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snowman19
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5 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

FYI, I was emailing with David Robinson, the NJ State Climatologist about New Brunswick snowfalls and he said that the March 1888 blizzard was 36" (estimated) in NB.  Obviously data from that long ago can be a bit iffy, especially with the reported very high winds and drifting, but that's well out of range with what you have for CNJ, like the 21" vs. other much higher reports in NYC.  This is one of those storms where a 20-36" swath might be more appropriate.  

ok thanks.

Yeah i mean this whole thing was just a rough guesstimate and i used the NESIS map for data points and coop/climo data. 

I have no idea what the hell was happening back in the horse and buggy days. But ive heard a lot of the official stuff is way under reported. Kocin said its probably their biggest storm of all time and the 21" is way under done. And for sure BDR is under

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Periods of rain are likely into early tomorrow. The temperature will reach the middle and upper 40s tomorrow. Additional rain is likely on Thursday into Friday. Highs will likely reach the lower 40s on both days. 

It will turn noticeably warmer during the weekend. Long Island and coastal sections could be noticeably cooler than interior sections on a number of days on account of a chilly onshore flow.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around February 25. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.62°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.28°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have now developed. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was +19.34 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.253 today. 

 

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1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said:

Should the AO stay positive, it will probably be a one-week or so window of opportunity. If, however, blocking develops, then the probability of a multi-week cold period would increase. Hopefully, we can get a decent storm during the window of opportunity.

Thanks Don.

Its amazing that Providence is only 6 inches away from their all time snowfall record. Pulling for them as well as NYC.

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