August Discobs 2026

[stormy]

The 06z Euro gave Augusta County 1.05" by Sat. at 12z.

At 12z it came to its senses with .10".

The Euro has degraded to Graf league. 

[Eskimo Joe]

4 minutes ago, stormy said:

The 06z Euro gave Augusta County 1.05" by Sat. at 12z.

At 12z it came to its senses with .10".

The Euro has degraded to Graf league. 

I don't have the 12z Euro on weather.cod.edu. Are you getting it from a paid site?

[stormy]

9 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

I don't have the 12z Euro on weather.cod.edu. Are you getting it from a paid site?

I'm getting it from WeatherBell

[frd]

Cool

 

[Ji]

55 minutes ago, stormy said:

The 06z Euro gave Augusta County 1.05" by Sat. at 12z.

At 12z it came to its senses with .10".

The Euro has degraded to Graf league. 

how can an elite model do this less than 12 hours from the storm. The HRRR does not seem impressed either west of DC

[Ji]

51 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

I don't have the 12z Euro on weather.cod.edu. Are you getting it from a paid site?

pay up bro

[Eskimo Joe]

Just now, Ji said:

how can an elite model do this less than 12 hours from the storm. The HRRR does not seem impressed either west of DC

DC = Decreased Confidence

Just now, Ji said:

pay up bro

In this economy?

[Ji]

1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

Euro has a brutal cutoff. 1” for Annapolis and DCA. 0.01” for Ellicott city and Westminster. 

nothing like an elite model doing stuff that models at 384 hours are suppose to do 12 hours before the event

[Ji]

the HRRR is a shutout for me until way past sunset lol when i get clobbered by showers and storms 

[CAPE]

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

the HRRR is a shutout for me until way past sunset lol when i get clobbered by showers and storms 

Why are you here? Shocking. This isn't your thing. No digital blue showing up in the long range yet?

[Ji]

3 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Why are you here? Shocking. This isn't your thing. No digital blue showing up in the long range yet?

i guess i became a softball dad along the way. So rain events on weekends are kinda important now lol

[stormy]

15 minutes ago, Ji said:

how can an elite model do this less than 12 hours from the storm. The HRRR does not seem impressed either west of DC

Without getting technical with a bunch of Nonsense.

I'm still in serious Drought. 

 50 years ago,  before anyone heard of Models, my grandfather said,  "all signs fail in dry weather" 

[CAPE]

18 minutes ago, stormy said:

Without getting technical with a bunch of Nonsense.

I'm still in serious Drought. 

 50 years ago,  before anyone heard of Models, my grandfather said,  "all signs fail in dry weather" 

Was that his way of saying 'drought begets drought'?

[stormy]

11 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Was that his way of saying 'drought begets drought'?

You are exactly right!      West of the BR we have fallen into a God-awful pattern whereby feedback from previously existing conditions, foils the best and brightest of the models.

The only hope we have is a +2.9 - 3.0  Nino breaking this pattern between Oct 1 and Dec. 31.

Earlier today the Euro said, this will happen. The problem is that the Euro is not smart enough to fathom the feedback atmospherics of a serious Drought.

Sorry Ji, "elite" is not perfect.