April 2026

[jm1220]

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Looks like the usual NJ warm spots can see their first 90° readings of the season this week.

 

 

95 west of the Garden State Parkway, 55 just east of Sandy Hook. That must be showing a ridiculous Ambrose Jet. 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

95 west of the Garden State Parkway, 55 just east of Sandy Hook. That must be showing a ridiculous Ambrose Jet. 

Tuesday is looking to be the real Ambrose jet day. Marine forecast has the wind going from sw to south and increasing which is a tell. Wednesday has the best potential for 80 on the south shore with light winds in the morning.


.

[MJO812]

36 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

this was probably the last day i worn the winter gear until this fall..

I already put away mine . I do have 3 jackets out just incase.

[MANDA]

Expecting Red Flag Warnings and some possible brush fires later this week.  Rising temperatures, low humidity, some gusty winds and drying fuel.  

[Prue11]

Dropped to 31 this morning 

[donsutherland1]

Although readings were confined to the lower and middle 50s, the signs of spring are everywhere. From the New York Botanical Garden:

[donsutherland1]

An early summer preview lies ahead.

Tomorrow will turn much warmer with temperatures surging into the middle 70s across much of the region. The warmest spots could approach 80°. 

Tuesday through Thursday will feature exceptional early season warmth. Temperatures will likely peak in the 80s on all three days in most of the region. Records could be challenged on Wednesday. Some of the guidance suggests that the hot spots could approach or reach 90° during the height of the warmth. Long Island will be cooler with highs peaking in the 70s due to onshore breezes. However, there is a chance that Islip could approach or reach 80° on Wednesday.

Following the bout of early season heat, readings will return to the 70s to end the week and start the weekend. 

Dry conditions will also persist. No rain is likely through at least next Friday.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around April 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was -17.67 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.016 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 86% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 57.0° (3.3° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 4.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[steve392]

Will we experience a day without winds??  Just non-stop howling winds earlier. 

[Wannabehippie]

1 hour ago, steve392 said:

Will we experience a day without winds??  Just non-stop howling winds earlier. 

Add in the very dry conditions, I am surprised we haven't seen more fire watches, warnings go up.

 

[MJO812]

The cooldown after this warmth will feel nice.

 

Alaska will be getting more snow coming up. Still alot of cold air bottled up there and Canada.

[SACRUS]

63 today here much warmer just south of EWR


EWR: 53 / 39
NYC: 55 / 43

[steve392]

1 hour ago, Wannabehippie said:

Add in the very dry conditions, I am surprised we haven't seen more fire watches, warnings go up.

 

Have had several fires in south jersey already. 

 

 

Is there any rain in sight? 

[the_other_guy]

https://www.summitdaily.com/news/colorado-river-deliver-more-water-lake-powell-march-heatwave/

 

 

This is what a drought looks like boys. As we clutch our pearls at a slightly below average precip year after many years of subtropical like moisture.

 

Lets keep perspective.

[MJO812]

Thank god

[jm1220]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Thank god

So you want backdoor fronts that ruin things for days sometimes and funky 42 degree drizzle with 25mph E wind? How is that enjoyable in any way outside? We’re past when we’d be getting any snow. 

[bluewave]

23 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Great observation. 

Long range models are moving toward more blocking during the last week of April.

This was what happened following the mid-April record warmth back in 2023 during the developing El Nino.

So it will be interesting to see if the models like the EPS continue with the blocking as we get closer in time since these week 2 forecasts aren’t always the most reliable.