July 2026

[winterwx21]

Just now, NEG NAO said:

yes and the cells over Raritan to Bridgewater just dissipated and looked like the cell over you grabbed all the energy to reform over northern middlesex

Yep and I was consistently on the western edge of it so not too much rain here. Starting to see some sun in the western sky. A quarter inch is about going to do it here. 

[winterwx21]

7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

It just drifted north over me. Suns out but still torrential downpour

Yeah just some very slow odd movement with these storms in our area. If I was just a few miles to the east I would have gotten a lot of rain. Still it was just enough to give things a watering here. 

[NEG NAO]

7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah just some very slow odd movement with these storms in our area. If I was just a few miles to the east I would have gotten a lot of rain. Still it was just enough to give things a watering here. 

The heavy rain area is just sitting over North Edison to South Plainfield - Flash Flood Warning

FFW from KPHI

[winterwx21]

Just now, NEG NAO said:

The heavy rain area is just sitting over North Edison to South Plainfield

Yeah I think South Plainfield must be close to 3 inches of rain. I'm close to the border of South Plainfield so this heavy just barely missed me a few miles to the east. 

[SnowGoose69]

Have to watch outflow from that north cell, development could end up occurring into the city or north Queens over the next hour 

[NEG NAO]

And the storm over Middlesex-Union county is just shrinking and going away - next 2 days should be interesting...

[donsutherland1]

A storm will bring rain and possible thunderstorms to the region during Tuesday and Wednesday. The potential exists for a general 2.00"-4.00" rainfall with locally higher amounts. 

Following the storm, Thursday and Friday will see a continuation of below normal readings. Temperatures could return to near seasonable levels for the weekend.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.2°C for the week centered around July 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.38°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.92°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -31.27 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.804 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 96% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.3° (1.2° below normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.2° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[Euripides]

Radar reminds me of blinking lights on a Christmas tree.

Storms pops up and then disappear while new storms pop up and then they disappear. Rinse and repeat.

[NEG NAO]

7 minutes ago, Euripides said:

Radar reminds me of blinking lights on a Christmas tree.

Storms pops up and then disappear while new storms pop up and then they disappear. Rinse and repeat.

My Christmas Radar Tree had blue - green - yellow and red lights blinking today - wide range of rain totals today - region wide - 0 to 3 mainly Plainfield NJ got the worst of the lightning strikes and or wind it appears

PSE&G NJ Outage Map

[TriPol]

Bone dry here in the Bronx