May 2026 Medium / Long Range

[Stormchaserchuck1]

CPC going with El Nino almost to a T

[WxUSAF]

Euro and GFS AI models very bullish for a washout holiday weekend. Would rather it be during the week of course, but 2-3” of rain over 2-4 days is sooo needed.

[EastCoast NPZ]

2 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Euro and GFS AI models very bullish for a washout holiday weekend. Would rather it be during the week of course, but 2-3” of rain over 2-4 days is sooo needed.

And by Friday the forecast will be 30% chance of showers with the usual .10" precip with higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

[AnEndlessMaze]

Residents of Stephens City tending their cacti gardens look up in bewilderment as the newly-moved rain magnet is powered up IMBY for the Shenandoah Valley next weekend.   

 

 

 

[frd]

6 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Euro and GFS AI models very bullish for a washout holiday weekend. Would rather it be during the week of course, but 2-3” of rain over 2-4 days is sooo needed.

Wonder when the WPC comes around ?  ( of course this only goes to Sunday, however, most of the rainfall day 6 and 7  is SE of our region. ) 

 

 

[konksw]

1 hour ago, frd said:

Wonder when the WPC comes around ?  ( of course this only goes to Sunday, however, most of the rainfall day 6 and 7  is SE of our region. ) 

 

 

It’s a week away. It’d be silly to have that much confidence 

[87storms]

6 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

And by Friday the forecast will be 30% chance of showers with the usual .10" precip with higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

The important thing is that it’ll likely be mostly cloudy and windy.

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z EPS 4 day precipitation mean thru Memorial Day.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Looks like the forecast has increased a few degrees to 95-96 for a high both Tues and Wed

[dailylurker]

Poof goes the weekend storm. I wonder if we go full severe drought and water restrictions here soon. 

[WxUSAF]

9 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

Poof goes the weekend storm. I wonder if we go full severe drought and water restrictions here soon. 

????

I just clicked through all the varsity models on TT and they all have it in some shape or form? None are 2-3” of rain in the overnight runs, but still solid…more like 1.5-2”.

[dailylurker]

15 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

????

I just clicked through all the varsity models on TT and they all have it in some shape or form? None are 2-3” of rain in the overnight runs, but still solid…more like 1.5-2”.

I only looked at my point and click and it lost the rain lol