frd Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 Right on cue, rainfall looks to be on the increase as we near the end of June and head into early to mid July. Higher dew points, tropical connections, cold fronts and El Nino. https://x.com/SCweather_wx/status/2070165098128142678 The rain signal picking up for portions of the Southeast as we move into July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 Triple digits next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 6 hours ago, SolidIcewx said: Triple digits next week? Widespread triple digits are rare in these parts. Generally we need: Full sun 850 temps at or above +25°, and 925 temps at or above +27° The previous nighttime low to be at least 80° Have locations be at least 90° - 93° by 11:00 am the day of Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 13 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Widespread triple digits are rare in these parts. Generally we need: Full sun 850 temps at or above +25°, and 925 temps at or above +27° The previous nighttime low to be at least 80° Have locations be at least 90° - 93° by 11:00 am the day of What do you think the chances are this coming week? Seeing a couple models hint at it and then point and click has been consistent since earlier on Wednesday. At least for Alexandria and into PG where i work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 4 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: What do you think the chances are this coming week? Seeing a couple models hint at it and then point and click has been consistent since earlier on Wednesday. At least for Alexandria and into PG where i work. From what I can see now, if we're going to make a run at scattered or event widespread 100s, Thursday is the best day to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted June 27 Share Posted June 27 Just remember folks, I called for the end-June heatwave with a derecho first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted June 27 Share Posted June 27 WB 18Z EURO apparent temps for Th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted June 27 Share Posted June 27 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EURO apparent temps for Th. LMAO, have fun at the DC festivities peeps, I'll be out at the cabin. Might have to actually turn the AC on out there from noon til 5pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Saturday at 01:24 PM Share Posted Saturday at 01:24 PM LWX forecasted highs for central md.... Brutal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted Saturday at 01:32 PM Share Posted Saturday at 01:32 PM 6 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: LWX forecasted highs for central md.... Brutal! My part of Alexandria is forecasted for 104 also on thursday. Outside work is about to be brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Saturday at 02:48 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:48 PM 1 hour ago, SolidIcewx said: My part of Alexandria is forecasted for 104 also on thursday. Outside work is about to be brutal. Damn. Stay hydrated bro!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Saturday at 05:32 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:32 PM The drought makes triple digits quite likely this time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Saturday at 05:39 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:39 PM Seems like the only thing that verifies in the long range nowadays is a heat wave... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted Saturday at 09:20 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:20 PM 3 hours ago, Weather Will said: Seems like the only thing that verifies in the long range nowadays is a heat wave... Been pretty consistent since tuesday for the possibility of 100. Hopefully we can get a good ridge rider out of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted Saturday at 09:27 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:27 PM 3 hours ago, Weather Will said: Seems like the only thing that verifies in the long range nowadays is a heat wave... Yup! I've been saying that along with continuing extreme drought, we'll have 15 or more 95-plus days, five 100-plus and one 105. I might be low on those! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnEndlessMaze Posted Saturday at 10:01 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:01 PM Let’s go for hottest day ever recorded- I can’t think of a more ironic way to kick off this nation’s 250th anniversary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Saturday at 10:13 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 10:13 PM 10 minutes ago, AnEndlessMaze said: Let’s go for hottest day ever recorded- I can’t think of a more ironic way to kick off this nation’s 250th anniversary. If we're talking nationally then it'll have to go well into the 130s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted Saturday at 10:14 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:14 PM 12 minutes ago, AnEndlessMaze said: Let’s go for hottest day ever recorded- I can’t think of a more ironic way to kick off this nation’s 250th anniversary. I hope they set the record on so called “climate change” straight at the Great American Fair with an exhibit on the REAL science of underwater volcanoes! