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Some showers are possible tonight into tomorrow. Tomorrow will remain mild with highs in the middle and upper 60s. 

A cold front that will bring showers or a thundershower tomorrow afternoon or evening will result in cooler conditions returning to the region on Monday. Temperatures through midweek will likely top out in the 50s. 

The coolest weather is likely on Wednesday when the low could approach 32° in New York City. If so, New York City could see its second consecutive April with a freeze (last year's last freeze was April 9). The last time that happened was 2015 and 2016.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around March 25. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.02°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was -4.90 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.054 today. 

 

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52 / 52 mostly cloudy Easter morning.   Front already pushing from CPA to EPA, a bit ahead of schedule.  Showers, scattered storm Cooler Mon - Wed then ridge builds back east 4/10 - 4/16.  Beyond there looks normal and perhaps increased storm chances.

 

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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Records:

Highs:

EWR:  83 (1985)
NYC: 80 (1928)
LGA:  74 (1989)
JFK: 73 (1988)

 

Lows:

EWR: 23 (1995)
NYC: 20 (1874)
LGA: 25 (1995)
JFK: 24 (1995)

 

Historical:

1815: The Tambora Volcano in Java began erupting on this day. A few days later on the 10, Tambora produced the largest eruption known on the planet in the last 10,000 years. Ash from the volcano would circle the globe, blocking sunlight and leading to the unusually cold summer in 1816. On 6/6/1816, snow would fall as far south of Connecticut with some places in New England picking up 10 inches. On July 4th, 1816, the temperature at Savannah GA plunged to 46 degrees. Eastern North America and Europe had freezing nighttime temperatures in August.

1849: Three inches of snow at Columbia, SC fell two weeks later than any previous record late freeze. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1874: The temperature at Boston, MA plunged to 11° to establish the April low temperature record for that city. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1881: The minimum temperature for the date is 24°F. in Washington, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)


1882: A tornado moved north-northeast from four miles east of Iuka, KS, passing through the town of Stafford. Many homes were unroofed or blown down in Stafford. Two mills were destroyed and a 700 pound millstone was moved 150 feet. One person was killed and 14 injured. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1910: The maximum temperature for the date is 86°F. in Washington, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1923: A well-developed tornado in North Creek Park to Silver Spring Station; 11 mile path, 100-250 yards wide; $100,000 damage; 4 seriously injured.

1936: Approximately 454 people were killed in the second-deadliest tornado outbreak ever in U.S. More than 12 twisters struck Arkansas to South Carolina. An estimated F5 tornado cut a path 400 yards wide through the residential section of Tupelo, Mississippi. At least 216 people were killed, and 700 were injured. The tornado had a 15-mile long path and did $3 million in damage. One of the survivors in Tupelo was a baby of an economically strapped family who had an infant they'd recently named Elvis Aaron Presley. Gainesville, Georgia had at least 203 fatalities and 934 injuries from an estimated F4 tornado that occurred early the following morning. 

1945 - The temperature at Eagles Nest, NM, plunged to 45 degrees below zero to establish an April record for the United States. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)

1955 - The Northern Rockies and the Northern High Plains were in the midst of a four day storm which produced 52 inches of snow at Lead, located in the Black Hills of western South Dakota. (David Ludlum)

1972 - A tornado, 500 yards wide at times, touched down at a marina on the Oregon side of the Columbia River, and then tore through Vancouver WA killing six persons, injuring 300 others, and causing more than five million dollars damage. It was the deadliest tornado of the year, and the worst of record for Washington. (The Weather Channel)

1982 - An unprecedented April blizzard began in the northeastern U.S. One to two feet of snow fell across Massachusetts and Connecticut, and up to 26 inches was reported in Maine. New York City received a foot of snow. Winds reached 70 to 80 mph during the storm, and the storm also produced numerous thunderstorms, which contributed to the heavy snow. (Storm Data)

1983: This event is listed by the Utah NWS as occurring on April 4th-5th, 1983. A severe canyon wind in the Wasatch Mountains of Utah produced wind gusts 60 to 80 mph with a peak gust of 104 mph. These winds overturned 12 flatbed railroad cars with loaded trailers on the Union Pacific line near Farmington. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1987 - A storm produced unprecedented April snows in the central Appalachians. Mount Mitchell NC received 35 inches of snow, and up to 60 inches (six feet) of snow was reported in the mountains along the border of North Carolina and Tennessee. The total of 25 inches at Charleston WV easily surpassed their previous record for the entire month of April of 5.9 inches. The 20.6 inch total at Akron OH established an all-time record for that location. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Thirty-nine cities across the eastern half of the country reported record high temperatures for the date, including Saint Louis MO with a reading of 91 degrees. Laredo TX was the hot spot in the nation with an afternoon high of 100 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Unseasonably hot weather prevailed in the southwestern U.S. Afternoon highs of 100 degrees at Santa Maria CA and 105 degrees in Downtown Los Angeles established records for the month of April. (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in southern Oklahoma, southern Arkansas, and north central and northeastern Texas. Thunderstorms spawned a dozen tornadoes in Texas, including one at Fort Worth which caused a million dollars damage. There were nearly one hundred reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorms in Texas produced hail three and a half inches in diameter west of Fort Worth, and produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Cross Plains. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1995: Spring cold set 34 records in the NE and Great Lakes: Chicago 15°, Toledo 12°, Madison 14°, Boston 15°, Caribou 1° is coldest ever so late in season.

1996: A small area of west-central Texas was buried under record late season snows. Abilene recorded 9.3 inches in 24 hours for its greatest 24 hour snowfall ever. Sweetwater measured 18 inches. The 2 inches at Midland was its greatest April snowfall on record.(Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1997: Heavy rains and melting snows pushed rivers in the Dakotas and Minnesota over their banks and left hundreds of people homeless while just to the west, a blizzard dumped as much as 10 inches of snow in the Black Hills of South Dakota. Bismarck, ND reported 17.3 inches to raise its seasonal snowfall to 101.4 inches; the city's snowiest winter on record. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2001: An unusually strong dust devil formed in Suffolk County, NY on Long Island and moved across the Brookhaven Calabro Airport at Shirley, NY. The vortex lifted a Piper Cherokee Airplane 25 feet in the air and threw it. The 75 foot column of whirling dust formed under clear skies along a sea breeze front. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

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1 hour ago, the_other_guy said:

What was that Easter in the 90s where it was warm and sunny and the next day we got like a foot of snow?

I believe it was 1997. I remember Easter Sunday, March 30, being warm. Then, it snowed on Monday (3/31) and Tuesday (4/1).

1997-03-30 68 54 61.0 12.8 4 0 T 0.0 0
1997-03-31 58 31 44.5 -4.1 20 0 0.66 2.3 0
1997-04-01 52 33 42.5 -6.5 22 0 0.06 1.6 3
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Cooler conditions will return to the region tomorrow. Temperatures will likely top out in the 50s through Thursday. Highs on Tuesday and Wednesday will likely struggle to reach the lower 50s. 

Wednesday morning could see the low temperature approach 32° in New York City. Should the mercury reach 32°, New York City would see its second consecutive April with a freeze (last year's last freeze was April 9). The last time that happened was 2015 and 2016.

Temperatures will return to the 60s on Friday. The warmth will extend into the weekend.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around March 25. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.02°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was -7.79 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.006 today. 

 

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