March 2026

[MJO812]

2 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

EPS around these parts still has colder temps in the longer range - you don't have to include a pic of yourself in your post

Ignore snowman. Hes just a big troll.

He is finally getting his warmth after predicting it since November.

[PhiEaglesfan712]

11 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

end of march last yr

Yeah, it was March 29. 

[Cobalt]

3 hours ago, snowman19 said:

300+ hours out for late March on an operational model 

Yeah, I agree. What’s the RGEM show??

[Eduardo]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Going to miss winter. Boring not tracking anything .

 

It’ll be back and I actually kinda think next winter’ll be a decent, backloaded one (I still think there’s a chance we squeeze in one more accumulating snow this month too).  

Otherwise, enjoy the warmth some.  There’s plenty of fun to be had in NYC during the summer.  After today, I’m kinda looking forward to it!  This hobby is so much more fulfilling once you learn to appreciate weather of all sorts.

[MJO812]

[coastalplainsnowman]

6 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said:

71⁰ here at 1pm.  Just took a walk around the neighborhood.  A little surreal with a deep blue sky and a warm breeze and still lots of snow around, despite there being none left at the stake.

Not to begin a boring DST debate, but I'll just say that the ridiculously early DST which began a few decades ago has led to some things I'll never get used to, like ~7PM sunset / ~7:30PM dusk with snow still around.  The other weird thing is that for the first few days after DST, most years the sun comes up later than it does on the first day of winter. 

[SACRUS]

Today's highs
 

PHL: 75
BLM: 74
ACY: 74
EWR: 73
NYC: 73
New Brnswck: 73
TEB: 72
LGA: 71
TTN: 71
ISP: 68
JFK: 67

[SACRUS]

EWR: 73 / 44 (+19)
NYC: 73 / 51 (+21)

[donsutherland1]

Exceptional warmth covered the region. The thermometer rose into the upper 60s and lower 70s across the region. Bridgeport (64°), Islip (68°) and JFK Airport (67°) tied daily records.

Tomorrow and Wednesday will be springlike days in much of the region. Temperatures will generally top out in the 60s. Some 70s are possible in the warmer spots, especially in interior New Jersey. Long Island and coastal sections could be noticeably cooler than interior sections on a number of days on account of a chilly onshore flow.

Afterward, it will turn cooler but not especially cold. However, with the AO likely to remain generally positive, the cool period likely won't be as prolonged as had been the case during this past winter's cold regimes. There may be a short window of opportunity for some snow, but snow is not assured.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around March 4. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.23°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have now developed. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was +24.89 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +3.062 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 56% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 43.6° (0.8° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

31 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Today's highs
 

PHL: 75
BLM: 74
ACY: 74
EWR: 73
NYC: 73
New Brnswck: 73
TEB: 72
LGA: 71
TTN: 71
ISP: 68
JFK: 67

Anything for latitude north of NYC?

[jm1220]

Some snow patches holding on for dear life in the backyard.

[Rjay]

1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

Some snow patches holding on for dear life in the backyard.

 

[MJO812]

The cool down is basically 2 days on gfs. In and out.

Models dont look good at all for more snow. Hopefully something pops up and we get a few inches to reach 50 inches in the city.

[MJO812]

Euro is also a brief cooldown. Winter is done.

 

 

[SnoSki14]

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Euro is also a brief cooldown. Winter is done.

 

 

No blocking. Of course it's done

[bluewave]

21 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Down to just patches of snow cover here this morning.

I spent the weekend in the Catskills.  Snow is patchy at the trailheads (almost gone in spots), but at least a couple of feet remains starting around 2500 feet and more higher.  In most places the snowpack is thoroughly rotted.  It has no structure and if you go off the packed tracks you sink to the bottom with very little resistance.  Some of the trails were washed out rivers on Sunday.  The snowpack there is going to release a lot of water between now and Wednesday.

Many of the big snow piles melted up here. Now large pieces of broken curbs are being exposed that were plowed up under the snow. So we are going to need new curbs and pothole repair since the roads are in very rough shape.

Also big piles of mud where the snow was as chunks of lawns were caught up in the plows. Hopefully we can get some more rain this summer as the grass went brown pretty quick last summer with the record heat and lack of rainfall.

