Ju-ply 2026 Obs and Disco - Kicking it off with heat, humidity, and ... severe?

[dendrite]

1 hour ago, kdxken said:

Looks like it's heading towards INS . Maybe even dendrite gets a little something?

Looks like anything substantial may miss just east. lol

We shall see  

[WinterWolf]

Radar looks very healthy down to the SW of CT….and it looks to be aligning and heading/rotating NE for us WOR at the moment. 

[CoastalWx]

Gonna be nasty Berks to the Bodies next 6 hrs.

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Gonna be nasty Berks to the Bodies next 6 hrs.

You can envision swirling pools and eddies in rivers and gorges where alll you see are pony tails and pony o’s, all tangled up, like a swirling drain 

[WxWatcher007]

19 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Looks like anything substantial may miss just east. lol

We shall see  

I’m going to take the Kev & TBlizz approach. WXW1 doesn’t get more than .50” total. 

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I’m going to take the Kev & TBlizz approach. WXW1 doesn’t get more than .50” total. 

So Don…you think East Hartford gets a half inch total? 

[w1pf]

Another quick blast here in Holyoke, up to 0.94" now

[kdxken]

On 7/26/2026 at 7:48 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Wagons NW

 

[ineedsnow]

18z HRRR is wild for some

[WinterWolf]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

18z HRRR is wild for some

Post it pal. 

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, kdxken said:

 

Game on it looks like. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

At the base of wachusett lots of rain and some good gust

Are you at that corporate event there?  Our daughter was supposed to work there a bit this week, but her part will probably get rained out. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Life threatening ? So much hype 

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, kdxken said:

 

And all of CT now under the watch. Expansion. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

0.5” in the first round here.  Actually heard thunder which has been as rare as hen’s teeth this summer

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Life threatening ? So much hype 

If a bum is drunk lying face down in a puddle in the city…that could be life threatening..so they are covering their BUM….

[WxWatcher007]

9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

So Don…you think East Hartford gets a half inch total? 

I think my area does a really good job at underperforming on every type of weather other than CAD in winter.

I think CT gets a general 1-3” but where it pours it might get ugly fast (most likely western/SW CT).

I’m out on predicting anything interesting imby until something interesting happens.

  

[ineedsnow]

6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Are you at that corporate event there?  Our daughter was supposed to work there a bit this week, but her part will probably get rained out. 

Lol I was out looking for a good storm and ended up there.. just missed the best of it 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Looks like we’re going to  at home and the lake 

[kdxken]

14 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Post it pal. 

 

[SJonesWX]

47 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Looks like anything substantial may miss just east. lol

We shall see  

got pounded by that cell here at MHT. lots of thunder/lightning, and i don't know how much rain but it was dumping

[bristolri_wx]

Seems like a general forecast of 1-2" west of 495 would be a good one, with 2-4+" plus in western CT, western/central MA, and southern VT.  If you kind of look at the operational models they are all sniffing out something similar but just varying in terms of the exact locations, which you really don't know until the radar fills in.

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, kdxken said:

 

I think what's important to note though is a good chunk of that is tied into its prediction of scattered or numerous downpours during the afternoon tomorrow and again on Thursday (that only goes to 15z but speaking to the run as a whole which goes to 18z Thursday). I still highly doubt at the end of the day totals that substantive are that impressive but definitely need to watch the Berks and Greens for that. 

Most from this slug tonight see 1-3" though probably 1.5-2 is the most common...and then its just going to be whoever can catch in on pop up convection the next few days to pad on totals. 

I still don't think the risk for flooding is all that widespread with the greatest flooding risk in typical flood-prone areas.

[dendrite]

Holy hell what a screwjob  

0.02”

[HIPPYVALLEY]

21 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

0.5” in the first round here.  Actually heard thunder which has been as rare as hen’s teeth this summer

Nada in Greenfield.  

[kdxken]

7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I think what's important to note though is a good chunk of that is tied into its prediction of scattered or numerous downpours during the afternoon tomorrow and again on Thursday (that only goes to 15z but speaking to the run as a whole which goes to 18z Thursday). I still highly doubt at the end of the day totals that substantive are that impressive but definitely need to watch the Berks and Greens for that. 

Most from this slug tonight see 1-3" though probably 1.5-2 is the most common...and then its just going to be whoever can catch in on pop up convection the next few days to pad on totals. 

I still don't think the risk for flooding is all that widespread with the greatest flooding risk in typical flood-prone areas.

Agreed. Pretty hard to flood non-typical areas. You need a monsoon.

[kdxken]

4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Nada in Greenfield.  

Do you want any?

[kdxken]

9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I think what's important to note though is a good chunk of that is tied into its prediction of scattered or numerous downpours during the afternoon tomorrow and again on Thursday (that only goes to 15z but speaking to the run as a whole which goes to 18z Thursday). I still highly doubt at the end of the day totals that substantive are that impressive but definitely need to watch the Berks and Greens for that. 

Most from this slug tonight see 1-3" though probably 1.5-2 is the most common...and then its just going to be whoever can catch in on pop up convection the next few days to pad on totals. 

I still don't think the risk for flooding is all that widespread with the greatest flooding risk in typical flood-prone areas.

To be fair, The national weather service states just such. 

"This has the potential to be a significant and life-threatening flood event for urban/poor drainage areas.

[CoastalWx]

53 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You can envision swirling pools and eddies in rivers and gorges where alll you see are pony tails and pony o’s, all tangled up, like a swirling drain 

Like that scene in war of the worlds when the bodies are floating down the river.

[CoastalWx]

I still like my two jacks. The only one I’m a little shaky on is in the east because it could be Worcester or could be somewhere east of that.