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnEndlessMaze Posted Sunday at 12:41 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:41 AM We should do a hottest temperature contest for this heatwave. If Roger Smith were still with us, I’m sure he would have. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Sunday at 12:49 AM Author Share Posted Sunday at 12:49 AM 7 minutes ago, AnEndlessMaze said: We should do a hottest temperature contest for this heatwave. If Roger Smith were still with us, I’m sure he would have. I was wondering why there wasn't a contest this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Sunday at 01:03 AM Share Posted Sunday at 01:03 AM Updated LWX forecast for coming week. Brutal heat!! Temps near 105!! Hate to even imagine what the heat index will be!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted Sunday at 05:44 AM Share Posted Sunday at 05:44 AM Baltimore city forecast Thursday Sunny and hot, with a high near 106. Thursday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 81. Friday A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny and hot, with a high near 106. Chance of precipitation is 20%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted Sunday at 11:03 AM Share Posted Sunday at 11:03 AM The AFD mentioned that the all-time warmest low for Annapolis was 92, on 7/7/94. That is what was in the official records, but the observation has to be some sort of glitch. Patuxent River had a low of 74 on that date. That 92 should never have made it into the AFD; it's so clearly bogus it doesn't pass the smell test! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Sunday at 11:20 AM Share Posted Sunday at 11:20 AM 14 minutes ago, kgottwald said: The AFD mentioned that the all-time warmest low for Annapolis was 92, on 7/7/94. That is what was in the official records, but the observation has to be some sort of glitch. Patuxent River had a low of 74 on that date. That 92 should never have made it into the AFD; it's so clearly bogus it doesn't pass the smell test! Like the "29 inches of snow that fell at BWI in 2016. Bogus. I measured 21" at BWI. The biggest official snowstorm is Bogus. Feb 2010 was the GOAT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted Sunday at 12:10 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:10 PM Even the 88 figure in Downtown Baltimore seems excessive, but it's remotely plausible if the observation site is in the middle of the urban heat island, surrounded for miles on all sides by asphalt and brick buildings, with absolutely no green space. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnEndlessMaze Posted Sunday at 03:38 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:38 PM 4 hours ago, dailylurker said: Like the "29 inches of snow that fell at BWI in 2016. Bogus. I measured 21" at BWI. The biggest official snowstorm is Bogus. Feb 2010 was the GOAT. Not only that, but 2/5-6/2010 was probably undercounted too. That was when LWX realized the FAA contractors weren’t measuring every 6 hours at BWI and had to derive an estimate using the 24-hour measurement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Tuesday at 03:37 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:37 PM Welp...sounds like a snowless torch and at least 1 nina the year after to me. Not sure that'll make any of us happy. And before anybody weenies me...refute why that setup is any good for snow. The super niño is locked in at this point, so that, at least, it IS happening. Only question appears to be how East-based...and this poster seems to believe that's the most likely. East based=torch, right? 30 minutes ago, csnavywx said: The entire warm pool is being discharged. Not only is there not any significant trade resistance this time around (remember '15?), quite a bit of activity has been ongoing away from the equator in addition to being on it. Modeling has steadily been playing catchup since the start of the event as it gradually incorporates all of the additional accumulated wind stress and eckman transport. This will be a colossal east-based event and trying to short it or fade it or talk it down is a fool's game. Look I get it, I like snow too and very early on (Dec/Jan) I was hoping we'd get a moderate event with the indo-pacific warm pool still intact. But that ain't happening. Better off cheering for some exotically warm winter up north that forces some weirdly favorable wave breaks downstream and south. Or save your emotional capital for the backlash Nina period. These big Ninos do have a tendency to cause climate regime shifts, so it's not always a bad thing once the event clears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted Tuesday at 03:55 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:55 PM 17 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Welp...sounds like a snowless torch and at least 1 nina the year after to me. Not sure that'll make any of us happy. And before anybody weenies me...refute why that setup is any good for snow. The super niño is locked in at this point, so that, at least, it IS happening. Only question appears to be how East-based...and this poster seems to believe that's the most likely. East based=torch, right? I'd be happy if we could get even a single impactful rain storm out if it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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