Reservoirs got recharged a bit this winter as they dropped to low levels here at times since September 2024.

[Picard]

Some fun temperature inversions on the map this morning.  20+ degree temperature differences over just a few miles and few hundred feet of elevation.

[Brian5671]

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Many of the big snow piles melted up here. Now large pieces of broken curbs are being exposed that were plowed up under the snow. So we are going to need new curbs and pothole repair since the roads are in very rough shape.

Also big piles of mud where the snow was as chunks of lawns were caught up in the plows. Hopefully we can get some more rain this summer as the grass went brown pretty quick last summer with the record heat and lack of rainfall.

Reservoirs got recharged a bit this winter as they dropped to low levels here at times since September 2024.

Yep it's a mess out there-alot of work for landscapers and public works-not to mention all the potholes from the freeze/melt cycle of the snowfalls

[Brian5671]

12 hours ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

Not to begin a boring DST debate, but I'll just say that the ridiculously early DST which began a few decades ago has led to some things I'll never get used to, like ~7PM sunset / ~7:30PM dusk with snow still around.  The other weird thing is that for the first few days after DST, most years the sun comes up later than it does on the first day of winter. 

It's a bit early for my liking as well.    Permanent DST would feature some incredibly dark winter mornings especially when it's cloudy

[SACRUS]

49 / 48 clear.  On the way to mid / upper 70s and stray 80 possible (last Oct 7 / 5th) in NJ.  Front and clouds arrive tomorrow but it still may be warm enough ahead of the cooler air to hit 70 (for some that make 4 straight days).  Showers and light rain with the front rainfall near 0.10 for most Wed evening into Thu morning. 

Clouds stick around Thu / part of Fri - cooler near - below normal between the 3/12 - 3/15th then below / much below avg Tue / Wed next week as trough moves into the EC.  Moderation towards normal overall between 3/20 end the close back and forth.

 

[SACRUS]

Records:

Highs:

 

EWR: 81 (2016)
NYC: 79 (2016)
LGA: 78 (2016)
JFK: 71 (2006)
 

 

 

Lows:

EWR: 10 (1984)
NYC: 12 (1929)
LGA: 12 (1984)
JFK: 12 (1984)

 

Historical: 

 

1884: John Park Finley issued the first experimental tornado prediction. Finley studied the atmospheric parameters that were present during previous tornadoes. Many of these same criteria are still used by operational forecasters today. But the use of tornado forecasts would be banned just a few years later and remain forbidden until 1952. 

1912 - The barometric pressure reached 29.26 inches at Los Angeles, CA, and 29.46 inches at San Diego CA, setting all-time records for those two locations. (David Ludlum)

1922 - Dodge City, KS, reported a record 24 hour total of 17.5 inches of snow. (The Weather Channel)

1960: Snowstorm in southeast U.S. gave GA 10.0 inches of snow and TN had 22.0 inches, VA 15.0 inches and KY had 24 inches. Four to 15 inches fell across Virginia with drifts much higher. North Carolina recorded drifts from 3 to 30 feet! Many buildings collapsed from the accumulative weight of the snow and structural damage totaled into the millions. (Ref. Virginia Weather History)

1964: The maximum temperature for the date is 77 °F in Washington, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1972: Chicago, IL's temperature rose from 15° on this date to 73° on the 11th. The 58 degree rise ties the biggest day-to-day rise on record. The city experienced a similar jump in temperature in February 1887. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

1986: Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes hit Indiana, Kentucky, and Ohio. A total of 19 tornadoes occurred. Three of the tornadoes in Indiana reached F3 intensity. A densely populated subdivision of Southeast Lexington, Kentucky, was heavily damaged by a tornado. Twenty people were injured, and 900 homes were destroyed or demolished. A very strong thunderstorm downburst hit the Cincinnati area. At the Greater Cincinnati Airport, windows were blown out of the control tower, injuring the six controllers on duty. At Newport, Kentucky, 120 houses were destroyed by winds estimated from 100 to 140 mph. 

