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19 hours ago, MANDA said:

I would place a bet that some in this sub forum see more unwanted heavy to possibly excessive rainfall over the next 2 weeks.

Next 2 weeks look to feature above normal rainfall region wide.

Yeah, looks like a very wet pattern coming up with lows and stalled fronts undercutting the big high to our north and plenty of easterly flow.

 

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Looks like WPC coming on board for a a potentially very wet stretch coming up.  Too soon for details on placement of heaviest of the totals but looks like more Flash Flood Watches for some part of this sub forum are in the cards over the next week.  PWATS once again modeled to rise to AOA 2".  Chances of locally excessive totals for some over the next 7 days increasing.  

Screenshot 2026-09-18 at 8.12.21 AM.jpg

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6 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Flash flooding depends on  if there are any hours of heavy rain - rain spread out light to moderate over several days does not produce flash flooding in most cases

With a moisture rich atmosphere Sunday onward with high PWATS fully expecting locally heavy downpours such as we have seen over the last few months.  Rainfall rates of 1-2" per hour are certainly able to produce Flash Flooding conditions especially with very wet soils ongoing at most locations.

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22 minutes ago, MANDA said:

With a moisture rich atmosphere Sunday onward with high PWATS fully expecting locally heavy downpours such as we have seen over the last few months.  Rainfall rates of 1-2" per hour are certainly able to produce Flash Flooding conditions especially with very wet soils ongoing at most locations.

qpf_acc-imp.us_ne.png

no flash flooding here

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