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Ju-ply 2026 Obs and Disco - Kicking it off with heat, humidity, and ... severe?


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2 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Just curious, what is the forcing mechanism in SW CT where they have been getting lit up and does the S/SE wind in eastern sections from cooler ocean waters stabilizing the atmosphere the further east you go?

Ocean isn’t an issue. It’s all along the warm front.

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2 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Just curious, what is the forcing mechanism in SW CT where they have been getting lit up and does the S/SE wind in eastern sections from cooler ocean waters stabilizing the atmosphere the further east you go?

Nope. SE CT to RI to CC have gotten hit all summer. Nothing to do with that . Just shit luck 

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7 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Scary look for Oxford and areas that got crushed two years ago, heaviest rain since then. 

It's a good thing there is minimal sfc instability or at the least sfc parcels aren't getting to the LFC. Also, thats some pretty hefty ZDR values around Monroe to Seymour to Oxford...definitely some FF concern 

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