Junorch obs and discussion 2026

[MegaMike]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m in Weymouth sort of in the northern part of town a couple miles from the water. I had a pretty good southwest wind all day, usually if that’s the case and Logan Seabreeze they’ll bump after 4 o’clock many times it’s like between five and 6 o’clock.

I'll definitely remember this one.

Really, the only near full-proof plan with Kalshi is to wait on DSMs/remarks and "trade" on highs/lows that already occur. You need to compete with bots and that's difficult to accomplish unless you develop a bot yourself.

I do wonder where people get observations from in near real-time. Odds flipped well before an observation was provided at https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KBOS

Anyone from the NWS know? I think MADIS is the closest you can get to ~real-time.

[vortex95]

21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m in Weymouth sort of in the northern part of town a couple miles from the water. I had a pretty good southwest wind all day, usually if that’s the case and Logan Seabreeze they’ll bump after 4 o’clock many times it’s like between five and 6 o’clock.

Scott uses the TBOS FAA radar for local wind insights.  The pride of Weymouth - having a radar!  LOL.

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

Scott uses the TBOS FAA radar for local wind insights.  The pride of Weymouth - having a radar!  LOL.

I do actually. Can see boundaries nicely. Works well with coastal fronts. 

[dendrite]

28 minutes ago, MegaMike said:

Duplicate observations too. I claim foul play!

There were other 88 degree observations afterwards, and the DSM does have 88 at 14:59LST (after the random gusts to 51kt) so I'll take the 'L' on this one. 

If I mention AI again, ban me. Every time I question AI's reliability/efficacy/etc..., I get lit up lol

Gusts last for 10 mins before it resets

[vortex95]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I do actually. Can see boundaries nicely. Works well with coastal fronts. 

Hence "CoastalWx!?"

[dendrite]

16 minutes ago, MegaMike said:

I'll definitely remember this one.

Really, the only near full-proof plan with Kalshi is to wait on DSMs/remarks and "trade" on highs/lows that already occur. You need to compete with bots and that's difficult to accomplish unless you develop a bot yourself.

I do wonder where people get observations from in near real-time. Odds flipped well before an observation was provided at https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KBOS

Anyone from the NWS know? I think MADIS is the closest you can get to ~real-time.

You can call the ASOS weather phone. They pretty much all have one…AWOS too. 

A few of the bigger sites do have online software with realtime data. The NWS has 1 min obs from PHX up on their site too. 

[Chrisrotary12]

Wildfire smoke ruining a perfect evening?

[Baroclinic Zone]

87F for high. Sitting at a comfy 75F now.

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Wildfire smoke ruining a perfect evening?

Smoke?

There’s some cirrus moving through. Vis seems fine. 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m in Weymouth sort of in the northern part of town a couple miles from the water. I had a pretty good southwest wind all day, usually if that’s the case and Logan Seabreeze they’ll bump after 4 o’clock many times it’s like between five and 6 o’clock.

Well to be more specific you’re in S Wey . Just so he is clear 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Well to be more specific you’re in S Wey . Just so he is clear 

Why do you do this?

[CT Valley Snowman]

Did any official stations hit 90?  Didn't make it here with the cirrus.  No heatwave this go around.  

[HoarfrostHubb]

6 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It has unfortunately been exposed often enough, times of misguidance wrt to drug and vaccine therapies (regardless of why) that it's naive and ill-advised now to rely on in-office recommendations, out of hand.   You instead should nod thoughtfully and tell the physician not at this time.   If the they push ... particularly in that sort of situation, then you respectfully decline and tell them that you will be completing some independent research 'like you always do' before arriving to any course of action.

I asked for 2 shots. One for me and one for you.  

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

Did any official stations hit 90?  Didn't make it here with the cirrus.  No heatwave this go around.  

IZG did for sure