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March 2026


snowman19
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2 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

EPS around these parts still has colder temps in the longer range - you don't have to include a pic of yourself in your post

Ignore snowman. Hes just a big troll.

He is finally getting his warmth after predicting it since November.

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1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Going to miss winter. Boring not tracking anything .

 

It’ll be back and I actually kinda think next winter’ll be a decent, backloaded one (I still think there’s a chance we squeeze in one more accumulating snow this month too).  

Otherwise, enjoy the warmth some.  There’s plenty of fun to be had in NYC during the summer.  After today, I’m kinda looking forward to it!  This hobby is so much more fulfilling once you learn to appreciate weather of all sorts.

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6 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said:

71⁰ here at 1pm.  Just took a walk around the neighborhood.  A little surreal with a deep blue sky and a warm breeze and still lots of snow around, despite there being none left at the stake.

Not to begin a boring DST debate, but I'll just say that the ridiculously early DST which began a few decades ago has led to some things I'll never get used to, like ~7PM sunset / ~7:30PM dusk with snow still around.  The other weird thing is that for the first few days after DST, most years the sun comes up later than it does on the first day of winter. 

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Exceptional warmth covered the region. The thermometer rose into the upper 60s and lower 70s across the region. Bridgeport (64°), Islip (68°) and JFK Airport (67°) tied daily records.

Tomorrow and Wednesday will be springlike days in much of the region. Temperatures will generally top out in the 60s. Some 70s are possible in the warmer spots, especially in interior New Jersey. Long Island and coastal sections could be noticeably cooler than interior sections on a number of days on account of a chilly onshore flow.

Afterward, it will turn cooler but not especially cold. However, with the AO likely to remain generally positive, the cool period likely won't be as prolonged as had been the case during this past winter's cold regimes. There may be a short window of opportunity for some snow, but snow is not assured.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around March 4. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.23°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have now developed. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was +24.89 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +3.062 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 56% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 43.6° (0.8° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

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21 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Down to just patches of snow cover here this morning.

I spent the weekend in the Catskills.  Snow is patchy at the trailheads (almost gone in spots), but at least a couple of feet remains starting around 2500 feet and more higher.  In most places the snowpack is thoroughly rotted.  It has no structure and if you go off the packed tracks you sink to the bottom with very little resistance.  Some of the trails were washed out rivers on Sunday.  The snowpack there is going to release a lot of water between now and Wednesday.

Many of the big snow piles melted up here. Now large pieces of broken curbs are being exposed that were plowed up under the snow. So we are going to need new curbs and pothole repair since the roads are in very rough shape.

Also big piles of mud where the snow was as chunks of lawns were caught up in the plows. Hopefully we can get some more rain this summer as the grass went brown pretty quick last summer with the record heat and lack of rainfall.

Reservoirs got recharged a bit this winter as they dropped to low levels here at times since September 2024.

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