Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

Let's get a Labor Day '98 redux but even more widespread

[Typhoon Tip]

12 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

Is this the GFS AI ...or  ?

[dendrite]

More 6z maps

[dendrite]

9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Is this the GFS AI ...or  ?

That’s the EPS AI Ens

[dendrite]

It’s definitely trending warmer though 

[Damage In Tolland]

Yeah everything is furnacing the first 10 days or so of Septorcher . Euro has temps near a Hundy for a day or two . Classic super Nino weather for fall with heat ridge in the East and endless summer .

[weatherwiz]

One thing to watch moving through the first week of September is the increasing likelihood for ridging to be centered more towards or just off the Southeast coast. For much of the last several weeks (At least) we've seen the ridging centered more Texas/New Mexico. This will open the room for widespread 80's and 90's in the typical hot spots and we probably become active with convective potential too given a westerly flow developing aloft.

[Torch Tiger]

Yeah hopefully a few early Sept. severe events to track, maybe a 'recho or two. to inevitably miss this area

[forkyfork]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

Let's get a Labor Day '98 redux but even more widespread

i've given up on ever getting those again

[Cyclone-68]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

Let's get a Labor Day '98 redux but even more widespread

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_State_Labor_Day_derechos
 

I’d have a stroke if we missed TWO derechos in the same day 

[kdxken]

Are we going to get less snow from Canada this year because of the tariffs?

[weatherwiz]

30 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

i've given up on ever getting those again

yup, the 90's seem to be a thing of the past

[weatherwiz]

In addition to some locally strong-to-severe weather potential both Thursday and Friday, there should be some risk for flash flooding as well 

[Layman]

51 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

yup, the 90's seem to be a thing of the past

This totally sounds like a Yogi Berra quote 

[forkyfork]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

yup, the 90's seem to be a thing of the past

this area had a derecho in july 97 and it was one of my spark events

[weatherwiz]

11 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

this area had a derecho in july 97 and it was one of my spark events

I'll never forget turning on TWC on 7/15/95 and like 6 AM and them talking about the line moving across the region. Fun times

[Brewbeer]

is a "furnace" hotter than a "torch" ?  does the progression go like this:

   -0 to +0 average

   +1 to +2 warm

   +3 to +4 hot

   +5 to +6 torch

   +7 to +8 furnace 

 

or is it more like this:

   -0 to +0 average

   +1 to +2 torch

   +3 to +4 furnace

   +5 to +6 warm

   +7 to +8 hot

I see from the reactions that others are also "confused"