Ju-ply 2026 Obs and Disco - Kicking it off with heat, humidity, and ... severe?

[vortex95]

20 hours ago, dendrite said:

Oh I agree. Although if we’re going to lump dewpoint into it you could argue that the normal max “feels like” temp at MLS isn’t much different than places in SNE.

But I was just making a quick quip about some random person making that move to MT to get away from everything and getting surprised at how freakin hot it can be up there.

As for the 90° being hot thing…I can see it both ways. Sure, “it’s sooo hot in Dallas today at 95°” is ridiculous, but sensibly to humans, 90° is just plain hot whether it’s normal for the season or whether it’s a record for the date. We had family friends that lived in S AZ and even though they got used to, and averaged, 100+ she said no one went outside there until after 6pm. Fairbanks could have a +20F January and it’s still dangerously cold for us. I know you know all of this, but my point is just that 90s can be hot for humans and not hot for a location at the same time. But I agree, the media does twist and play with weather events that aren’t climatologically significant while trying to portray them that way. But it’s that way with everything on “social” media now. Gotta keep those likes and clicks coming. 

I did not want to bring up the "feels like" temp, as that is out of control as to abuse, but it can be of use b/c "the door swings both ways!"  Once you get below 57 or 58 dew point, the heat index is actually lower than the air temp!  I would bet not many mets know or actively realize this.  I did not know until about 10 years ago!

I've spoken to ppl deployed in the Middle East, they can get perspective!  After in that sauna for a few months, coming home, 95 feels great! 

Acclimation I think is underrated.  When I moved to DC, it took me a few summers to get used to the more 90 temps and the more persistent high dew point, which get into the upper 70s more common here.  By my 3rd summer, I not longer noticed it. I adapted.  However, the flip side is that I am not as tolerant to cold.  This past winter was by far the coldest here since I moved here, and I noticed!  

I think from the general public POV, they think MT is "cold."  Most have zero idea what continental climate is like, and MT is the best state for temp swings in the CONUS.  It is the only state in the Lower 48 that has had sig snow at lower elevations (I am taking Great Falls proper) in August (happened in 1992).

It's even worse for AK.  Ppl are shocked to learn AK highest temps is 100 F, and that they get a lot tstms (all squeezed into J-J-A). Some locations get 30 days w/ thunder, more than a lot of New England!  And of course, tornadoes.  We had that one earlier this month, but I would bet good $$ there are 3-5 tornado in AK each year, just it is so large and sparsely populated, it precludes detection.

 

[Modfan2]

How is it looking for us further east in E CT/RI

[ineedsnow]

56 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

EF0 passes close to ineedsnow house will make it EPIC!

I'll be in chase mode later on 

[Chrisrotary12]

The Hudson River going to flood NYC? The entire river valley is getting pummeled. 

[CoastalWx]

Yeah for the entire system Hudson valley ftw. Low looks a little east of earlier guidance. 

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah for the entire system Hudson valley ftw. Low looks a little east of earlier guidance. 

I was just going to post this.. seems like the Berks might be under the gun later on

[jlauderdal]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

I was just going to post this.. seems like the Berks might be under the gun later on

Im at Jiminy Peak, light rain now but looks better upstream, there is a creek flowing hard that looks like decent flood potential, will see at daybreak how its doing after the rain picks up.