2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2

[NVAwx]

15 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

$20 says once the 00z Euro comes out the watches are expanded everywhere

Sometimes they do it so it hits the 11:00 news.

[CAPE]

0z Natty Blend. Pretty.

[NorthArlington101]

lol yep. But pretty maps
 

If the GFS is right (wouldn’t love betting on it still) we’ll accumulate fine at 33. Won’t max out our QPF but we’d be fine.

[MillvilleWx]

Along and east of I-95 will need to watch this very closely. This is giving shades of some of the monsters of the past for east of the fall line. I feel really good if I’m along the west shore of the Bay and points east. 

[osfan24]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

If the GFS is right (wouldn’t love betting on it still) we’ll accumulate fine at 33. Won’t max out our QPF but we’d be fine.

Yeah, dont get the pretty maps comment over and over. If you are getting deformed, temps will matter very little.

[hsq]

1 minute ago, CAPE said:

0z Natty Blend. Pretty.

Wait til the 0z GFS kicks into this 

[mappy]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

If the GFS is right (wouldn’t love betting on it still) we’ll accumulate fine at 33. Won’t max out our QPF but we’d be fine.

Wooo slop 

[Random Chaos]

1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said:

Along and east of I-95 will need to watch this very closely. This is giving shades of some of the monsters of the past for east of the fall line. I feel really good if I’m along the west shore of the Bay and points east. 

10:1 stuck a 27.9” over us on GFS 

 

[Kevin Reilly]

1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said:

Along and east of I-95 will need to watch this very closely. This is giving shades of some of the monsters of the past for east of the fall line. I feel really good if I’m along the west shore of the Bay and points east. 

February 11th 1983

[Maestrobjwa]

4 minutes ago, mappy said:

lol yep. But pretty maps

 

Are we playing by March rules already? Ah so that's why it's so hard to get snow the last week of February "there's no way!" But seriously I mean if the GFS solution turns out ti be right oughta be able to see 6-10" right?

[87storms]

11 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

From the Philly subforum. Legit F O L K S  

 

The Chesapeake Bay nor’easter.

[CAPE]

1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said:

Along and east of I-95 will need to watch this very closely. This is giving shades of some of the monsters of the past for east of the fall line. I feel really good if I’m along the west shore of the Bay and points east. 

I wasn't here at that time but the P-day blizzard of 79 was epic.

[AlexD1990]

4 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Along and east of I-95 will need to watch this very closely. This is giving shades of some of the monsters of the past for east of the fall line. I feel really good if I’m along the west shore of the Bay and points east. 

What happened to all your dirty talk earlier 

 

Edit: lol I don't understand directions. The last clown map had the edge of the pinks too close for comfort and I got spooked lol.

[stormtracker]

3 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Along and east of I-95 will need to watch this very closely. This is giving shades of some of the monsters of the past for east of the fall line. I feel really good if I’m along the west shore of the Bay and points east. 

Absolute misery rn.  I need to go down the block and buy crack.

[mappy]

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

Are we playing by March rules already? Ah so that's why it's so hard to get snow the last week of February "there's no way!" But seriously I mean if the GFS solution turns out ti be right oughta be able to see 6-10" right?

I’m rooting for it. I’m a weenie too yall

[MillvilleWx]

4 minutes ago, mappy said:

lol yep. But pretty maps

 

Heaviest snowfall for east of the fall line looks to be just before sunset and beyond so should be good. Anything earlier than that, I agree it’ll be difficult. I’m curious to see the dynamic in that for this one. Probably some weird gradients forming in MD and NoVA. 

[NVAwx]

14 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

Roads are washed clean from the rain and no trucks anywhere to be found today. This is creeping up on everyone and a lot of peeps about to be caught off guard if this holds

They can't brine if it starts as rain.

It's not sneaking up, you just don't pre-salt the roads in this scenario.

[Terpeast]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Absolute misery rn.  I need to go down the block and buy crack.

It’s not too late…

[CAPE]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Absolute misery rn.  I need to go down the block and buy crack.

Have a few voddy tonics and a gummy

[ErinInTheSky]

I have to say y'all... this is a fun as heck winter.

[MillvilleWx]

3 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:

February 11th 1983

I would shit a brick if we got a redux of that. It’s still my Dad’s favorite rates driven event. Said he’s never seen snowflakes bigger than he did from that one. 

[MillvilleWx]

3 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said:

What happened to all your dirty talk earlier 

That includes you my friend  

[baltosquid]

At this point the ensembles are so tightly clustered it hardly matters. But worth noting, 00z GEFS is kind of contradictory. QPF department, more/west, low placement is a tiny tick east. But the GEFS has kind of stair stepped at times toggling back so I wouldn't be worried about the end of the fun yet. Could very well just be noise. And I'll mention again the trailing wave... keep that inching closer and it might help more.

[Eskimo Joe]

10 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

cmc big jump west 

Yes. Absolutely a move to the GFS.

[mappy]

1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said:

Heaviest snowfall for east of the fall line looks to be just before sunset and beyond so should be good. Anything earlier than that, I agree it’ll be difficult. I’m curious to see the dynamic in that for this one. Probably some weird gradients forming in MD and NoVA. 

I told book club the same. Snow during the day that may not accumulate much, with best snow later afternoon and night. Gfs goods is to my east, but who knows where that band will set up in the end. Along the bay, both sides, are sitting pretty imo. But 4-6” is a good place to start imby methinks

[Maestrobjwa]

5 minutes ago, mappy said:

I’m rooting for it. I’m a weenie too yall

But you don't quite believe it do you? Lol (I'm kinda the same tbh...although I am starting to believe in 5"+ though)

[baltosquid]

Ukie looks more amped. Let's see if it finally beats the temps it has been doomsaying about.

[MillvilleWx]

Just now, mappy said:

I told book club the same. Snow during the day that may not accumulate much, with best snow later afternoon and night. Gfs goods is to my east, but who knows where that band will set up in the end. Along the bay, both sides, are sitting pretty imo. But 4-6” is a good place to start imby methinks

I forecasted 6” for your area today before any of this calamity started from the 18z and 00z runs. I’m hoping this CCB hits the 95 corridor flush and we can all sing kumbaya

[Terpeast]

1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said:

I forecasted 6” for your area today before any of this calamity started from the 18z and 00z runs. I’m hoping this CCB hits the 95 corridor flush and we can all sing kumbaya

Still plenty of time for another west shift to get the western burbs in the goods! (I can’t sleep…)

[mappy]

2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

But you don't quite believe it do you? Lol (I'm kinda the same tbh...although I am starting to believe in 5"+ though)

I don’t believe the ridiculous high totals. I think who gets under that band could get a foot. Where that is? No clue. 

1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said:

I forecasted 6” for your area today before any of this calamity started from the 18z and 00z runs. I’m hoping this CCB hits the 95 corridor flush and we can all sing kumbaya

Thanks, appreciate you!