very rare occasions will it hit 80 in October and 80 in November is unheard of.

[OldSkool]

18 hours ago, [email protected] said:

Could today have been the last 80 or higher degree day for Central Park this year?

Yes

[SACRUS]

83 / 61 more sun now

[winterwx21]

6 hours ago, MJO812 said:

My forecast has 60s all week with rain 

Euro is now dry for most of next week. I know it's gonna be a cloudy cool pattern with the east winds, but it's possible that we won't get much rain. 

[bluewave]

2 hours ago, Keith Central PA said:

Very rare occasions will it hit 80 in October and 80 in November is unheard of.

80s have become more common in October during the last decade. We even had November 80s two years during the 2020s. The average for warm spots like Newark has been 4 days reaching 80° past the end of September.

Monthly Number of Days Max Temperature >= 80 for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Oct-Nov
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Mean	3	0	4
2025	4	0	4
2024	4	2	6
2023	6	0	6
2022	0	1	1
2021	5	0	5
2020	0	0	0
2019	3	0	3
2018	3	0	3
2017	5	0	5
2016	3	0	3

 

First/Last 80° Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Minimum	02-21 (2018)		09-28 (2020)		181
Mean	03-28		10-18		203
Maximum	04-15 (2024)		11-06 (2024)
2025	03-29 (2025)	85	10-07 (2025)	83	191
2024	04-15 (2024)	83	11-06 (2024)	83	204
2023	04-06 (2023)	83	10-28 (2023)	84	204
2022	04-14 (2022)	88	11-07 (2022)	81	206
2021	03-26 (2021)	84	10-20 (2021)	80	207
2020	03-20 (2020)	80	09-28 (2020)	81	191
2019	04-08 (2019)	80	10-07 (2019)	80	181
2018	02-21 (2018)	80	10-11 (2018)	81	231
2017	04-10 (2017)	82	10-21 (2017)	81	193
2016	03-09 (2016)	82	10-19 (2016)	87	223

 

[Stormlover74]

16 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Euro is now dry for most of next week. I know it's gonna be a cloudy cool pattern with the east winds, but it's possible that we won't get much rain. 

Half inch on sunday and that's about it

[bluewave]

22 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Euro is now dry for most of next week. I know it's gonna be a cloudy cool pattern with the east winds, but it's possible that we won't get much rain. 

The ensemble means are wetter than the OPS.