Mikeymac5306 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago All major models showing a coastal storm. Some have it as a MECS or HECS, some do not. NAM is in range and currently running. I am just hoping I can get my flight Sunday AM. Happy tracking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said: All major models showing a coastal storm. Some have it as a MECS or HECS, some do not. NAM is in range and currently running. I am just hoping I can get my flight Sunday AM. Happy tracking! I see what kind of voodoo you're trying to cast 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, The Iceman said: I see what kind of voodoo you're trying to cast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Let's get these 12z runs rocking and rolling. Just a few more ticks with the Euro trough consolidation/orientation and the coastal folks are happy. Just something to work with is what I'd hope for. I think the AIFS is a happy medium and reasonable solution right now. A plowable snow along the coast is looking more likely now, at the least. My family is flying down to see me in Tallahassee tomorrow morning, supposed to fly back Monday morning back into Philly... We'll see if that ends up happening but I'm leaning towards a day cancellation 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Like others on here with travel issues - I have my first client trip of 2026 to Phoenix early on Monday afternoon - meaning it will snow! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Safe guess is warning level stays closer or even South/East of Philly. EURO seems to lead the train with the GFS being a clear outlier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Yet another mayhem tacking day ahead of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I do suspect the so called atmospheric memory of this winter will be how this ends up. Close but just a little outside! That said the IVT plus a graze could result in measurable snow for many on this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Sorry about not posting lately. Got into a bad ski accident on Friday. Snowboarder hit me from behind Fractured my Humerus... I guess no shovel duty for me. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 16 minutes ago, zenmsav6810 said: Sorry about not posting lately. Got into a bad ski accident on Friday. Snowboarder hit me from behind Fractured my Humerus... I guess no shovel duty for me. So sorry to hear! Hope you have a speedy and painless recovery!! And now that a thread has been started, the GFS can finally start to cave to the Euro at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 22 minutes ago, zenmsav6810 said: Sorry about not posting lately. Got into a bad ski accident on Friday. Snowboarder hit me from behind Fractured my Humerus... I guess no shovel duty for me. Sorry to hear dude, it's always the freaking snowboarders that go down out of control and take people out... Hope you get well soon. 12z NAM at range is a complete whiff. Good start to 12z GFS is going to cave and we'll be tracking the IVT the rest of the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 21 minutes ago, zenmsav6810 said: Sorry about not posting lately. Got into a bad ski accident on Friday. Snowboarder hit me from behind Fractured my Humerus... I guess no shovel duty for me. Get better soon! take care!! Paul Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago All long range NAM caveats apply, but it looks absolutely nothing like the GFS and Euro with regards to the confluence over New England. Also much slower. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, Newman said: All long range NAM caveats apply, but it looks absolutely nothing like the GFS and Euro with regards to the confluence over New England. Also much slower. Not surprised! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago and the cave begins 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago RGEM doesn't look great either per MA Forums. Yea GFS gonna cave at some point today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 31 minutes ago, MickeyTim6533 said: and the cave begins Are you related to Ji in any sort of way? 37F/Overcast/Dripping sounds of melting stuff off rooftops, down gutter. Sewer drains running water sounds... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago RGEM ugly. GFS will cave most likely 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Are you related to Ji in any sort of way? 37F/Overcast/Dripping sounds of melting stuff off rooftops, down gutter. Sewer drains running water sounds... Melting has been much welcomed, my back parking spot is finally useable again lmfao, it is strict loose rock/stone so it was almost impossible to shovel without making a total mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I'm starting to think February 23, 1987 is a good analog for this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: I'm starting to think February 23, 1987 is a good analog for this storm. What makes you think that? Looks like that was a pretty great storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 10 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: I'm starting to think February 23, 1987 is a good analog for this storm. 16" to 24" across Chester County with that one - I am taking the under on that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 23 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Are you related to Ji in any sort of way? I’m thinking greenskeeper 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12z GFS is a huge hit. I'm laughing because it seems like every other model (so far) at 12z turned more unfavorable and now the GFS double downs At the very least, it's entertainment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Newman said: 12z GFS is a huge hit. I'm laughing because it seems like every other model (so far) at 12z turned more unfavorable and now the GFS double downs At the very least, it's entertainment. Yep tracking is fun only if you let yourself have these ups and downs. I’ve learned to be entertained and deal with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 18 minutes ago, Blue Dream said: What makes you think that? Looks like that was a pretty great storm. It must have been the El Nino and active MJO pattern 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago what is the GFS even doing...? at 78 it looks like it took that out to sea track and then... does... whatever that was... lmfao... idk what was bigger for up here 6z or 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Not a forecast! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kurtmb17 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Doesn’t at some point the blind squirrel find the nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Duca892 said: Can i be a pain in the ass and ask you if you have this frame for PA? Don’t do that to yourself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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