1987 - Strong northwesterly winds ushered arctic air into the eastern U.S. Gales lashed the middle and northern Atlantic coast. Winds gusted to 50 mph at Manteo NC and Cape Hatteras NC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - A winter storm produced snow and high winds in the Central Rocky Mountain Region. Snowfall totals in Utah ranged up to 42 inches at Alta, with 36 inches reported at the Brian Head Ski Resort in 24 hours. Winds gusted to 72 mph at La Junta CO and Artesia NM. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Thirty-four cities in the central and southwestern U.S. reported new record high temperatures for the date. The high of 85 degrees at Hanksville UT was a record for March, and Pueblo CO equalled their March record of 86 degrees. Hill City KS warmed from a morning low of 30 degrees to an afternoon high of 89 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - Thunderstorms developing along a warm front produced severe weather from southeast Iowa to central Indiana and north central Kentucky. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 65 mph at Fort Knox KY, and hail two inches in diameter west of Lebanon IN. Evening thunderstorms over central Oklahoma deluged Guthrie with 4.5 inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1996: Record high barometer reading of 30.91 inches today the highest pressure at Annandale Weather Center since February 26, 1990 when the barometric pressure read 30.94 inches. (Ref. Annandale Weather Records)


2003: 90% of the surface of the Great Lakes was covered by ice, the most since February 1994, as a cold winter continued to grip the region. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2006: A powerful winter storm hit southern California through the 11th. A waterspout came ashore in Encinitas causing trees to fall over a railroad track halting traffic. Hail was widespread throughout San Diego County and even accumulated in places with one inch diameter hail reported in Escondido. Snow fell as low as 1500 feet in elevation. 36 inches fell at Big Bear Lake and Lake Arrowhead.
(Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2010 - As many as four people are injured, one is killed and homes were damaged in Center Hill and Pearson, AR, by an EF2 tornado.

[bluewave]

It will be interesting to see if this pattern continues into the summer with pieces of the Western heat coming east from time to time.

 

 

[PhiEaglesfan712]

23 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Down to just patches of snow cover here this morning.

I spent the weekend in the Catskills.  Snow is patchy at the trailheads (almost gone in spots), but at least a couple of feet remains starting around 2500 feet and more higher.  In most places the snowpack is thoroughly rotted.  It has no structure and if you go off the packed tracks you sink to the bottom with very little resistance.  Some of the trails were washed out rivers on Sunday.  The snowpack there is going to release a lot of water between now and Wednesday.

Yeah, I passed by the Catskills on the way to (Saturday) and from (yesterday) Vermont. I didn't find much snow on the ground level. The snow was still there in Vermont, especially the further north I went (the furthest I went was Weston).

[Brian5671]

Looks like a possible torch last week of the month based on the maps above? Even Canada is routed of cold air

[Freezing Drizzle]

15 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Going to miss winter. Boring not tracking anything .

 

Track the Mets season. Let's go Mets! Let's go Mets!
We'll miss the Polar Bear though....

[Freezing Drizzle]

53 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Records:

Highs:

 

EWR: 81 (2016)
NYC: 79 (2016)
LGA: 78 (2016)
JFK: 71 (2006)
 

 

 

Lows:

EWR: 10 (1984)
NYC: 12 (1929)
LGA: 12 (1984)
JFK: 12 (1984)

 

Historical: 

 

1884: John Park Finley issued the first experimental tornado prediction. Finley studied the atmospheric parameters that were present during previous tornadoes. Many of these same criteria are still used by operational forecasters today. But the use of tornado forecasts would be banned just a few years later and remain forbidden until 1952. 

