August 2026

[psv88]

1.19” here. 7.79” in August 

[bkviking]

Nice little spin on last piece of front about to hit here in Setauket 

[steve392]

Had another 1/2" of rain overnight.  Gorgeous out right now. Nice cool breeze! 

[FPizz]

.47" last night

[donsutherland1]

Bridgeport has now received 1.79" (45.5 mm) of rain. That breaks the daily record of 1.69" (42.9 mm) of rain that was set in 1970. 

[LibertyBell]

On 8/22/2026 at 12:54 AM, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

The super el nino years 1972 and 1982 appear in the wettest composite. 1957 is the only robust el nino that appears in the driest.

Interesting to note that a lot of the driest years produced some very cold/snowy winters.

 

On 8/22/2026 at 7:09 AM, bluewave said:

This is the wettest month for NYC since August 2024. That was the last month before the dry pattern started in September 2024. So finally beginning to get a wetter pattern last few months. 
 

Monthly Total Precipitation for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2026	2.70	2.60	3.60	2.48	3.05	3.39	4.89	7.08	M	M	M	M	29.79
2025	0.61	2.60	5.52	3.25	6.58	2.46	4.03	2.21	2.76	4.08	2.09	3.38	39.57
2024	5.28	2.05	9.06	3.47	4.11	1.71	4.20	7.02	1.58	0.01	3.35	4.53	46.37

I think a near record low snowfall season is just about baked in for next winter. I've mentioned this several times but some of our best snowfall winters are preceded by very hot and dry summers. Think 1966, 1993, 1995, 2002, 2010 and even last summer 2025. I'm thinking for NYC snowfall of less than 10 inches and an average temperature for the winter over 40 degrees. Those who like rainy summers should also like snowless winters because they go together. As far any hope is concerned the only hope is that the winter after next will be great a la 1995-96 (just on a lesser level) after 1994-95 after 1993-94 (which had similarities to last winter just on a lesser level.) The chances of a very hot and very dry summer in 2027 are very high and if that happens a snowy winter should follow in 2027-28.

 

[Stormlover74]

Models were mostly awful with this rain event. Hrrr finally caught on at the last minute

[donsutherland1]

Bridgeport picked up 1.44" (36.6 mm) of rain in the past hour. That is tied for its 5th heaviest hourly August rainfall. Today, it has picked up 2.35" (59.7 mm) of rain breaking its daily mark of 1.69" (42.9 mm) from 1970. 2.34" (59.4 mm) has fallen in the past two hours. 

Heavy rain has moved into New Haven.

[winterwx21]

28 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Models were mostly awful with this rain event. Hrrr finally caught on at the last minute

I got 0.95" here this morning. All this rain combined with the lack of heat is great for the romaine lettuce plants that I have out there now for the fall. They are taking off. I'm glad the next few days look great though -- we definitely could use a drying out period. 

[Brian5671]

22 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Models were mostly awful with this rain event. Hrrr finally caught on at the last minute

Yep-I was questioning upton's forecast last night but they were spot on.  Models had very little and I got another 2 inches of rain here (unwelcome at this point)

[Intensewind002]

0.68" from the rain this morning up to 5.45" for thr month

[lee59]

Was in northern Europe this weekend and had one of the most powerful storms I have seen in a while. It was equivalent to our Nor'easter. Barometric pressure below 29.00 inches and heavy rain with wind gusts between 40 and 70mph for hours. Numerous trees and branches down and numerous power outages.

[liwxfan]

4 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

 

I think a near record low snowfall season is just about baked in for next winter. I've mentioned this several times but some of our best snowfall winters are preceded by very hot and dry summers. Think 1966, 1993, 1995, 2002, 2010 and even last summer 2025. I'm thinking for NYC snowfall of less than 10 inches and an average temperature for the winter over 40 degrees. Those who like rainy summers should also like snowless winters because they go together. As far any hope is concerned the only hope is that the winter after next will be great a la 1995-96 (just on a lesser level) after 1994-95 after 1993-94 (which had similarities to last winter just on a lesser level.) The chances of a very hot and very dry summer in 2027 are very high and if that happens a snowy winter should follow in 2027-28.

 

It'll be snow filled and frigid. 

[IrishRob17]

8 hours ago, BxEngine said:

Not really quantifiable but these every few day line of heavy rains and storms seems odd….cant remember the last summer like this. 

I can't remember the last August I had to mow twice a week either. 

[Stormlover74]

1 hour ago, liwxfan said:

It'll be snow filled and frigid. 

Maybe snow but definitely not frigid

[BxEngine]

1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said:

I can't remember the last August I had to mow twice a week either. 

Easily the greenest my lawn has been in a very very long time. The garden has been thriving at least. 

[straphanger]

My location registered 1.69" from the event with 1.6" of it falling in the one hour time period between 0630 and 0730...what a deluge event.

[donsutherland1]

Heavy thunderstorms brought hourly rainfall of 1.25" at Newark and 1.44" at Bridgeport. Bridgeport saw 2.36" of rain through 5 pm with 2.34" falling in a two-hour period). That broke its daily mark of 1.69" from 1970.

Tomorrow through Wednesday will be mostly sunny and pleasantly cool days. Highs will generally top out in the upper 70s. Showers and thundershowers could move through the region on Thursday. Temperatures will remain in the upper 70s and lower 80s into next weekend. No excessive heat appears likely through the remainder of August.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.7°C for the week centered around August 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.32°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -14.69 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.426 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 57% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.9° (0.2° below normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[liwxfan]

2 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Maybe snow but definitely not frigid

No one should be saying definitely about anything related to the weather 4+ months out.