"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.

[TheSnowman]

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

6" report in New London. 5.5" on the other side of the state near Greenwich. 

Step 1 in Knowing I’m going to get Screwed.

Southern CT gets 6” Before I get 1”  

It’s like Clockwork with these things.  

[Torch Tiger]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I can kind of see a path to use doing well if that band doesn't erode.

agree with your post earlier btw, and this.  hard to say where everything rots, but where it does I bet someone is croaked that wasn't necessarily expecting 

[TheSnowman]

10 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

CNE/NNE 4/1/97 vibes, just way way SE and less

My last 30” Storm (I do have video of me swimming in it as a little kid) This one was supposed to  beat.    

[NeonPeon]

Just now, TheSnowman said:

Step 1 in Knowing I’m going to get Screwed.

Southern CT gets 6” Before I get 1”  

It’s like Clockwork with these things.  

It's almost like they move from SW to NE?

[Boston Bulldog]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Moderate snow with excellent snow growth right now 

Pretty good illustration of the dry air eroding thanks to easterly flow providing the boost necessary to get the column saturated. That said, still sputtering in the South End, let's get this going ASAP

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, TheSnowman said:

Step 1 in Knowing I’m going to get Screwed.

Southern CT gets 6” Before I get 1”  

It’s like Clockwork with these things.  

Someone will be at 10" soon 

[NeonPeon]

You can see how these bands are going to pivot now, but the have and have lesses... Undetermined. I have my guess though. 

Up to 2 inches. Very very wet.

[RI Rob]

Nothing so far in Boston. Bleh.

[Torch Tiger]

3 minutes ago, Boston Bulldog said:

Pretty good illustration of the dry air eroding thanks to easterly flow providing the boost necessary to get the column saturated. That said, still sputtering in the South End, let's get this going ASAP

yeah we've been near- saturated for a while, very very light precip since 7pm

[bobbutts]

2 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

My last 30” Storm (I do have video of me swimming in it as a little kid) This one was supposed to  beat.    

I think you'll get 15" or better.  I'll never forget Bruce Schwoegler forecasting 20-30" and getting 1" on the North Shore MA as a kid.  At least this one was always a tease up here.

[TalcottWx]

8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Incoming 2-4"er per hour for SWCT

Snowing hard af here too now. 

[Hoth]

8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Incoming 2-4"er per hour for SWCT

On my doorstep. Already nuking.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Not the best snow growth but it’s dumping here now! 

[TalcottWx]

4 minutes ago, NeonPeon said:

It's almost like they move from SW to NE?

Shocking for some, I know. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

agree with your post earlier btw, and this.  hard to say where everything rots, but where it does I bet someone is croaked that wasn't necessarily expecting 

This is what I meant with my sports analogy earlier.....the modeling build up being the regular season, but all that matters is how it actually plays out in the dance. This is why I sometimes get leery of being under the pixel orgy beforehand....it's like ...well, going to the Super Bowl 18-0.

[Torch Tiger]

5 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

My last 30” Storm (I do have video of me swimming in it as a little kid) This one was supposed to  beat.    

moved out in 1996 (missing Edouard hurricane) on cape cod and 1997 blizzard.  sucked but there wasn't much beyond that until the 2000's

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, NeonPeon said:

You can see how these bands are going to pivot now, but the have and have lesses... Undetermined. I have my guess though. 

Up to 2 inches. Very very wet.

Do tell....

The good NAM runs, before it took it's ball and went home, had that CT band cutting through the Merrimack valley up here, which is why it was respectable out this way.

[bristolri_wx]

My f**k**g lord we are two hours into this storm and both threads have become almost intolerable. Maybe it isn't as prolific as expected because it goes a little more ENE than NE, but radar returns are already verifying better than the models themselves in the short term.  Nowcast and enjoy.

[OrangeCTWX]

45 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said:

5 inches on the dot here. Though no wind to speak of still.

6 inches right before this mega band moves through.

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, bobbutts said:

I think you'll get 15" or better.  I'll never forget Bruce Schwoegler forecasting 20-30" and getting 1" on the North Shore MA as a kid.  At least this one was always a tease up here.

You got 1"on the N shore? Where? Even Boston had like 9"...

[ScituateMA]

First flakes here in scituate. 32f

[metagraphica]

10 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

Step 1 in Knowing I’m going to get Screwed.

Southern CT gets 6” Before I get 1”  

It’s like Clockwork with these things.  

It's almost like the storm moves WEST to EAST.  And..........you're further EAST.  Funny how that works.

[TalcottWx]

3 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

My f**k**g lord we are two hours into this storm and both threads have become almost intolerable. Maybe it isn't as prolific as expected because it goes a little more ENE than NE, but radar returns are already verifying better than the models themselves in the short term.  Nowcast and enjoy.

Yup. 

[NeonPeon]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This what I meany by my sports analogy earlier.....the modeling build up being the regular season, but all that matters is how it actually plays out in the actual dance. This is why I sometimes get leery of being under the pixel orgy beforehand....it's like ...well, going to the Super Bowl 18-0.

I don't get the analogy at all.

Going to the Superbowl 18-0 is something that happened. You already won a lot. You might not win in future, but those things happened. 

Being modeled to have good snow is a predictive model of what might happen based on imperfect information, imperfect understanding, and imperfect modeling. Nothing happened. The fact that what will happen will absolutely not verify verbatim doesn't mean anything about whether you'd rather be there or not, other than the psychology of it. Or is that what you mean, that you'd rather expect something mediocre and be pleasantly surprised? Because that's how I go into every storm based on caveman pattern recognition and climo.

[kdxken]

Need some of this to take the edge off.

 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, NeonPeon said:

I don't get the analogy at all.

Going to the Superbowl 18-0 is something that happened. You already won a lot. You might not win in future, but those things happened. 

Being modeled to have good snow is a predictive model of what might happen based on imperfect information, imperfect understanding, and imperfect modeling. Nothing happened. The fact that what will happen will absolutely not verify verbatim doesn't mean anything about whether you'd rather be there or not, other than the psychology of it. Or is that what you mean, that you'd rather expect something mediocre and be pleasantly surprised? Because that's how I go into every storm based on caveman pattern recognition and climo.

Because the regular season doesn't matter in the end....like modeled bullseyes....all anyone cares about is where the snow actually falls, and what happens in the playoffs. #1 seeds and molded jackpots are great until you lose, and the model runs don't verify.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

How the F does BDR not report heavy snow at 10:52

[Spaizzo]

5.5” or a little more breezy based off the paste on our windows.


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[Spaizzo]

Bellmore LI and Tom’s River reporting thunder snow and lightning


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[Hoth]

This band is awesome. Gotta be 2-3"/hr. Also, trees are completely caked, even with the wind picking up a bit. It's beautiful out there.