1912 - The barometric pressure reached 29.26 inches at Los Angeles, CA, and 29.46 inches at San Diego CA, setting all-time records for those two locations. (David Ludlum)

1922 - Dodge City, KS, reported a record 24 hour total of 17.5 inches of snow. (The Weather Channel)

1960: Snowstorm in southeast U.S. gave GA 10.0 inches of snow and TN had 22.0 inches, VA 15.0 inches and KY had 24 inches. Four to 15 inches fell across Virginia with drifts much higher. North Carolina recorded drifts from 3 to 30 feet! Many buildings collapsed from the accumulative weight of the snow and structural damage totaled into the millions. (Ref. Virginia Weather History)

1964: The maximum temperature for the date is 77 °F in Washington, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1972: Chicago, IL's temperature rose from 15° on this date to 73° on the 11th. The 58 degree rise ties the biggest day-to-day rise on record. The city experienced a similar jump in temperature in February 1887. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

1986: Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes hit Indiana, Kentucky, and Ohio. A total of 19 tornadoes occurred. Three of the tornadoes in Indiana reached F3 intensity. A densely populated subdivision of Southeast Lexington, Kentucky, was heavily damaged by a tornado. Twenty people were injured, and 900 homes were destroyed or demolished. A very strong thunderstorm downburst hit the Cincinnati area. At the Greater Cincinnati Airport, windows were blown out of the control tower, injuring the six controllers on duty. At Newport, Kentucky, 120 houses were destroyed by winds estimated from 100 to 140 mph. 

1987 - Strong northwesterly winds ushered arctic air into the eastern U.S. Gales lashed the middle and northern Atlantic coast. Winds gusted to 50 mph at Manteo NC and Cape Hatteras NC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - A winter storm produced snow and high winds in the Central Rocky Mountain Region. Snowfall totals in Utah ranged up to 42 inches at Alta, with 36 inches reported at the Brian Head Ski Resort in 24 hours. Winds gusted to 72 mph at La Junta CO and Artesia NM. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Thirty-four cities in the central and southwestern U.S. reported new record high temperatures for the date. The high of 85 degrees at Hanksville UT was a record for March, and Pueblo CO equalled their March record of 86 degrees. Hill City KS warmed from a morning low of 30 degrees to an afternoon high of 89 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - Thunderstorms developing along a warm front produced severe weather from southeast Iowa to central Indiana and north central Kentucky. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 65 mph at Fort Knox KY, and hail two inches in diameter west of Lebanon IN. Evening thunderstorms over central Oklahoma deluged Guthrie with 4.5 inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1996: Record high barometer reading of 30.91 inches today the highest pressure at Annandale Weather Center since February 26, 1990 when the barometric pressure read 30.94 inches. (Ref. Annandale Weather Records)


2003: 90% of the surface of the Great Lakes was covered by ice, the most since February 1994, as a cold winter continued to grip the region. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2006: A powerful winter storm hit southern California through the 11th. A waterspout came ashore in Encinitas causing trees to fall over a railroad track halting traffic. Hail was widespread throughout San Diego County and even accumulated in places with one inch diameter hail reported in Escondido. Snow fell as low as 1500 feet in elevation. 36 inches fell at Big Bear Lake and Lake Arrowhead.
(Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2010 - As many as four people are injured, one is killed and homes were damaged in Center Hill and Pearson, AR, by an EF2 tornado.

"1884: John Park Finley issued the first experimental tornado prediction. Finley studied the atmospheric parameters that were present during previous tornadoes. Many of these same criteria are still used by operational forecasters today. But the use of tornado forecasts would be banned just a few years later and remain forbidden until 1952."

Why were forecasts banned? Do you know?

Found this.  http://site.extension.uga.edu/climate/2025/03/tornado-forecasting-was-banned-in-the-u-s-for-60-years-why/

[the_other_guy]

The problem with this extreme warmth this early is that it really kills the march ski season. For those who like to ski it’s annoying.

 

But more importantly for these depressed mountain towns it really has an affect on employment

very sad end to what was a great ski season. about a month early. they’ll hang on for a few more weeks, but people just stop going.

[Brian5671]

16 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

The problem with this extreme warmth this early is that it really kills the march ski season. For those who like to ski it’s annoying.

 

But more importantly for these depressed mountain towns it really has an affect on employment

very sad end to what was a great ski season. about a month early. they’ll hang on for a few more weeks, but people just stop going.

Part of the issue is the earlier DST-once clocks go ahead-people stop thinking about winter sports

[MJO812]

Already 60 here

Awful

[jm1220]

1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

Looks like a possible torch last week of the month based on the maps above? Even Canada is routed of cold air

Makes no difference here if the Maritimes are chilly and there’s low heights there.