"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.

[Typhoon Tip]

I think some of this north of that main three level green band down there might be a little bit enhanced by the ocean because these echoes seem to be moving west north west while the band down there is slowly inching north up underneath and as it comes north it just overwhelms everything

[Sey-Mour Snow]

already widespread 5-7" in long island from that band 

[WxWatcher007]

[Hoth]

8 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said:

Not much behind the LI band at the moment but I have to imagine that changes soon with a rapidly strengthening storms 

Not worried about it. We'll keep an eye on it, but I suspect it will continue to fill.

[Typhoon Tip]

Fascinating like they’re a little bit convective, narrow bands, ripping West Northwest

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

positive and negative busts 

Exactly....my chances aren't as good as those to the south that won over 100 games, but I snuck into the dance. See what happens....and probably melter early tomorrow AM.

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The modeling lead up is akin to the regular season....those spots, along with RI and SE MA just won 107 games and look great, but the post season is about to start.....just get into the dance, and sometimes the 83-win WC team takes home the trophy.

 

[Typhoon Tip]

Couple of random bigger lakes, now mixed in with the flipping prisms

[Hoth]

This snow is just plastering the trees. Definitely has a springish vibe. A little concerning once the wind kicks in.

[ORH_wxman]

Weenie flakes here. 

[Typhoon Tip]

I tell you that’s one of the most eerie looking IR satellite loops I’ve seen associated with a coastal system

There’s gonna have to be a hell of a lot of slantwise defamation in order for all that cold cloud tops to not snow in north of us. 

[CoastalWx]

Stuff will fill in. 3k nsm weakened it a bit and then filled more in.

[Damage In Tolland]

It’s a very good band and not even into meat of it quite yet here 

[Typhoon Tip]

3 minutes ago, Hoth said:

This snow is just plastering the trees. Definitely has a springish vibe. A little concerning once the wind kicks in.

You’re probably gonna have a temperature crash there even if it’s only three or 5°. It’ll be enough to dry it out some… But yeah, you don’t want to have loading in the trees when the wind suddenly picks up, especially if it’s isallobaric because it’ll just accelerate really quick and then that can be a problem.

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Stuff will fill in. 3k nsm weakened it a bit and then filled more in.

HRRR gives me like 7"....I would go ape-shit lol Seems like it's going LBSW after guidance had trended away from that?

[Greg]

About 31F here some very light pixie dust. 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

HRRR gives me like 7"....I would go ape-shit lol Seems like it's going LBSW guidance had trended away form that?

Some models have been pretty far south and the big push in dynamics does not make it as far north. I don't know what to think. Might be overdoing that.

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I tell you that’s one of the most eerie looking IR satellite loops I’ve seen associated with a coastal system

There’s gonna have to be a hell of a lot of slantwise defamation in order for all that cold cloud tops to not snow in north of us. 

What do you mean, snow north of forecast?

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

What do you mean, snow north of forecast?

Snow to Yellowknife 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Nada here.   About as expected.  I figured closer to 9-10PM

[CT Rain]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Some models have been pretty far south and the big push in dynamics does not make it as far north. I don't know what to think. Might be overdoing that.

I still don't quite know what to expect. Feel more uneasy than usual as the thing is underway. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Some models have been pretty far south and the big push in dynamics does not make it as far north. I don't know what to think. Might be overdoing that.

I'm usually good at sniffing out a porking...I knew by like 8am the day of jan 2022.....should know soon enough.

[Typhoon Tip]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

What do you mean, snow north of forecast?

I just mean models, how the snow gradient almost goes down to a dusting where Brian is

It’s probably gonna be OK but it just seems like it’s gonna get further north than that - satellite lies sometimes.
 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

I just need model how the snow gradient almost goes down to a dusting where Brian is

It’s probably gonna be OK but it just seems like it’s gonna get further north than that - satellite lies sometimes.
 

I do think it may be tough for that area because the drier air funneling down....same reason he does CAD so well there.

[Damage In Tolland]

It’s now that “white fog” look out there now . Easily 1” per hour 

[Ginx snewx]

13 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

1993?

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

I still don't quite know what to expect. Feel more uneasy than usual as the thing is underway. 

Expect the unexpected 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Band from long island drop 8" already in central long island.. It's moving in now albeit probably only 2" per hour rates 

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I do think it may be tough for that area because the drier air funneling down....same reason he does CAD so well there.

Yeah ripping N flow with shit dynamics (locally) and mid level dry air lurking to the north won’t get it done here

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

I still don't quite know what to expect. Feel more uneasy than usual as the thing is underway. 

Yup, We just don’t know…..

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Band from long island drop 8" already in central long island.. It's moving in now albeit probably only 2" per hour rates 

Beast is upon us