February 22-23 Storm Thread/OBS

[Duca892]

NWS update this morning has most areas at 35% or higher for at least 6in. It’s kind of why I think they will roll a Winter Storm Watch out this afternoon.

[Duca892]

12z NAM rolling. Lets see if we can buy a NAM'ing 

[ChescoWx]

15 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

In fairness almost all guidance has rain for the area thru 7-9PM sunday with temps crashing after that. Question remains how much precip is left after that time.

I kind of disagree Steve....while boundary layer is slightly above freezing I suspect any sort of precip rates will keep most of what falls especially N and W of I95 as snow.

[ChescoWx]

ARW a big hit for what it's worth these days

[The Iceman]

5 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

ARW a big hit for what it's worth these days

Do they still have the DGEX? That's got to be showing the storm from The Day After Tomorrow. 

[Blue Dream]

NAM is looking better...can any of the smarter people confirm?

[Ralph Wiggum]

23 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

You mind quoting it? I can't find that post.

 

2 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

In my casual looking, euro and other guidance clearly made a big step toward gfs at 18z yesterday and then 0z and 6z have been a cumulative tiny step back from it. But we need like 2 more steps to get to the gfs. And I think gfs is inching toward the other guidance. We’re in a better spot than yesterday for sure, but gfs is still on a major island. 

 

[Ralph Wiggum]

14 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

ARW a big hit for what it's worth these days

Its essentially a sref member so no surprise

[ChescoWx]

2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Its essentially a sref member so no surprise

I just love the old style feel of it!! Like the old days of model maps!!

 

[Duca892]

Letting the run play out but they don't seem too hot about the NAM on the MA Forums 

[ChescoWx]

[Duca892]

4 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

Letting the run play out but they don't seem too hot about the NAM on the MA Forums 

Weenie me away 

[MickeyTim6533]

better, not sure the heavy stuff makes it to our area?

[Blue Dream]

2 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

That'll do!

[Ralph Wiggum]

5 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

Letting the run play out but they don't seem too hot about the NAM on the MA Forums 

Looks improved to.me but what do I know

[mattinpa]

Wow. Looks like we were NAMed! Always happens if there is to be a big storm. 

[ChescoWx]

Looks like a beauty SJ Special on the NAM!!

[Ralph Wiggum]

Heavier stuff makes it us this run SE PA

[The Iceman]

one word, NAM'd. S Jersey is nuked, but the entire area gets a significant storm. still snowing during this frame too.

 

[MickeyTim6533]

South jersey Special

[BBasile]

NAM'd.  I'll take it.  

[Blue Dream]

Looks great!  snows for like 24 hours on the NAM

[Duca892]

NAM joins the party with 8-12 lolipops of 12in+ closer to in and around Philly. Yea Watches going up this afternoon 

[The Iceman]

Final totals on the 12z NAM:

 

 

I want to believe, i want to believe, i want to believe 

[Newman]

NAM shatters Delaware's all-time state snowfall records by ALOT lol. Unreal run for them, winds gusting to 40-50 mph as well.

[JTA66]

[Duca892]

1 minute ago, The Iceman said:

Final totals on the 12z NAM:

 

 

I want to believe, i want to believe, i want to believe 

Look how tight that precip gradient is lmfao. 9in in Allentown to 18in 50mi south in Philly. 

[MickeyTim6533]

Just now, Duca892 said:

Look how tight that precip gradient is lmfao. 9in in Allentown to 18in 50mi south in Philly. 

OCMD special

[ChescoWx]

[Ralph Wiggum]

3 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

I feel bad for the ponies on Assateague