The Iceman Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Get ready for chaos because I think the euro is actually going to do it lmao edit: not quite, looked great at hour 72 and 78...but we mostly get the IVT Biggest difference i see is that the GFS bombs the low out to 977, the euro doesn't bomb it out nearly as dramatically hence the block shunts it further east. I thought it looked closer to the GFS though than 00z did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago So across the Canadian / GFS and Euro let's go with a plowable snow event between 7" to 24" for Chester County.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Honestly the Euro isn't that far off, it's 6-12 hours too late on phasing with that southern energy that the GFS does. Everything else looks great, we just need that southern vort ejecting out of the Rockies to continue to tick slower. It's really all phase/no phase related. 7 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 35 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: I don't know why, but that area of reduced accumulation going up the NE Extension in central Montco ALWAYS shows up on clown maps. Schuykill River surface temp anomalies?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago I mean... i guess all in all... it wasn't a terrible mid-morning/afternoon if you want to keep hope alive for at least a plowable event N/W of Philly? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 15 minutes ago, Duca892 said: I mean... i guess all in all... it wasn't a terrible mid-morning/afternoon if you want to keep hope alive for at least a plowable event N/W of Philly? I'll take a 3-6"er in a minute. I'm just glad I'm late to the party and haven't spent much time tracking till now... 41F/Overcast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I keep waiting for the GFS rug pull to go towards all other guidance. Any bettors for 18z? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Duca892 said: I keep waiting for the GFS rug pull to go towards all other guidance. Any bettors for 18z? I’m saying 18z will be happy hour, it’ll look even better than 12z, 00z with the fresh data is where the rug gets yanked though 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 4 minutes ago, Duca892 said: I keep waiting for the GFS rug pull to go towards all other guidance. Any bettors for 18z? 18z the party is over. book it 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, Duca892 said: I mean... i guess all in all... it wasn't a terrible mid-morning/afternoon if you want to keep hope alive for at least a plowable event N/W of Philly? S&E of Philly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 14 minutes ago, Duca892 said: I keep waiting for the GFS rug pull to go towards all other guidance. Any bettors for 18z? Funny thing is, gfs keeps doubling down even slight improvements each run....but its not like other guidance is trending bigly the other way. There has been very slow/subtle shifts across other guidance even giving a slight nod to the GFS. I dont think the GFS is 100% accurate by any means, but a 6hr change in timing of the shortwave in question on other guidance and boom the GFS suddenly has legs. We'll see. Being a betting man Im putting the mortgage on the gfs being the outlier though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Have not been following just hearing here and there like discord that it's over the euro didn't cave 12z Euro is 3-6" what is going on lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, RedSky said: S&E of Philly True i guess it is more so what you consider plowable lol. Today has kind of settled in for places like the Lehigh Valley for a 1-2in event with a few outliers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Per MA Forum no NAM'ing on the 18z lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Big positive trend on the 18z NAM and RRFS. Just another subtle step in the right direction at 0z and this suddenly starts to look very interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Per MA Forum no NAM'ing on the 18z lol Ji doesn't like it I bet? And the back edge is approaching quickly even though it's thousands of miles West... 41F/The melt is on...can't step on "grass" without a big smush sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Per MA Forum no NAM'ing on the 18z lol Improved over the 12Z run though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 56 minutes ago Share Posted 56 minutes ago 12z NAM at the end of it's run looks like some measurable snow incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastal front Posted 40 minutes ago Share Posted 40 minutes ago Icon an rgem both ticked better. Ticks can be effective with this lead time still. We move 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 31 minutes ago Share Posted 31 minutes ago Welp... here we go... all eyes on GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 5 minutes ago Share Posted 5 minutes ago GFS holds serve Below only through 4am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 5 minutes ago Share Posted 5 minutes ago I already don't trust the GFS. But if it fails with this storm again the government should just permanently retire it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 minutes ago Share Posted 2 minutes ago 2 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: I already don't trust the GFS. But if it fails with this storm again the government should just permanently retire it. AI is also west. Once in a while it beats the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 2 minutes ago Share Posted 2 minutes ago GFS wasn't the NUKE for us... but god damn it again dropped 8-16in from the Lehigh Valley to Philly lmfao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted just now Share Posted just now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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